States that have moved most towards Democrats: In parenthesis, I've listed the difference between the state's vote and the national electorate. Gore won the popular vote by 0.5, Obama won by 3.8.
1. Vermont:
2000- Gore- 50.7- Bush- 40.7 (D-9.5)
2012- Obama- 66.6- Romney- 31.0 (D-31.
2. Oregon:
2000- Gore- 47.0- Bush- 46.5 (Even with electorate)
2012- Obama- 54.3- Romney- 42.2 (D-8.
3. Virginia:
2000- Bush-52.4- Gore- 44.4 (R-8.5)
2012- Obama- 51.1- Romney 47.3 (Even)
4. North Carolina
2000- Bush- 56.0- Gore 43.2 (R-13.3)
2012- Romney 50.4- Obama 48.4 (R-5.
Republican shifts:
1. West Virginia
2000- Bush- 51.9-46.0 (R-5.4)
2012- Romney 62.1-35.5 (R-30.4)
2. Arkansas
2000- Bush- 51.3-45.9 (R-4.9)
2012- Romney- 60.6-36.9 (R-27.5)
3. Tennessee
2000
Bush-51.2-47.2 (R-3.5)
2012
Romney-59.4-39.0 (R-24.2)
4. Louisiana
2000:
Bush- 52.6-44.9 (R-7.2)
2012:
Romney- 57.8-40.6 (R-21.0)
Let's discuss the reason for these shifts and what if anything can reverse them. What states do you expect to move in 2024?
IMO- In order for Democrats to be competitive in the Deep South and Appalachia, they must back off on partial birth abortion and take a stronger stance on National Defense and Illegal Immigration.
Republicans can be competitive in the Northeast as well as Oregon and Washington by going Libertarian socially with fiscal conservatism.
Don't see either happening.
