FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 (user search)
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  FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8  (Read 19622 times)
BoAtlantis
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 791


« on: November 01, 2016, 09:06:39 PM »

If true, game over
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BoAtlantis
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 791


« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 09:25:01 PM »

How stupid are people Red Hacks of Iowa Atlas? @ Mr. Trump

Roll Eyes


This election is over!!!!!1111

Look at the poll's methodology and find the flaw. I've been pointing out important methodological factors towards the credibility of this poll. Rather than hurling personal insults en masse, go and find something to discuss.

This pollster uses voter registration files so in theory, should be accurate.
But Siena/NYT, which also uses voter registration files came up with +4 Trump so who knows....
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BoAtlantis
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 791


« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 09:28:33 PM »

How stupid are people Red Hacks of Iowa Atlas? @ Mr. Trump

Roll Eyes


This election is over!!!!!1111

Look at the poll's methodology and find the flaw. I've been pointing out important methodological factors towards the credibility of this poll. Rather than hurling personal insults en masse, go and find something to discuss.

This pollster uses voter registration files so in theory, should be accurate.
But Siena/NYT, which also uses voter registration files came up with +4 Trump so who knows....

Siena/NYT did not account for new registrations.

That's a great point actually.

Nate Cohn is already challenging him lol

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
"Clinton's not winning 28% of registered Republican early voters in Florida. Just saying."
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BoAtlantis
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 791


« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2016, 09:30:02 PM »

Remind me again why this is more believable than the NC poll showing Trump up 7?

Because SUSA record in NC is utter trash and this poll seems methodologically sound.  That and the other numbers ie the senate look accurate

Survey USA used to be great but has been awful since 2014 according to Silver.

For whatever reason Silver still has them as "A" pollster because of their past accuracy before 2014.
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