How does a Republican win New York?

[Suburbia]

How does a Republican presidential ticket win the state of New York? I thought that Republican Donald Trump could have done it in 2016, but that is looking unlikely. How does it happen? When will it happen?

[peterthlee]

Whenever a Democrat wins AR, AL, KS, KY, ID, ND, SD in presidential elections, then NY could be in a modest Republican's real stretch.

[Figueira]

It would require a complete realignment. And I'm not talking about nominating Charlie Baker.

[Stephen]

if something like in utah happens

[LLR]

If Brian Sandoval converted to Judaism and somehow ran to the left of the Democrat, he'd have a 20% shot.

[Kingpoleon]

2024: Former Governor Charlie Baker/Senator Brian Sandoval v. Vice President Tim Kaine/Governor Jim Justice

[Metalhead123]

How does a Republican presidential ticket win the state of New York? I thought that Republican Donald Trump could have done it in 2016, but that is looking unlikely. How does it happen? When will it happen?

It doesn't happen and it probably will never happen.

[Cashew]

NYC becomes it's own state.

[Bismarck]

The democratic nominee is discovered to have been a co conspirator in 9/11. Then republicans might win. Maybe.

[evergreenarbor]

It would have to be some sort of bizarre vote-splitting caused by a Democratic ticket that horrifies the base and an independent ticket that really excites it, coupled with a very moderate Republican ticket - and even then, the Democrat might still win. Something like:

Brian Sandoval/John Kasich (R) v. Joe Manchin/Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) v. Bernie Sanders/Elizabeth Warren (I)

[LLR]

I don't know why we're all saying Sandoval when Pataki would do the job just as well... D'oh!

[Ljube]

This election could have seen that, if Bloomberg had run.

[Redban]

Since 1992, New York has consistently voted around 20 points to the left of the national as a whole:

2012: 28% (vs 4% nationally) [Hurricane Sandy had an effect, however]
2008: 27% (vs 8% nationally)
2004: 18% (vs +2 nationally)
2000: 25% (vs 1% nationally)
1996: 29% (vs 9% nationally)
1992: 16% (vs 6% nationally)

In addition, Democrats hold a massive 2.7 million advantage in voter registration:

https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/enrollment/county/county_apr16.pdf

Therefore, in the current environment, the Republican would need an historical landslide in which he or she gets 15-20% in the national popular vote. Even a Reagan 88', Nixon 72', or LBJ 64' landslide would be insufficient.

The problem is New York City -- too many immigrants, progressives, educated voters, single-mothers, and low-income individuals. Without NYC, New York would be like Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin.

[Del Tachi]

If a popular, incumbent Republican governor of New York or Mayor of New York City is the nominee. 

[5280]

A hurricane came in and wiped out half the population.