What is Trump's map to 270 right now?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Objectively, it's just really damn tough for him because of the 272 firewall/freiwal:

So from this he's got to flip another state where the polls show him well behind -- NH, PA, CO, WI would probably be the least unlikely options.

One other possibility, and this is really a longshot, is for Johnson to do well enough in NM that it flips to Trump, say T 38, C 36, J 24, others 2.  If Trump also won all the non-freiwal states, that would give him 271:

[GeorgiaModerate]

What about Minnesota? Polls showed a close race there. Even though it has historically voted D since 1972 and is progressive, it has a tendency to vote for dark horse candidates.

Since any of these possibilities is unlikely, you could certainly add MN to the list.  I'd consider it less likely to flip than NH etc., but it's more likely than IL or NJ.  You could probably lump MI in with MN as "very unlikely but not absolutely impossible". 

[GeorgiaModerate]

Objectively, it's just really damn tough for him because of the 272 firewall/freiwal:

So from this he's got to flip another state where the polls show him well behind -- NH, PA, CO, WI would probably be the least unlikely options.

One other possibility, and this is really a longshot, is for Johnson to do well enough in NM that it flips to Trump, say T 38, C 36, J 24, others 2.  If Trump also won all the non-freiwal states, that would give him 271:

You switched the two ME districts.

So I did.  Thanks for the catch.  Of course, I meant ME-02 to be Republican.