Any chance Hillary breaks 400 EV's?

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This is a potential map without Texas (403 EV total):

[TDantuono]

This is a potential map without Texas (403 EV total):

That's beautiful.

[Enduro]

Naw, but I think 350 could be done.

[Wisconsin+17]

I have her at that.

[Podgy the Bear]

She'll finish in the 300-350 range.  As of today--she will probably lose OH, IA, and ME/2 and win NC for a total of 322.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

She'll finish in the 300-350 range.  As of today--she will probably lose OH, IA, and ME/2 and win NC for a total of 322.

I don't think ME-02 is in real danger any more.

[BundouYMB]

Very likely. I think there's about an 80% chance she breaks 400.

[Hammy]

<20% chance she breaks 300, let alone 400.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

<20% chance she breaks 300, let alone 400.

Are you insane?

I'm sick of these Debbie-Downers who aren't actually reading.

Anyhoo - she can't get to 400 without Texas. IF Texas could happen, then yes.

I have her on 359 Obama 2012 +NC, AZ and NE-02

[Hammy]

<20% chance she breaks 300, let alone 400.

Are you insane?

I'm sick of these Debbie-Downers who aren't actually reading.

I am reading everything here and happen to disagree--if she fails to reach 300, then she fails to reach 400.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

<20% chance she breaks 300, let alone 400.

Are you insane?

I'm sick of these Debbie-Downers who aren't actually reading.

I am reading everything here and happen to disagree--if she fails to reach 300, then she fails to reach 400.

That's my question, I basically don't see how she doesn't get to 300 at this point.

[Hammy]

<20% chance she breaks 300, let alone 400.

Are you insane?

I'm sick of these Debbie-Downers who aren't actually reading.

I am reading everything here and happen to disagree--if she fails to reach 300, then she fails to reach 400.

That's my question, I basically don't see how she doesn't get to 300 at this point.

Losing Iowa, Ohio, and Florida (which I'm not entirely sold on yet) while keeping Nevada and picking up North Carolina.

If Florida becomes a certainty then it would be 323 but I'm not fully confident with Rubio's numbers still being good.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

<20% chance she breaks 300, let alone 400.

Are you insane?

I'm sick of these Debbie-Downers who aren't actually reading.

I am reading everything here and happen to disagree--if she fails to reach 300, then she fails to reach 400.

That's my question, I basically don't see how she doesn't get to 300 at this point.

Losing Iowa, Ohio, and Florida (which I'm not entirely sold on yet) while keeping Nevada and picking up North Carolina.

If Florida becomes a certainty then it would be 323 but I'm not fully confident with Rubio's numbers still being good.

I think Clinton/Rubio voters are going to be a common occurrence, so I wouldn't put too much stock in that. 

[Hammy]

<20% chance she breaks 300, let alone 400.

Are you insane?

I'm sick of these Debbie-Downers who aren't actually reading.

I am reading everything here and happen to disagree--if she fails to reach 300, then she fails to reach 400.

That's my question, I basically don't see how she doesn't get to 300 at this point.

Losing Iowa, Ohio, and Florida (which I'm not entirely sold on yet) while keeping Nevada and picking up North Carolina.

If Florida becomes a certainty then it would be 323 but I'm not fully confident with Rubio's numbers still being good.

I think Clinton/Rubio voters are going to be a common occurrence, so I wouldn't put too much stock in that. 

A bit odd, though I guess I shouldn't be surprised given how weird Florida votes. I'll be more confident if Clinton's lead can hold by this time next week.

[TC 25]

Not a chance.

370 top-end
357 possible
322 seems about right

[TDantuono]

What does it say about this country today that such a terrible person and obscenely bad candidate will probably do better than Barry Goldwater?

[Liberalrocks]

Not a chance. With today's Obamacare news I doubt she'll even win.

lol

[IceSpear]

What does it say about this country today that such a terrible person and obscenely bad candidate will probably do better than Barry Goldwater?

It says ~90% of Americans will blindly follow their team under any circumstances.

[Xing]

It's very hard to see her doing better than 375 (Obama 2012 + NC, AZ, GA, and NE-02), and even that's a stretch.

[Sir Mohamed]

Well, let’s put it that way: It is more likely than Mr. Drumpf winning the election. However, there’s only a slim chance. Actually Hillary has to win TX in addition to AZ and GA; assuming she carries all Obama 2012 states inclusive NC. The only one I see a real possibility to win at the moment is AZ. That would give her 358 EVs at best.

[alomas]

No chance of course but we can always analyse a bit for fun.

Giving her all the swing states (including IA, AZ, NE-02, ME-02) that puts her to 359. She must have won Texas someway which looks very very unlikely and then Utah gives her 403. Without TX it is even more difficult to see a path: Utah (leaning red), Georgia (leaning red), maybe Alaska (leaning red), let's say Missouri (even more leaning red) and it's still short, 394. What else?... SC for 403. It's sounds really unrealistic though.

[HisGrace]

Unfortiuneately the odds are pretty much nil unless an avalanche of Hispanic turnout gives her an upset in Texas. Obama in 08 plus AZ and maybe Georgia (plus McMullin in Utah) is about her best possible scenario.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Wouldn't bet on it, but it has about a 15-20% chance of happening. 

[HisGrace]

She'll finish in the 300-350 range.  As of today--she will probably lose OH, IA, and ME/2 and win NC for a total of 322.

I don't think ME-02 is in real danger any more.

What is the recent polling, there?