What does your gut say about this election today?

[Oakvale]

Hillary wins every state that's not dark red on the RCP map. We get some bad analysis about how Texas and Utah are now going to be blue forever.

[Devout Centrist]

Clinton wins by 7-11%, wins 359 electoral votes, flawless beautiful Marco eeks out a victory, Dems win senate 53/47.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

My gut says it'll be close enough to make me nervous, and then Herr Pussygrabber will try a coup.

My brain says she's going to steamroll him, with a couple interesting races that don't affter the final outcome.

[Baki]

Clinton wins, GOP keeps the Senate.

[progressive85]

I really think it's going to be a clear victory for Hillary and the Democrats.  I don't think Donald Trump will win Ohio, Florida, or Iowa.  Hillary will hold the 2012 Obama states plus I think she'll take North Carolina.  I'm not sure about Georgia or Arizona, but it could be very close.  Nevada's going to shock people because it's not going to be as close as these polls think it is -- Hillary and Catherine Cortez-Masto will win.  Texas will remain Republican, but the Democrats will do very well in that state, and build a foundation for a possible future victory in the next 20 years.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

My gut says FL, NC and NV are gone for Trump, and with them the election. Current prediction is Clinton takes Obama 2012 + NC + AZ while McMullin takes UT. Trump still has a chance in IA, OH, AZ and UT as of now.

[ProudModerate2]

Clinton = 322
trump = 173
Toss-up = 43

Right now (Oct 26th) I see the picture of the map as above.
Further clarification on the Toss-ups, as follows :

IA, AZ & NE-02 lean slightly towards trump.
OH & ME-02 lean slightly towards Clinton.
UT leans slightly towards McMullin.

[Hydera]

Hillary 2.5-4%   

She wins but not enough and it would frustrate me like hell because it shows that even after doing so many things that should kill a candidate's chances. They will still end up close.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

The last two days have made me feel like it will be a disappointing Clinton win.

[White Trash]

This is actually the first election I've seen where for whatever reason, I don't trust or believe the polls. I cannot for the life of me peg down why.

[Blair]

I think Trump will win Iowa; and will lose Ohio by a fraction. Beyond that its Obama 2012+ NC

[Crumpets]

My official prediction has stayed exactly the same since the prediction opened with two exceptions: Utah (switched from Trump to McMullin) and Arizona (switched from Trump to Clinton). My gut tells me I'm currently right on Utah , and maybe wrong on Arizona, but the early vote totals from Arizona are sure looking favorable to Clinton. My gut has also told me for a long time that Clinton will outperform her polls on election day. I'm also very confident that every third party candidate will be held to below 3% nation-wide.

Soooo.... I think this is my "gut" map right now:

Clinton/Kaine 348 EV, 51.5% PV
Trump/Pence 173 EV, 45% PV
McMullin/Finn 6 EV, 1% PV
Johnson/Weld 0 EV, 2% PV
Stein/Baraka 0 EV, 0.5% PV

[Hydera]

My official prediction has stayed exactly the same since the prediction opened with two exceptions: Utah (switched from Trump to McMullin) and Arizona (switched from Trump to Clinton). My gut tells me I'm currently right on Utah , and maybe wrong on Arizona, but the early vote totals from Arizona are sure looking favorable to Clinton. My gut has also told me for a long time that Clinton will outperform her polls on election day. I'm also very confident that every third party candidate will be held to below 3% nation-wide.

Soooo.... I think this is my "gut" map right now:

Clinton/Kaine 348 EV, 52% PV
Trump/Pence 173 EV, 45% PV
McMullin/Finn 6 EV, 1.5% PV
Johnson/Weld 0 EV, 2.5% PV
Stein/Baraka 0 EV, 0.75% PV

Im starting to think democrats should actually vote strategically for McMullin since Hillary's chances in Utah have already went down when the press started reporting on McMullin. Second it reinforces McMullin's chances of winning Utah just incase theres a last minute comeback to Trump in the state. And third it makes the GOP infighting worse after the election when pro-trump supporters attack mormons/establishment conservatives for 'spoiling' the state.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

The last two days have made me feel like it will be a disappointing Clinton win.

I think you need time away too - at the moment is just panic-merchants in a self-supporting circle. My prediction of Clinton by 6-8 and 359 EV stands. Only one state has bothered me for the last two months and it remains so, IA.

[HisGrace]

My prediction at the moment-

Hopefully Clinton pulls in Ohio, Iowa, and Georgia to make it more decisive.

[Xing]

My prediction says it all.

[Lachi]

Presidential: 2012+NC+NE-2+AZ+(maybe) GA, UT flips to McMullin
Senate: 53/47
House: DEM +20-25

[HagridOfTheDeep]

The last two days have made me feel like it will be a disappointing Clinton win.

