election night counties
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  election night counties
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Author Topic: election night counties  (Read 898 times)
catographer
Megameow
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« on: November 01, 2016, 09:51:58 PM »

counties to look for on election night, categorized by voters and who can gain them
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2016, 10:32:35 AM »

Fort Bend County, TX and St. Charles County, MO will certainly be an interesting ones as well.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2016, 10:41:50 AM »

Why isn't Fulton, GA in the green category?

Also I'd say a huge swath of rural predominately White Southern counties should be in the orange.
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Nym90
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2016, 11:51:13 AM »

Nice map. Was it based on statistics or just your own assessments?
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2016, 02:52:02 PM »

Why is Fanquier County, VA, colored in as a potential Clinton gain area? It's solid Republican - Gillespie 64%, Cuccinelli 60%, Allen ('12) 59%, Romney 59%, McCain 56%.

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libertpaulian
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« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2016, 06:59:31 PM »

Hamilton County, Indiana should be interesting also.  I wonder if she can get a voting percentage in the upper 30s like Obama did in 2008, especially considering how rapidly it's grown in the past 8 years.
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catographer
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2016, 08:19:26 PM »

Nice map. Was it based on statistics or just your own assessments?

Just my instincts and what I know about the demographics and voting patterns of some counties.
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catographer
Megameow
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« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2016, 08:21:20 PM »

Why is Fanquier County, VA, colored in as a potential Clinton gain area? It's solid Republican - Gillespie 64%, Cuccinelli 60%, Allen ('12) 59%, Romney 59%, McCain 56%.

I expect her to do much better here than Obama did, especially if she does as well as expected in Loudoun and Prince William.
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catographer
Megameow
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« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2016, 08:22:26 PM »

Fort Bend County, TX and St. Charles County, MO will certainly be an interesting ones as well.

I actually am eager to see what happens in rural western Texas. It has a high Hispanic population but is still just as red as the whitest parts of the country. May it'll change this year (Clinton may come in the 30-40%s in many of these).
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catographer
Megameow
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« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2016, 08:23:31 PM »

Why isn't Fulton, GA in the green category?

Also I'd say a huge swath of rural predominately White Southern counties should be in the orange.

Fulton is definitely gonna be close to watch. First reason is for the AA turnout, second for her suburban white performance.
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