absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[Crumpets]

I think it's fair to say NC is a dead heat right now, it could go either way really.

I think Clinton is up 2-3 but it is still winnable for the Republicans

With the number of votes that have been cast already, Trump needs to take a clear lead statewide, like right now if he wants to win in the end.

[The Other Castro]

538 has her 0.2 up in polls-only. Hardly a big advantage, black turnout is down as well.

538 doesn't take into account early voting.

[fldemfunds]

538 isn't gospel everyone.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

538 has her 0.2 up in polls-only. Hardly a big advantage, black turnout is down as well.

538 doesn't take into account early voting.

Nate Cohn said, thar early voting demographis is in line with his/other polls. So if his poll was wrong or if race changed (which it did according to 538), early voting is "good" neither for Clinton or for Trump

[ApatheticAustrian]

tuesday +2000 in clark
https://mobile.twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/793950659410132995

nothing stops this train.

[Dr. Arch]

Over 31 million votes have been cast per Elect Project.

[BoAtlantis]

Nate Cohn

"Our estimate for the age 18-29 share of the electorate in NC has fallen much more (-.6%) than black turnout (< -.1%)"

[ApatheticAustrian]

bernie slackers help trump   - rich white women must save us.

[The Other Castro]

Steve Schale ‏@steveschale  33s33 seconds ago Florida, USA
Dems expand EV vote in bellwether Hillsborough from 17.2k to 18.6k today. Best day in a while.

[psychprofessor]

oh my...

Sam SteinVerified account
‏@samsteinhp
@rebeccagberg says trump paid a firm $750k to come in and help with door knocking in Florida because he lacked ground game there

[Gamgubben]

oh my...

Sam SteinVerified account
‏@samsteinhp
@rebeccagberg says trump paid a firm $750k to come in and help with door knocking in Florida because he lacked ground game there

Is that legal?

[ApatheticAustrian]

trump is btw looking for doorknockers RIGHT NOW.

[Crumpets]

oh my...

Sam SteinVerified account
‏@samsteinhp
@rebeccagberg says trump paid a firm $750k to come in and help with door knocking in Florida because he lacked ground game there

Heck, if that's all that costs, Hillary should buy out every firm that does this across the country from now until election day.

[The Other Castro]

Steve Schale ‏@steveschale  33s33 seconds ago Florida, USA
Dems expand EV vote in bellwether Hillsborough from 17.2k to 18.6k today. Best day in a while.

Steve Schale ‏@steveschale  16m16 minutes ago Tallahassee, FL
Total Broward in-person early:

16.7k Dem
8k NPA
6.3k GOP

[NOVA Green]

trump is btw looking for doorknockers RIGHT NOW.

Shoot.... I should apply being actively unemployed and looking for work.

Seriously though, one must wonder what caliber of door-knockers they will get if it being outsourced to a private company, where you are basically hiring people looking for work rather than partisan volunteers that typically deal with the FTF voter interactions.

[dspNY]

Big uptick in Florida Dem turnout today. Good to see

[ApatheticAustrian]

@nova: idk....illegal immigrants?

[dspNY]

Looks like 31K in Broward early vote today plus another 18.5K vote by mail ballots that haven't been counted by the state's website yet but are on the county website.

Broward's VBM tally is 153,448. The state's VBM count for Broward is 134,982

[Antonio the Sixth]

tuesday +2000 in clark
https://mobile.twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/793950659410132995

nothing stops this train.

That's +2000 compared to yesterday, but I'd rather know how it compares to that same day in 2012.

Big uptick in Florida Dem turnout today. Good to see

Great news indeed! Any chance today is the day we finally take the lead?

[dspNY]

tuesday +2000 in clark
https://mobile.twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/793950659410132995

nothing stops this train.

That's +2000 compared to yesterday, but I'd rather know how it compares to that same day in 2012.

Big uptick in Florida Dem turnout today. Good to see

Great news indeed! Is this the day we finally take the lead?

I think we get close, but not quite

[psychprofessor]

Looks like 31K in Broward early vote today plus another 18.5K vote by mail ballots that haven't been counted by the state's website yet but are on the county website.

Broward's VBM tally is 153,448. The state's VBM count for Broward is 134,982

And best EV day in Alachua - big DEM strong hold...you can tell Schale is starting to feel good about FLA

[alomas]

Despite polls suggesting dead heat, Nevada is trending Clinton's way.

So Dems take the lead in Florida when it will be updated?

[dspNY]

Despite polls suggesting dead heat, Nevada is trending Clinton's way.

So Dems take the lead in Florida when it will be updated?

Florida updates are in the early morning, US East Coast time. They usually make 3 or 4

[Antonio the Sixth]

tuesday +2000 in clark
https://mobile.twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/793950659410132995

nothing stops this train.

That's +2000 compared to yesterday, but I'd rather know how it compares to that same day in 2012.

Big uptick in Florida Dem turnout today. Good to see

Great news indeed! Is this the day we finally take the lead?

I think we get close, but not quite

That's starting to get frustrating.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

tuesday +2000 in clark
https://mobile.twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/793950659410132995

nothing stops this train.

That's +2000 compared to yesterday, but I'd rather know how it compares to that same day in 2012.

Big uptick in Florida Dem turnout today. Good to see

Great news indeed! Is this the day we finally take the lead?

I think we get close, but not quite

That's starting to get frustrating.

Again... Clinton is doing much better with NPA voters ... she appears to be out-performing sheer party ID. Let's not get too hung up on direct comparisons to 2012. They're a guide, sure, but they're also reflective of the 2012 electorate and voting patterns.