I think you need time away too - at the moment is just panic-merchants in a self-supporting circle. My prediction of Clinton by 6-8 and 359 EV stands. Only one state has bothered me for the last two months and it remains so, IA.

I'm not panicking, though. I'm just observing. The tightening race is disappointing, but it doesn't disturb me or anything.

[Meclazine for Israel]

The USA is going to get it's very first female President.

After he loses, Trump will start a new

(a) Political party
(b) Vodka range
(c) Bank
(d) Brand of steaks

The Republicans will expel him from their brand after this one. Too many skeletons in the 1,500 acre real estate empire to possibly survive the vitriol and acidic nature of a Presidential campaign.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

The last two days have made me feel like it will be a disappointing Clinton win.

I think you need time away too - at the moment is just panic-merchants in a self-supporting circle. My prediction of Clinton by 6-8 and 359 EV stands. Only one state has bothered me for the last two months and it remains so, IA.

I'm not panicking, though. I'm just observing. The tightening race is disappointing, but it doesn't disturb me or anything.

My point was that you need to stop looking at this place with its panic merchants - I see no evidence of a genuine tightening beyond some reasonable margin tweaking.

[elcorazon]

not much changes from here. Clinton takes FL, NC, probably OH & IA (although those will be late to get called). Sweeps rest of northeast including NH, PA, all of ME, plus wins as expected in MI & WI & MN. Sweeps West coast and takes NV & CO & NM, while falling a tad short in AZ (maybe closest state). Trump holds GA, MO, IN, and UT in the end. None of the tantalizing upset picks happen as Trump sweeps Alaska, Montana, the Dakotas, he does lose NE-2 but otherwise winds easily throughout the middle of the country, and while Texas is single digits, it isn't really close and Trump wins by about 8 points.

Dems take Senate by holding Nevada and picking up IL, WI, IN, PA and NH - they fall just short in NC and MO and FL, where they should have pushed harder to get rid of Marco.

[bballrox4717]

Clinton landslide, though Ohio, Iowa, and Maine's second congressional district are close. It just seems like a lot of third party support is going to continue to melt away to Hillary, and Trump is doing nothing to win undecideds. He underperformed his polls in the primaries and has a bad ground game. The party enthusiasm gap should be concerning to Republicans as well. Nobody thinks Trump is going to win anymore, while Trump is scary enough to most Democrats that any sort of media narrative of a tightening race probably drives up Dem turnout even more.

Clinton/Kaine 418 EV, 53.0% PV
Trump/Pence 120 EV, 41.4% PV
Johnson/Weld 0 EV, 3.1% PV
McMullin/Finn 0 EV, 1.2% PV
Stein/Baraka 0 EV, 0.8% PV

[Wisconsin+17]

Hillary +13.

[Hydera]

Clinton landslide, though Ohio, Iowa, and Maine's second congressional district are close. It just seems like a lot of third party support is going to continue to melt away to Hillary, and Trump is doing nothing to win undecideds. He underperformed his polls in the primaries and has a bad ground game. The party enthusiasm gap should be concerning to Republicans as well. Nobody thinks Trump is going to win anymore, while Trump is scary enough to most Democrats that any sort of media narrative of a tightening race probably drives up Dem turnout even more.

Clinton/Kaine 418 EV, 53.0% PV
Trump/Pence 120 EV, 41.4% PV
Johnson/Weld 0 EV, 3.1% PV
McMullin/Finn 0 EV, 1.2% PV
Stein/Baraka 0 EV, 0.8% PV

Except for Idaho, Indiana, and South Carolina. That was how the election played out in the Scholastic kid's mag.

http://election.scholastic.com/vote/

[Spark]

Donald Trump (R-NY) / Michael Pence (R-IN) - 300 EVs, (47.1%)
Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 238 EVs, (48.4%)
Gary Johnson (L-NM) / William Weld (L-MA) - 0 EVs, (4%)
Evan McMullin (I-UT) / Mindy Finn (I-TX) - 0 EVs, (1.1%)
Jill Stein (G-MA) / Ajamu Baraka (G-IL) - 0 EVs, (0.3%)

My gut says Trump will now win. I think MN, NH, & PA are a bit bold. and could easily go for Clinton.

But let me explain:

MN- Dissatisfied with Obamacare, Midwestern, progressive (They won't fall for Hillary), and White.
PA- Turnout will be high in the Pittsburgh metropolitan area and Central PA, while Trump will win a few counties (Bucks, Lehigh, & Luzerne) in the East. Turnout will be lower in Philadelphia and among AAs overall. This should be enough for Trump to flip the state.
NH- White, Hillary's primary loss, and just my own intuition. I'll probably be wrong on this one though.

Utah will be close and I think Trump will narrowly win the state against McMullin & Clinton splitting the vote enough.