Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,123
Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
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« Reply #75 on: October 24, 2016, 10:40:43 AM » |
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For Trump to win requires a combination of many pollsters being wrong (by 3 points or more) and a yuge movement in the final two weeks (3 points towards Trump). That gets them nearly even. Probably Clinton would still win the PV, but the EV would be in question.
Voters have made up their minds, and it's highly unlikely (<5% probability) that the polls are collectively that wrong.
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