Suffolk national: Clinton +9 (4-way); +10 H2H
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  Suffolk national: Clinton +9 (4-way); +10 H2H
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Author Topic: Suffolk national: Clinton +9 (4-way); +10 H2H  (Read 2051 times)
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: October 26, 2016, 01:15:11 PM »

Phew.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.

That's not true. This race is far more votatile than 2012.
Not in terms of polling. It has been remarkable stable.

Yup.

Trump has lead in three national polls the last couple months (CNN, LA-times, and IBD) and I the only swing state polling that has been favorable to him is IA and OH. 2012 as stable, but there was far more variance in that national polls, especially after the first debate.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #26 on: October 26, 2016, 01:15:42 PM »

Clinton 47 (42)
Trump 38 (35)
Johnson 4 (9)
Stein 2 (4)


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Maxwell
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« Reply #27 on: October 26, 2016, 01:15:52 PM »

Phew.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.

That's not true. This race is far more votatile than 2012.
Not in terms of polling. It has been remarkable stable.

Going back and forth between a virtual tie and Clinton+10 three times over is not "remarkably stable".

There are no polls showing a "virtual tie"
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #28 on: October 26, 2016, 01:17:38 PM »

Phew.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.

That's not true. This race is far more votatile than 2012.
Not in terms of polling. It has been remarkable stable.

Going back and forth between a virtual tie and Clinton+10 three times over is not "remarkably stable".

There are no polls showing a "virtual tie"

There were back in May, in early August, and in late September.
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #29 on: October 26, 2016, 01:17:57 PM »

Phew.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.

That's not true. This race is far more votatile than 2012.
Not in terms of polling. It has been remarkable stable.

Going back and forth between a virtual tie and Clinton+10 three times over is not "remarkably stable".

Look at the average of the polls.

The only time Trump had a lead was after the RNC. Clinton has lead Trump for the majority of this cycle.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #30 on: October 26, 2016, 01:18:54 PM »

Nate Cohn highlighted the best part of the poll. Trump only leads among the low energies.
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/791340683831472128

Excited
Clinton 59
Trump 39

Alarmed
Clinton 49
Trump 38

Bored
Clinton 39
Trump 44
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Maxwell
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« Reply #31 on: October 26, 2016, 01:19:15 PM »

Phew.

Honestly for all the craziness that Trump has brought, this has been a fairly stable race polling wise. 2012 was actually a tad more volatile.

That's not true. This race is far more votatile than 2012.
Not in terms of polling. It has been remarkable stable.

Going back and forth between a virtual tie and Clinton+10 three times over is not "remarkably stable".

There are no polls showing a "virtual tie"

There were back in May, in early August, and in late September.

Trump's best number was just above 45%, which is close to Clinton's worst.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #32 on: October 26, 2016, 01:21:39 PM »

My money is Clinton wins by 7-11 points.

Very astute, Moderate Hero person.  I have it Clinton by 9 when all said and done, and I'm the king around these parts when it comes to amazing prognostication.  You have earned my accolades and this picture of Chef Excellence.  Excellently done.  

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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #33 on: October 26, 2016, 01:23:37 PM »

Nate Cohn highlighted the best part of the poll. Trump only leads among the low energies.
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/791340683831472128

Excited
Clinton 59
Trump 39

Alarmed
Clinton 49
Trump 38

Bored
Clinton 39
Trump 44

And, it must be said, this seems to correspond with the early voting numbers in general so far, and in particular the Democratic advantage Shale has noticed in the category of "unlikely" voters in FL.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #34 on: October 26, 2016, 01:26:39 PM »

Trump's numbers look remarkably like this man who ran for Senate in Missouri in 2012
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #35 on: October 26, 2016, 01:29:06 PM »

Clinton's favorable numbers will be net positive by her inauguration IMO
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #36 on: October 26, 2016, 01:31:21 PM »

Nate Cohn highlighted the best part of the poll. Trump only leads among the low energies.
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/791340683831472128

Excited
Clinton 59
Trump 39

Alarmed
Clinton 49
Trump 38

Bored
Clinton 39
Trump 44

And, it must be said, this seems to correspond with the early voting numbers in general so far, and in particular the Democratic advantage Shale has noticed in the category of "unlikely" voters in FL.

Indeed.  We've noticed a trend of Clinton doing better or equal among LVs as compared to RVs.  That can be attributed to the ol' college-educated whites that have been strong for her.  That doesn't mean the LV screen still isn't wildly underestimating her with tight screens that are missing what appears to be a jump in Hispanic turnout and Hispanic support on the Democratic side.  
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #37 on: October 26, 2016, 01:37:26 PM »

My money is Clinton wins by 7-11 points.

