Texas, CBS 11 Dallas and Dixie Strategies: Trump +12

[Classic Conservative]

Trump: 52%
Clinton: 39%
Johnson: 3%
Stein: 0%
Other: 2%
Undecided: 4%

http://dfw.cbslocal.com/2016/11/01/donald-trump-surges-to-12-point-lead-in-texas/

[Tender Branson]

But our fellow Hillary backing dreamers told me TX is competttututtve ...

[MT Treasurer]

Moving this to Safe R.

[Eraserhead]

I guess it's back to being Safe R.

[Person Man]

Hopefully, this means there won't be that mythical split in the EV/PV  and this could be where that sucking sound has come from the last few days.

[ApatheticAustrian]

But our fellow Hillary backing dreamers told me TX is competttututtve ...

would you bez on trump +11?

(besides knowing that dixie strategies are a partisan's partisan)

i don't think trump is going to be higher than +6.

[Speed of Sound]

Pretty heavy swing from their previous poll, mostly in R's coming home. It's probably split the difference between this and their last poll.

But our fellow Hillary backing dreamers told me TX is competttututtve ...

You've really become a pretty unfortunate mess. Sorry about whatever happened, man. :/

[Yank2133]

Pretty heavy swing from their previous poll, mostly in R's coming home. It's probably split the difference between this and their last poll.

But our fellow Hillary backing dreamers told me TX is competttututtve ...

You've really become a pretty unfortunate mess. Sorry about whatever happened, man. :/

He and a lot of people here have been exposed as not serious people.

[Tender Branson]

Pretty heavy swing from their previous poll, mostly in R's coming home. It's probably split the difference between this and their last poll.

But our fellow Hillary backing dreamers told me TX is competttututtve ...

You've really become a pretty unfortunate mess. Sorry about whatever happened, man. :/

Nothing happened really.

[KingSweden]

Probably a little friendly to Trump but not by much. +10 is probably reasonable

[Xing]

This large of a swing this late in the race seems unlikely, but I'll see if other polls confirm this.

[jamestroll]

It is sad that the email controversy happened so late in the game.

I honestly do not think the emails has caused Texas to shift this much. Polls until Friday will likely overstate Republican support.

The thing is, in peoples minds, Hillary was already seen as corrupt. So, I doubt the email's will make much difference.

For Texas to vote for Trump by 12 points, it means he would have to have significant Latino support. Which will not happen.

[Kempros]

Interesting. Dan Patrick said at a meeting that the "Texas Strike Force" is going to be working hard to run up the margin. Maybe that is part of it?

[ApatheticAustrian]

if there is a surge; shocked republicans realizing their state became close.

[JerryArkansas]

Let's see a poll from someone who isn't trash. 

[Speed of Sound]

Let's see a poll from someone who isn't trash. 

In Texas a week before the election? Good luck.

[JerryArkansas]

Let's see a poll from someone who isn't trash. 

In Texas a week before the election? Good luck.

With the early voting up as high as it is, we may see someone take a stab at it.

[Maxwell]

>screams "DAMN IT" at laptop
>sees pollster named "Dixie Strategies"
>re-assembles self

[IceSpear]

Safe R, as expected. The Texas pipe dream was almost as embarrassing as when Dems pretended Wendy Davis had a chance...

However, this is a GOP pollster, so it's probably overstating Trump by a few points.

[IceSpear]

I guess it's back to being Safe R.

It always has been.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

The final result should be something along the lines of 53-44.

[swf541]

Dixie Strategies is trash.  Number probably isnt far off

[Kempros]

80% chance with the 95% confidence that the actual numbers are in the margin of error, could be an outlier, but likely not.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I am a little worried that most of the tightening has been large red states like Georgia and Texas that were never really in danger going back to normal margins, and not a cracking of the 272 freiwal.  Let's see what we get from Wisconsin tomorrow.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

I am a little worried that most of the tightening has been large red states like Georgia and Texas that were never really in danger going back to normal margins, and not a cracking of the 272 freiwal.  Let's see what we get from Wisconsin tomorrow.