Will the election be officially called before 11PM EST?

[Figueira]

It's within the realm of possibility if it's a Clinton blowout, but it's certainly not something I expect to happen.

It will probably be called at 11PM, though, when the West Coast comes in. So we'll all know that Clinton won well before then.

[Holmes]

If she can claim Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida before 11pm EST, then yes.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Virginia will likely be called earlier than people are predicting.  Yes, a lot of precincts take forever to count ballots, particularly in NOVA... but I expect the numbers to be very clear such that they can make projections earlier than we now expect.

Even if Virginia and Colorado get called soon after polls close, Clinton will still be well short of 270 EVs before 11 pm.

[Mr. Morden]

If she can claim Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida before 11pm EST, then yes.

That's not enough for the election to be called before 11.

[sentinel]

Before 11:00pm the following states will have closed their polling sites. I've colored the map based on what is the most likely outcome in each state as long as it's not a tossup.

HRC = 161 (red)
DJT = 147 (blue)
Polls closed but not called = 145 (green)

If HRC won every state I have on there in green, she'd win 306 electoral votes.
If DJT won every green state, he'd have 292 electoral votes.

So, could it be called before 11pm? Yes. Realistically? Unlikely. I think like in 2012, the election will be called right at 11pm as the west coast comes in and we see most of the battleground states decided.

EDIT: If Ohio and Florida are called for Hillary early on, then it's over anyway.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Possible, but highly unlikely, for the reasons others have already put forth in this thread.

[/]

Before 11:00pm the following states will have closed their polling sites. I've colored the map based on what is the most likely outcome in each state as long as it's not a tossup.

HRC = 161 (red)
DJT = 147 (blue)
Polls closed but not called = 145 (green)

If HRC won every state I have on there in green, she'd win 306 electoral votes.
If DJT won every green state, he'd have 292 electoral votes.

So, could it be called before 11pm? Yes. Realistically? Unlikely. I think like in 2012, the election will be called right at 11pm as the west coast comes in and we see most of the battleground states decided.

EDIT: If Ohio and Florida are called for Hillary early on, then it's over anyway.

RIP CT

[sentinel]

Before 11:00pm the following states will have closed their polling sites. I've colored the map based on what is the most likely outcome in each state as long as it's not a tossup.

HRC = 161 (red)
DJT = 147 (blue)
Polls closed but not called = 145 (green)

If HRC won every state I have on there in green, she'd win 306 electoral votes.
If DJT won every green state, he'd have 292 electoral votes.

So, could it be called before 11pm? Yes. Realistically? Unlikely. I think like in 2012, the election will be called right at 11pm as the west coast comes in and we see most of the battleground states decided.

EDIT: If Ohio and Florida are called for Hillary early on, then it's over anyway.

RIP CT

Ah poop, missed that. Conclusion is the same I believe.

[alomas]

No way. Ohio most likely won't be called for her before 11pm (if at all), Florida and N.Carolina are going to be pretty close as well. But even if she does win them, that won't be enough, Arizona called within two hours of polls closings looks unlikely.

[IceSpear]

No, it will most likely be called at exactly 11.

[Illiniwek]

I voted yes, but now I agree that it will probably be over when California comes in at 11 EST.

[The Other Castro]

Even in a blowout, the manner in which votes are counted would make it near impossible for a winner to be declared before California.

[Landslide Lyndon]

FUN FACT: No Republican has won the presidency on election night since Papa Bush in 1988.

[Ozymandias]

I think the only way the election gets called before the West Coast polls close is if Texas (where polls close at 8 PM EST in most of the state) somehow gets called for Clinton before 11 PM EST, which obviously is very unlikely, but perhaps not as impossible as it seemed before yesterday's Day 1 early voting surge in Texas...

[Clarence Boddicker]

I remember it wasn't "officially" called for Obama till 11, but it was obvious well before that he would win. I expect an Ohio or Florida to be called by 9:30 or 10:00, thus announcing the probable winner.

[Erc]

Here's a likely map at 9:59 PM, right before the 10PM poll closings:

Gray = Too Close to Call, Yellow = 10PM Closings, Green = 11PM or later closings.

That puts Clinton at 21, 29 votes short of the majority.  What can she get in the next hour?

ME-2 (1): Closed at 8PM.  Presumably called by 11, but you never know.
NC (15): Closed at 7:30PM.  Given Clinton's expected large win here, pretty likely it gets called by 11; entirely possible it gets called before 10.
NV (6): Closes at 10PM.  Clinton should win big here, but given other polling misses in the state it's possible they don't call it instantaneously.
GA (16): Closed at 7PM.  Atlanta usually takes a while, but they've got four hours.
IA (6): Closes at 10PM.  Possible it's called instantly, but Iowa is weird this year.
AZ (11): Closed at 9PM.  Unlikely they'll call it instantly, which means it's unlikely it's called by 11.
NE-2 (1): Closed at 9PM, possible it gets called by 11 but CDs are hard to disentangle.

No other states are likely to be called for Clinton by 11PM.

There seem to be three main routes:

1) NC+GA.  They close early (7:30 & 7, respectively), the question is whether they've done enough counting by 11 (or heck, by 10) to call them both, especially Georgia.  Any Georgia experts want to weigh in?
2) NC+NV+AZ.  Hispanic turnout is way higher than expected, and the networks feel comfortable calling all three states by 11PM.
3) NC+IA+NV+NE-2+ME-2.  This hits 270 on the dot, and is the only one not to require GA or AZ.  Seems a bit of a stretch, but is possible.