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Author Topic: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6  (Read 429 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: October 31, 2016, 12:10:58 pm »
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48% John Gregg (D)
42% Eric Holcomb (R)
4% Rex Bell (L)

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IN_103116/
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2016, 12:13:42 pm »
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In a poll with Trump up 11 (reasonable) and Bayh in dead heat...

Congrats, Governor Moustache
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For England, James?

No. For me.
Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2016, 12:22:59 pm »
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fantastic!
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Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2016, 12:25:29 pm »
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fantastic!
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I stand with the Korean Churches for Community Development, the National Association of Evangelicals, the National Hispanic Christian Leadership Conference, World Relief, etc. in their belief that Trump's refugee orders are fundamentally anti-christian (and therefore against the values America was founded on) and must be repealed.
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'17 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr

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xīngkěru
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2016, 12:32:23 pm »
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If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.
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St. Alphonso
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2016, 12:34:19 pm »
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Moving from tilt D to lean D.
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Cashew
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2016, 01:07:58 pm »
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2016, 01:16:38 pm »
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Looks like Dems pick up IN and NC.
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Region Rat.  Yes, Indiana, we're Hoosiers too!

Pragmatic Moderate Libertarian.  ELCA Lutheran.  Juvenile Attorney for the State of Indiana.
Figueira
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2016, 03:04:09 pm »
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At least this poll isn't all bad. Awesome Mustache will defeat Discount Jeb!
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: December 31, 2016, 04:34:32 am »
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Does anyone know what happened here?
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
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« Reply #10 on: December 31, 2016, 04:41:27 am »
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If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.

Or maybe Trump will win by 19, and Gregg is toast.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #11 on: December 31, 2016, 04:44:28 am »
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Does anyone know what happened here?

Pence homestate effect happened.
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Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #12 on: December 31, 2016, 07:42:10 am »
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Does anyone know what happened here?

Trump won by 19 instead of 11.
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I stand with the Korean Churches for Community Development, the National Association of Evangelicals, the National Hispanic Christian Leadership Conference, World Relief, etc. in their belief that Trump's refugee orders are fundamentally anti-christian (and therefore against the values America was founded on) and must be repealed.
-
Accept it:

TX-SEN (2018) - Proj. Winner - Ted Cruz (R)
-
'17 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr

'18 House Rating: Lean R
DavidB.
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« Reply #13 on: December 31, 2016, 08:56:39 am »
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Trump won by 19 instead of 11.
This exactly. Trump's coattails were much longer. The same thing happened with Eric Greitens in MO. Hillary was just toxic in states like IN and MO that rapidly trend R.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #14 on: December 31, 2016, 10:46:34 am »
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Yeah, but Gregg seems like the type of Democrat who would get many Trump voters. Also, coattails weren't really a big factor in most gubernatorial races (heck, look at WV and VT, for example).

Does anyone know what happened here?

Trump won by 19 instead of 11.

Even if you assume a uniform swing, that would give Holcomb a lead of 2 points. But he won by 6 points on election day.
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

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