Very astute, Moderate Hero person.  I have it Clinton by 9 when all said and done, and I'm the king around these parts when it comes to amazing prognostication.  You have earned my accolades and this picture of Chef Excellence.  Excellently done.  


I do think we should ban abortions after the third trimester and have 2 parents consent needed for a teen to get an abortion *nod*

Tongue
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Gass3268
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« Reply #38 on: October 26, 2016, 01:51:39 PM »

This was a very good poll for Clinton on 538, bumped her up a full percentage point.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #39 on: October 26, 2016, 01:51:45 PM »

My money is Clinton wins by 7-11 points.

Very astute, Moderate Hero person.  I have it Clinton by 9 when all said and done, and I'm the king around these parts when it comes to amazing prognostication.  You have earned my accolades and this picture of Chef Excellence.  Excellently done.  


I do think we should ban abortions after the third trimester and have 2 parents consent needed for a teen to get an abortion *nod*

Tongue

I agree, we should absolutely not be performing abortions after the 3rd trimester is over.  As for the 2nd part, I pray for your prudery to leave you.
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mark_twain
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« Reply #40 on: October 26, 2016, 01:52:36 PM »


Great poll!
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #41 on: October 26, 2016, 01:54:25 PM »

My money is Clinton wins by 7-11 points.

Very astute, Moderate Hero person.  I have it Clinton by 9 when all said and done, and I'm the king around these parts when it comes to amazing prognostication.  You have earned my accolades and this picture of Chef Excellence.  Excellently done.  


I do think we should ban abortions after the third trimester and have 2 parents consent needed for a teen to get an abortion *nod*

Tongue

I agree, we should absolutely not be performing abortions after the 3rd trimester is over.  As for the 2nd part, I pray for your prudery to leave you.
...I hope you took none of that seriously.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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« Reply #42 on: October 26, 2016, 01:58:51 PM »

My money is Clinton wins by 7-11 points.

Very astute, Moderate Hero person.  I have it Clinton by 9 when all said and done, and I'm the king around these parts when it comes to amazing prognostication.  You have earned my accolades and this picture of Chef Excellence.  Excellently done.  


I do think we should ban abortions after the third trimester and have 2 parents consent needed for a teen to get an abortion *nod*

Tongue

I agree, we should absolutely not be performing abortions after the 3rd trimester is over.  As for the 2nd part, I pray for your prudery to leave you.
...I hope you took none of that seriously.

How does one take something seriously?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #43 on: October 26, 2016, 02:00:08 PM »

My money is Clinton wins by 7-11 points.

Very astute, Moderate Hero person.  I have it Clinton by 9 when all said and done, and I'm the king around these parts when it comes to amazing prognostication.  You have earned my accolades and this picture of Chef Excellence.  Excellently done.  


I do think we should ban abortions after the third trimester and have 2 parents consent needed for a teen to get an abortion *nod*

Tongue

I agree, we should absolutely not be performing abortions after the 3rd trimester is over.  As for the 2nd part, I pray for your prudery to leave you.
...I hope you took none of that seriously.

How does one take something seriously?

What have you done, HookiePook? You mentioned he who shall not be named.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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« Reply #44 on: October 26, 2016, 02:19:08 PM »

My money is Clinton wins by 7-11 points.

Very astute, Moderate Hero person.  I have it Clinton by 9 when all said and done, and I'm the king around these parts when it comes to amazing prognostication.  You have earned my accolades and this picture of Chef Excellence.  Excellently done.  


I do think we should ban abortions after the third trimester and have 2 parents consent needed for a teen to get an abortion *nod*

Tongue

I agree, we should absolutely not be performing abortions after the 3rd trimester is over.  As for the 2nd part, I pray for your prudery to leave you.
...I hope you took none of that seriously.

How does one take something seriously?

What have you done, HookiePook? You mentioned he who shall not be named.

The last I saw of him he was all kinds of butthurt that I was happy he had a couple pro-Trump polls to yank his willy to.  Talk about ungrateful behavior towards my jovial spatting.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #45 on: October 26, 2016, 02:25:06 PM »

I just realized she's +10 in the 2 way
https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/791359430612938753
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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« Reply #46 on: October 26, 2016, 02:26:40 PM »


SMASHING!  Great news!
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OneJ
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« Reply #47 on: October 26, 2016, 03:04:19 PM »

I'm calling it. Hillary will win by at least 8 points and could actually hit a favorable rating in at least one poll.

AMAZINGLY energetic poll!
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #48 on: October 26, 2016, 03:18:06 PM »

Fantastic for Hillary!!
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #49 on: October 26, 2016, 04:34:30 PM »

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