Which state has the best chance of being insta-called.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Virginia, based on exit polls and key precincts.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

There is no way Virginia will be called right at closing, because of Fairfax and NoVa. I said Nevada because of demographics, the Reid machine, and her being up in the polls

The networks won't need NoVa results to call it.  Key precincts elsewhere and exit polls will be enough.  When it's clear that Trump is underperforming significantly in places he needs to do well, that will be enough to call the state.

If Clinton wins Virginia by double digits (a possibility) it will be very easy to call.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

There is no way Virginia will be called right at closing, because of Fairfax and NoVa. I said Nevada because of demographics, the Reid machine, and her being up in the polls

The networks won't need NoVa results to call it.  Key precincts elsewhere and exit polls will be enough.  When it's clear that Trump is underperforming significantly in places he needs to do well, that will be enough to call the state.

If Clinton wins Virginia by double digits (a possibility) it will be very easy to call.

But those calls would rely on turnout in NoVa being at expected levels, right?

If you're right, my one concrete election prediction goes down the tubes. It was: Virginia doesnt get called until late, early returns show Trump ahead, liberals freak out, but only because everyone forgets NoVa until its returns come in

I believe networks have called a state with the winner behind in the current count, based solely on exit polls and the fact that the loser isn't getting nearly enough support from places he needs to win.  I could be wrong, though.

I mean, if Clinton is down 5% in the count with NoVa results pending, there's no way for her to lose.