Fox National Poll: Clinton +3/+5 (user search)
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  Fox National Poll: Clinton +3/+5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Fox National Poll: Clinton +3/+5  (Read 2076 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: October 26, 2016, 06:04:54 PM »

There's no way Clinton is only leading by 44 points among non-whites.

yep - and anything below 20 points ahead with whites is DOA for Republicans.

It seems like polls are suggesting a far whiter audience than what should be expected for this election.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2016, 06:14:27 PM »

urban: Clinton +22
suburban: Clinton +7
rural: Trump +17


Um, these numbers actually suggest a Clinton blowout.

How are they defining urban, suburban, and rural?  What %age of the country do they put in each basket?  If it was an even split between the three, then the average would be (+22 +7 -17) / 3 = +4, for a 4 point Clinton lead.


I doubt it. Romney carried suburbs by 2 and rural areas by 24 and still lost by 4.

and assuming that Trump is AMPING UP TURNOUT IN RURAL AREAS seems like exactly the wrong assumption to make considering what's happening in early voting.
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