Willing to go out on a limb here...

[PresidentTRUMP]

I will predict Donald Trump get a MINIMUM of 15% of the African American vote....if he doesn't get that amount atleast I will never post on this forum again.....

While I believe he will get a minimum of 15% of that vote, I believe the actual total percentage he will get will be right around 20% when compared to Romney 6% and McCain 5% will be the difference in several swing states.

[Devout Centrist]

I will predict Donald Trump get a MINIMUM of 15% of the African American vote....if he doesn't get that amount atleast I will never post on this forum again.....

While I believe he will get a minimum of 15% of that vote, I believe the actual total percentage he will get will be right around 20% when compared to Romney 6% and McCain 5% will be the difference in several swing states.

Better pack your bags now.

[Dr. Arch]

Sad to see you go.

[MasterJedi]

I'm willing to bet he can't even reach 10% as a HIGH. He's likely to get 5% again due to how much of the black community hates the man.

[PresidentTRUMP]

I'm willing to bet he can't even reach 10% as a HIGH. He's likely to get 5% again due to how much of the black community hates the man.

I don't think you could be any FURTHER off.....so Trump is going to do the same with African-Americans as McCain and Romney running against the first black president ever to run for president? Man oh man if you actually think they are going to turn out and vote for Hillary like they did Obama...

[GeorgiaModerate]

I'm willing to bet he can't even reach 10% as a HIGH. He's likely to get 5% again due to how much of the black community hates the man.

I don't think you could be any FURTHER off.....so Trump is going to do the same with African-Americans as McCain and Romney running against the first black president ever to run for president? Man oh man if you actually think they are going to turn out and vote for Hillary like they did Obama...

You're probably correct that they won't have the enthusiasm for Clinton that they did for Obama, but that's not the only factor.  They also have a huge antipathy for Trump (see today's Q poll of PA, which showed Trump with 1% among AA voters).  It's likely that fewer AA voters will vote for Clinton than for Obama -- but MANY fewer will vote for Trump than they did for McCain or Romney.  The result is that overall AA turnout will be down (which is consistent with some early vote statistics), and Trump's percentage of that lower total will be lower than McCain/Romney.

[TC 25]

Trump black vote

Low end: 16 percent,  could top out at 22-23

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

What the hell is this?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Trump black vote

Low end: 16 percent,  could top out at 22-23

The polls indicate a much lower percentage.

[MasterJedi]

I'm willing to bet he can't even reach 10% as a HIGH. He's likely to get 5% again due to how much of the black community hates the man.

I don't think you could be any FURTHER off.....so Trump is going to do the same with African-Americans as McCain and Romney running against the first black president ever to run for president? Man oh man if you actually think they are going to turn out and vote for Hillary like they did Obama...

As Georgia Moderate said overall turnout will be down but they won't vote for the slaver.

Just out of curiosities sake, how old are you? I imagine you haven't been following politics that long if you think the black community would ever go as high as 15% for the Republican in todays climate.

[PresidentTRUMP]

Trump black vote

Low end: 16 percent,  could top out at 22-23

Couldn't agree anymore with you.

[Devout Centrist]

I'll bet you Trump gets no more than 10% of the black vote and furthermore, I will let you publicly humiliate me if I'm wrong and I will cease posting on this forum forever.

[PresidentTRUMP]

I'm willing to bet he can't even reach 10% as a HIGH. He's likely to get 5% again due to how much of the black community hates the man.

I don't think you could be any FURTHER off.....so Trump is going to do the same with African-Americans as McCain and Romney running against the first black president ever to run for president? Man oh man if you actually think they are going to turn out and vote for Hillary like they did Obama...

As Georgia Moderate said overall turnout will be down but they won't vote for the slaver.

Just out of curiosities sake, how old are you? I imagine you haven't been following politics that long if you think the black community would ever go as high as 15% for the Republican in todays climate.

Oh boy here comes the personal attacks on this liberal forum....fully expected

[MasterJedi]

I'm willing to bet he can't even reach 10% as a HIGH. He's likely to get 5% again due to how much of the black community hates the man.

I don't think you could be any FURTHER off.....so Trump is going to do the same with African-Americans as McCain and Romney running against the first black president ever to run for president? Man oh man if you actually think they are going to turn out and vote for Hillary like they did Obama...

As Georgia Moderate said overall turnout will be down but they won't vote for the slaver.

Just out of curiosities sake, how old are you? I imagine you haven't been following politics that long if you think the black community would ever go as high as 15% for the Republican in todays climate.

Oh boy here comes the personal attacks on this liberal forum....fully expected

You do it to yourself and since you didn't actually answer the question I got the answer I needed. Thank you good sir.

[LLR]

Not like I'm gonna miss you particularly

[PresidentTRUMP]

I'll bet you Trump gets no more than 10% of the black vote and furthermore, I will let you publicly humiliate me if I'm wrong and I will cease posting on this forum forever.

Sorry but publicly humiliating another American like yourself isn't my style even though I believe i will be 100% correct when all of the votes are counted.

[ProudModerate2]

I will predict Donald Trump get a MINIMUM of 15% of the African American vote....if he doesn't get that amount atleast I will never post on this forum again.....

While I believe he will get a minimum of 15% of that vote, I believe the actual total percentage he will get will be right around 20% when compared to Romney 6% and McCain 5% will be the difference in several swing states.

When you play roulette in Vegas, do you put all your chips on double-zero ?

[afleitch]

Trump black vote

Low end: 16 percent,  could top out at 22-23

Couldn't agree anymore with you.

So you think Trump is going to do better amongst AA voters than Romney, Mc Cain, W Bush, Dole, Bush, Reagan, Ford, Nixon and while the breakdowns aren't available before 1972, probably better than any Republican candidate since the Civil Rights Act? What evidence are you basing that on?

[Dr. Arch]

I'll bet you Trump gets no more than 10% of the black vote and furthermore, I will let you publicly humiliate me if I'm wrong and I will cease posting on this forum forever.

Sorry but publicly humiliating another American like yourself isn't my style even though I believe i will be 100% correct when all of the votes are counted.

Yes, of course. Trump will win a fifth of African-Americans after him being the spearhead for the racist birtherism "Obama is from Kenya" bullsh**t. Please, don't kid yourself.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I have this terrible bias in favor of data over feelings and intuition. 

Crossposted from the polling forum:

Crosstabs (again with Trump in 3rd place among blacks):

Trump has 3% of the AA vote in this poll (less even than Johnson, who has 6%).  Clinton has 81%.

[ProudModerate2]

Trump black vote
Low end: 16 percent,  could top out at 22-23

Couldn't agree anymore with you.

[Statilius the Epicurean]

I will predict Donald Trump get a MINIMUM of 15% of the African American vote....if he doesn't get that amount atleast I will never post on this forum again.....

While I believe he will get a minimum of 15% of that vote, I believe the actual total percentage he will get will be right around 20% when compared to Romney 6% and McCain 5% will be the difference in several swing states.

Might as well stop posting now tbh

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

I will predict Donald Trump get a MINIMUM of 15% of the African American vote....if he doesn't get that amount atleast I will never post on this forum again.....

While I believe he will get a minimum of 15% of that vote, I believe the actual total percentage he will get will be right around 20% when compared to Romney 6% and McCain 5% will be the difference in several swing states.

Bye!

[Speed of Sound]

You were going to leave anyway as soon as Trump lost, but it's comforting to have it in writing, I suppose.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0toEKn3vKDU