IS there any chance...
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Author Topic: IS there any chance...  (Read 344 times)
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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E: -6.19, S: -4.87

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« on: November 10, 2016, 09:17:28 PM »

...that the 600,000 ballots in AZ will affect the AZ result at all? Trump's margin at the moment is about 100,000, definitely enough to flip if the ballots skew D (do they though)
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2016, 09:20:22 PM »

Outstanding ballots rarely flip elections unless it's extremely close. Because a similar distribution to the voting percentages are seen in them as well.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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Posts: 1,867
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Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

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« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2016, 09:21:20 PM »

Outstanding ballots rarely flip elections unless it's extremely close. Because a similar distribution to the voting percentages are seen in them as well.
I see. So it isn't typically Dem or Rep precincts which take longer to report?
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2016, 09:22:38 PM »

Outstanding ballots rarely flip elections unless it's extremely close. Because a similar distribution to the voting percentages are seen in them as well.
I see. So it isn't typically Dem or Rep precincts which take longer to report?

They might be dem/gop precints or overseas ballots, but the difference would not be enough to flip the election.

This happened with Sanders in the CA primary too.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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Posts: 1,867
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Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

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« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2016, 09:24:04 PM »

Outstanding ballots rarely flip elections unless it's extremely close. Because a similar distribution to the voting percentages are seen in them as well.
I see. So it isn't typically Dem or Rep precincts which take longer to report?

They might be dem/gop precints or overseas ballots, but the difference would not be enough to flip the election.

This happened with Sanders in the CA primary too.
I see. They would have to be 60% Dem anyway to flip the results, so maybe it's a moot point.
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Axel Foley
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« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2016, 09:27:17 PM »

Race now called for Trump by basically all the media( only politico still doesn't)...lead slightly decreased from 4.3 to 4, about 84k( 1,017,000 Trump-933,000 Clinton)
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