Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 23, 2017, 03:46:37 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | |-+  IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: IN-Monmouth: Gregg +6  (Read 589 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13846
United States


View Profile
« on: October 31, 2016, 12:10:58 pm »
Ignore

48% John Gregg (D)
42% Eric Holcomb (R)
4% Rex Bell (L)

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IN_103116/
Logged





KingSweden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4249
United States


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2016, 12:13:42 pm »
Ignore

In a poll with Trump up 11 (reasonable) and Bayh in dead heat...

Congrats, Governor Moustache
Logged

For England, James?

No. For me.
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27524
Germany


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2016, 12:22:59 pm »
Ignore

fantastic!
Logged

Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13908
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2016, 12:25:29 pm »
Ignore

fantastic!
Logged

xīngkěru
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10713
Taiwan


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2016, 12:32:23 pm »
Ignore

If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.
Logged

St. Alphonso
Chancellor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1336


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2016, 12:34:19 pm »
Ignore

Moving from tilt D to lean D.
Logged
Cashew
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1446
United States


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2016, 01:07:58 pm »
Ignore

Logged
libertpaulian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 784
United States


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2016, 01:16:38 pm »
Ignore

Looks like Dems pick up IN and NC.
Logged

Region Rat.  Yes, Indiana, we're Hoosiers too!

Pragmatic Moderate Libertarian.  ELCA Lutheran.  Juvenile Attorney for the State of Indiana.
Figueira
84285
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8655


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2016, 03:04:09 pm »
Ignore

At least this poll isn't all bad. Awesome Mustache will defeat Discount Jeb!
Logged

Note: I am not actually British.

MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13846
United States


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: December 31, 2016, 04:34:32 am »
Ignore

Does anyone know what happened here?
Logged





○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40789


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

View Profile
« Reply #10 on: December 31, 2016, 04:41:27 am »
Ignore

If a poll with Trump up by 11 has Gregg this far ahead, he's probably got this.

Or maybe Trump will win by 19, and Gregg is toast.
Logged

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 43024
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

View Profile
« Reply #11 on: December 31, 2016, 04:44:28 am »
Ignore

Does anyone know what happened here?

Pence homestate effect happened.
Logged
Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13908
United States


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: December 31, 2016, 07:42:10 am »
Ignore

Does anyone know what happened here?

Trump won by 19 instead of 11.
Logged

DavidB.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7409
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -0.84, S: 4.26

View Profile
« Reply #13 on: December 31, 2016, 08:56:39 am »
Ignore

Trump won by 19 instead of 11.
This exactly. Trump's coattails were much longer. The same thing happened with Eric Greitens in MO. Hillary was just toxic in states like IN and MO that rapidly trend R.
Logged

MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13846
United States


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: December 31, 2016, 10:46:34 am »
Ignore

Yeah, but Gregg seems like the type of Democrat who would get many Trump voters. Also, coattails weren't really a big factor in most gubernatorial races (heck, look at WV and VT, for example).

Does anyone know what happened here?

Trump won by 19 instead of 11.

Even if you assume a uniform swing, that would give Holcomb a lead of 2 points. But he won by 6 points on election day.
Logged





Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines