If you were given the ability to predict the exact outcome of 3 senatoral races,
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  If you were given the ability to predict the exact outcome of 3 senatoral races,
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Poll
Question: ... which races would you like to predict?
#1
Alabama
#2
Alaska
#3
Arizona
#4
Arkansas
#5
Colorado
#6
Connecticut
#7
Florida
#8
Georgia
#9
Hawaii
#10
Idaho
#11
Illinois
#12
Indiana
#13
Iowa
#14
Kansas
#15
Kentucky
#16
Louisiana
#17
Maryland
#18
Missouri
#19
Nevada
#20
New Hampshire
#21
New York
#22
North Carolina
#23
North Dakota
#24
Ohio
#25
Oklahoma
#26
Oregon
#27
Pennsylvania
#28
South Carolina
#29
South Dakota
#30
Utah
#31
Vermont
#32
Washington
#33
Wisconsin
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Author Topic: If you were given the ability to predict the exact outcome of 3 senatoral races,  (Read 393 times)
On Fleek
on fleek
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« on: October 26, 2016, 07:23:53 PM »

Well?
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2016, 07:43:56 PM »

Florida and North Carolina are no-brainers, but I had trouble picking a third race. I picked Missouri because if Kander wins, it's probably a great night for Democrats.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2016, 09:26:26 PM »

Republicans are likely to keep Florida, Arizona and Ohio.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2016, 09:55:31 PM »

MO, NH and PA.

The former because there has been very little polling, and the other two because polling has been all over the place and often doesn't match up with other factors. NV is in that category too, but I'm willing to have faith in Dem ground game there. Polling in NC is pretty consistent.
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Shadows
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2016, 03:51:48 PM »

The real test is getting the tossups right & predicting against the flow correctly.

I see -

Mcginty +1% (Plus Minus 1% depending on turnout)
Ayotte +1%  (Plus Minus 1% depending on turnout)
Burr +1  (Plus Minus 1% depending on turnout)

Senate - 50/50 (Dems pick up IL, WI, IN & PA)
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hurricanehink
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2016, 04:38:42 PM »

Florida, Indiana, and Nevada. They represent three distinct regions of the country, and would tell so much about election night.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2016, 05:46:19 PM »

IL, LA, and NV.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2016, 11:07:11 PM »

I must be reading this wrong, I interpret this as I get to decide the outcome of three races. I voted for Connecticut, Vermont and Washington. If we win even some of the toss-up races and then (somehow) won these three, Republicans are virtually guaranteed the Senate.

If it is just "What races would I like to know the result of in advance," it would be Indiana, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania, because I see those three races as being the most unpredictable.
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