Hong Kong Chief Executive election, 2017
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  Hong Kong Chief Executive election, 2017
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for?
#1
Leung Chun-ying (I-inc)
 
#2
John Tsang Chun-wah  (I)
 
#3
Regina Ip Lau Suk-yee (NPP)
 
#4
Jasper Tsang Yok-sing (DAB)
 
#5
Antony Leung Kam-chung (I)
 
#6
Audrey Eu (CP)
 
#7
Alan Leong Kah-kit (CP)
 
#8
James To (DP)
 
#9
Raymond Wong Yuk-man (I/PPI)
 
#10
Woo Kwok-hing (I)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 7

Author Topic: Hong Kong Chief Executive election, 2017  (Read 8998 times)
peterthlee
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« Reply #75 on: March 23, 2017, 08:02:40 AM »

Hmm. I know Li has gotten into hot water with Beijing over political commentary before.
He needs to bow down to Beijing at an appropriate timing.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #76 on: March 24, 2017, 09:27:32 AM »

John Tsang Chun-wah (I) held a medium-sized rally in Edinburgh Place in Central. Over 3000 turned out, according to police figures.

On the contrary, the two main pro-establishment parties: DAB and FTU advised their electorates to vote for Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor (I). The raw tally for Lam has culminated to over 601 (minimum winning threshold), if none of the nominating electorates go to Tsang in the election this Sunday.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #77 on: March 25, 2017, 07:53:24 PM »

Polls are now open in HKCEC!

Lam received two delegates' votes from Tsang's camp yesterday.
She is projected to have 650-780 votes.
A live broadcast of the electorate's voting is provided here.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #78 on: March 25, 2017, 09:52:33 PM »

Over 90% of electorates have voted.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #79 on: March 25, 2017, 10:02:00 PM »

Polls are now closed. Excited!
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peterthlee
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« Reply #80 on: March 25, 2017, 10:59:24 PM »

Ballot boxes are now open.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #81 on: March 25, 2017, 11:11:24 PM »

Counting in progress. Adrenaline level records a staggering increase...
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peterthlee
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« Reply #82 on: March 25, 2017, 11:22:37 PM »

All counting now stops, with certification left.
By the way, Tsang did not step up to the stage to hear the results. So queer!
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peterthlee
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« Reply #83 on: March 25, 2017, 11:32:27 PM »

Lam crossed 600 threshold!!!!!
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peterthlee
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« Reply #84 on: March 25, 2017, 11:36:08 PM »
« Edited: March 26, 2017, 12:17:39 AM by peterthlee »

Preliminary results
Lam 777
Tsang 365
Woo 21
(Modified)
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peterthlee
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« Reply #85 on: March 26, 2017, 12:21:20 AM »
« Edited: April 21, 2017, 06:43:56 AM by peterthlee »

Official announcement of election now unveiled:
1163 eligible votes
(1) Tsang 365
(2) Lam 777
(3) Woo 21
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peterthlee
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« Reply #86 on: March 26, 2017, 12:25:12 AM »

Lam officially declared the victor. Elated!
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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #87 on: March 26, 2017, 06:30:00 AM »

Tsang got more vote then I thought he would.  Lam won as expected of course.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #88 on: April 02, 2017, 11:45:56 PM »

He actually fell short of his principal target of 400 votes. On the other hand, Lam outfoxed her expectation of 750 votes.
I appreciate Justice Woo the most because he pretends not to be a sore loser after only getting 21 votes.
One thing I'd like to bring to your attention is that Lam's polling numbers might be manipulated. To be honest, in the by-election in 2016 (for NTE), the HKU polling and pro-Beijing polling are virtually the same. This time pan-democratic polling oversampled the non-establishments. I tried to adjust them proportionally and found Lam only trailing by around 7-10 points, instead of over 20 points. Moreover, in some adjusted pollings she was in the lead.
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In the aftermath of the election, Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)  and Representative Chris Smith (R-NJ/04) issued a joint statement criticizing Beijing of 'interference'. They threatened to amend the US-Hong Kong Policy Act if appropriate. However, their statement met with tease, jeers and indifference across the political spectrum locally in HK.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #89 on: April 07, 2017, 07:56:47 AM »

CE-Elect Carrie Lam will be slated to receive the appointment certificate in Beijing this Sunday from State Council PM Li Keqiang. Her spouse will be with her.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #90 on: April 07, 2017, 08:22:11 AM »

Following the cornerstone election, the political parties are now turning their eyes to the special elections in Kowloon West and New Territories East (under first-past-the-post system). It is still unclear when they will take place, as the lawsuits against other 4 MPs are still under progress and no decisions are handed down yet.

I confidently predict that pro-establishments will gain seats for the first time in FPTP, which is said to benefit the non-establishments due to the nature of the electorate. It is most likely to happen in Kowloon West. Meanwhile, partitioning of democrats in NTE, coupled with strong candidates from the pro-Beijing camp (e.g. ex-MP Wong Kwok-hing), could give away the seat to the pro-Beijing camp.

Another factor is that Justice Woo's supporters are now feeling betrayed by the pan-democrats and plan to cast their ballots to establishment candidates as 'protest votes'. A swing of 10% in both districts (as well as Hong Kong Island) could well spell the end to the democrats...
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peterthlee
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« Reply #91 on: April 21, 2017, 06:45:05 AM »

In retrospect, just imagine:
if Leung ran for re-election against Tsang and Woo.
The election would be much more wilder.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #92 on: May 27, 2017, 08:44:37 AM »

To facilitate smooth information access and management, I suggest that threads about Hong Kong elections (such as future LegCo by-elections, 2019 Local District Council elections, 2020 LegCo general election and 2022 CE election) be merged to a megathread just like the Austrian model.
This thread will be locked, effective from now.
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