This will be the 2016 final map...
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  This will be the 2016 final map...
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Author Topic: This will be the 2016 final map...  (Read 3353 times)
Vern
vern1988
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« on: November 01, 2016, 11:31:16 PM »

This map below will be the outcome of the election.




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Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 11:34:46 PM »

Flip FL and I'd say you're spot on.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 11:36:05 PM »

Not a bad prediction.  But I do think Clinton will squeak by in Florida, and I have a feeling that McMullin has more support in Utah than polls currently indicate.
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Hammy
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2016, 11:42:26 PM »

This is about what I've been thinking for several weeks now, looks about right. (except Utah.)
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2016, 11:44:36 PM »

let FL/NC go one way or another and i guess you are right.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2016, 11:45:16 PM »

I think NE-02 flips before NC.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2016, 11:48:13 PM »

That's plausible, but I think Hillary takes FL, and AZ/IA/OH could also go for her if Trump's "surge" in the polls is exaggerated.
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Confused Democrat
reidmill
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2016, 11:50:37 PM »

No, this will be the 2016 final map:

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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2016, 11:52:07 PM »

No, this will be the 2016 final map:



I feel like I agree with this +/- Iowa and (beautiful) Arizona.

The more interesting maps are definitely going to be the trend and swing maps.
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Horus
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2016, 11:53:43 PM »

No, this will -
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2016, 11:57:02 PM »


The stupid is strong in this one.

Correct answer: Obama 2008-IN, possibly plus AZ.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2016, 11:57:11 PM »


Based on what are you flipping WI?
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Hammy
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2016, 11:59:48 PM »


https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?fips=55

Trump is not flipping Wisconsin. The best the GOP could get was Trump down by 4 in an R-commissioned poll and Clinton has led in literally every single poll since March of 2015.
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Confused Democrat
reidmill
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2016, 12:18:13 AM »


Lol, I guess this map is fair game then:

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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2016, 12:28:15 AM »

This will be the final map.


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Confused Democrat
reidmill
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2016, 12:29:37 AM »


I hope you're right.
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2016, 07:54:25 AM »

Sorry in advance, but how do you make a map on atlas and post it on the forum in a post? I think the original poster is pretty close to what the end map will look like as well.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2016, 08:06:12 AM »
« Edited: November 02, 2016, 08:15:42 AM by StatesPoll »


I really don't know about Wisconsin Tongue

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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2016, 08:24:52 AM »

Sorry in advance, but how do you make a map on atlas and post it on the forum in a post? I think the original poster is pretty close to what the end map will look like as well.

Go here : https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/evcalc.php
When you are done manipulating the settings for your custom map, hit the "Show Map Link" button near the bottom of the page.
Verify that the image of the map, which appears near the bottom of the page, is exactly what you want. If you make a mistake, do your corrections and then hit the button again.
When satisfied, copy and paste the internal-Atlas image code that is displayed (I think a small new window appears).
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Donnie
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2016, 08:31:23 AM »

This map below will be the outcome of the election.





Flip NC and ME-02 and it's OK as of today - 2nd Nov.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2016, 08:50:26 AM »

My current map:

 


NV and MI have flipped to Hillary.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2016, 08:56:52 AM »

My current map:

 


NV and MI have flipped to Hillary.

TRUMP gonna win NH, But lose in ME-2?
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2016, 08:57:18 AM »

Actually I wouldn't rule out a win in Ohio for Clinton. It is still close.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2016, 09:16:28 AM »

Florida and Ohio are coin flips, and nothing between now and Election Day will change that.  North Carolina leans to Clinton, Iowa and Arizona lean to Trump.

Unless we see a succession of polls with Trump leading a state in the firewall, this map is nearly impossible for Trump to overcome.

Best case for Trump:
Ohio: coin flip
Florida: coin flip
North Carolina: coin flip
Firewall breach: coin flip.

When the race is this close right before the election, these events are nearly independent.  So in Trump's best case going in, he still only has a 1/16 shot.  If we don't see a door open for him in the firewall, his chances are nearly zero.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2016, 11:09:52 AM »

My current map:

 


NV and MI have flipped to Hillary.

TRUMP gonna win NH, But lose in ME-2?


I didn't add congressional districts to my map. Obviously he will win ME-02.
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