Which state has the best chance of being insta-called.

[Confused Democrat]

What would said insta-call tell you about the election if it was for Clinton and if it was for Trump.

[Rand]

Virginia. It's a foreign conclusion Clinton will carry the state. The other states are less concrete, but a Florida insta-call would obviously seal the deal for her.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

foreign conclusion

rigged election confirmed!!1!

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Georgia, because none of the others will happen, other than perhaps Nevada.  Virginia's vote counting bias will likely prevent an instant call.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Virginia I'd say, if Virginia isn't called within 1 hour you will know something has gone terribly wrong for Clinton

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Virginia, based on exit polls and key precincts.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Georgia, because none of the others will happen, other than perhaps Nevada.

Georgia wasn't insta-called in 2012 when Romney won by 9.

[john cage bubblegum]

Virginia I'd say, if Virginia isn't called within 1 hour you will know something has gone terribly wrong for Clinton

If they don't call Virginia at closing, then as usual it will take awhile to call the state because of how long NoVA takes to report. 

If the state is called at closing, Trump fans will be complaining on Twitter for the first 2-3 hours after poll closing that "Trump is winning Virginia but the rigged media called the state anyway "

In any case, Virginia is the clear answer to the poll question.

[Blackacre]

There is no way Virginia will be called right at closing, because of Fairfax and NoVa. I said Nevada because of demographics, the Reid machine, and her being up in the polls

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

There is no way Virginia will be called right at closing, because of Fairfax and NoVa. I said Nevada because of demographics, the Reid machine, and her being up in the polls

The networks won't need NoVa results to call it.  Key precincts elsewhere and exit polls will be enough.  When it's clear that Trump is underperforming significantly in places he needs to do well, that will be enough to call the state.

If Clinton wins Virginia by double digits (a possibility) it will be very easy to call.

[ProudModerate2]

From this list, definitely Virginia.

[Blackacre]

There is no way Virginia will be called right at closing, because of Fairfax and NoVa. I said Nevada because of demographics, the Reid machine, and her being up in the polls

The networks won't need NoVa results to call it.  Key precincts elsewhere and exit polls will be enough.  When it's clear that Trump is underperforming significantly in places he needs to do well, that will be enough to call the state.

If Clinton wins Virginia by double digits (a possibility) it will be very easy to call.

But those calls would rely on turnout in NoVa being at expected levels, right?

If you're right, my one concrete election prediction goes down the tubes. It was: Virginia doesnt get called until late, early returns show Trump ahead, liberals freak out, but only because everyone forgets NoVa until its returns come in

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

There is no way Virginia will be called right at closing, because of Fairfax and NoVa. I said Nevada because of demographics, the Reid machine, and her being up in the polls

The networks won't need NoVa results to call it.  Key precincts elsewhere and exit polls will be enough.  When it's clear that Trump is underperforming significantly in places he needs to do well, that will be enough to call the state.

If Clinton wins Virginia by double digits (a possibility) it will be very easy to call.

But those calls would rely on turnout in NoVa being at expected levels, right?

If you're right, my one concrete election prediction goes down the tubes. It was: Virginia doesnt get called until late, early returns show Trump ahead, liberals freak out, but only because everyone forgets NoVa until its returns come in

I believe networks have called a state with the winner behind in the current count, based solely on exit polls and the fact that the loser isn't getting nearly enough support from places he needs to win.  I could be wrong, though.

I mean, if Clinton is down 5% in the count with NoVa results pending, there's no way for her to lose.

[Pyro]

Virginia, where I'd expect a 5+ pt win for Clinton.

[Rand]

foreign conclusion

rigged election confirmed!!1!

Dammit. How long before my post ends up on WikiLeaks?

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

foreign conclusion

rigged election confirmed!!1!

Dammit. How long before my post ends up on WikiLeaks?

about twenty minutes after it ends up on russia today, probably

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Utah for McMullin VA for Clinton, most likely. If VA were instantly called for Drumpf...

and there goes any hope for the future.

[Erc]

I'll be working the polls here in VA on election night; it'll be interesting to see if a presumed insta-call has an effect on those still in line at 7PM.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Georgia, because none of the others will happen, other than perhaps Nevada.

Georgia wasn't insta-called in 2012 when Romney won by 9.

IIRC, Georgia hasn't been insta-called in any election I've followed (it might have been in 2004, but I distinctly remember it wasn't in 2000, 2008, or 2012), so it's doubtful it will be this time.

[Spark]

VA by a mile

[Xing]

Definitely Virginia. Most of the other states won't be lopsided enough. Even though Obama won Nevada by 12.4% in 2008, it still wasn't called right away.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Florida. By the time all the polls close, the Eastern Time portion of the state will have had an hour to count ballots, so if the election is lopsided enough, it will be called as soon as the last polls close in the panhandle.

[ursulahx]

Of the ones listed, Virginia. But probably none of them.

[Pandaguineapig]

I wonder if the 2013 gubernatorial race and 2014 Senate race may make the networks more cautious and make them at least see the western VA results to confirm

[The Arizonan]

Why aren't Pennsylvania and North Carolina listed in the poll options? I was leaning towards North Carolina.