absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[Dr. Arch]

Osceola county Florida: 105,334 early votes so far.  2012 total of 108,927 vote.

What insane turnout.

[ApatheticAustrian]

hope we don't cannibalize too much, even while all the stats say the opposite...

[RI]

Osceola county Florida: 105,334 early votes so far.  2012 total of 108,927 vote.

Sumter County has also exceeded their 2012 total vote.

[psychprofessor]

Dave Wasserman Verified account
‏@Redistrict

TX: Hidalgo, largest Hispanic county in state, has already cast more votes than in all of '12 - and we haven't even reached Election Day.

[TarHeelDem]

I have a really hard time seeing Trump winning Florida at this point. That said, I'm waiting to call it until during the day tomorrow. Arizona, Ohio, and North Carolina will be my last minute calls.

[Crumpets]

Using the data from this website, here's a map of Florida early vote turnout compared to 2012 final vote. This doesn't show changes from today - it's basically from this morning.

The most striking thing to me is the relatively low turnout of the Gulf Coast, particularly Pinellas County, which as of this morning was only at 14.6% of total 2012 turnout.

I presume this is only early vote and not vote-by-mail as well?

Yes, I think so.

[JimSharp]

Because I have a pathological need to look for the impending doom, be really nice if FLA gets it done as I have a bad vibe about the Philly strike. That will leave a lot of votes on the table. Or in the kitchen. We will see how the Pennsy GOTV stacks up.

[ApatheticAustrian]

i see that philly thing as a simple karma question.

either they get their shoot together or they will have the privilege of a brand-new right-to-work law soon.

[henster]

I feel better about FL than I did a week, NC still concerning hopefully missing blacks show up on ED.

[2952-0-0]

Can't the Pennsylvania legislature call an emergency session and legislate them back to work? Surely the transit union isn't so tone deaf they're willing to risk turning the Oval Office to that pervert?

[eric82oslo]

Is there any possibility that turnout among registered latinos could reach 70% this year? I know it was only 48% last time, but their early vote numbers have more than doubled in many places. I guess 60% is perhaps more likely, but I don't think even 70% would be out of reach at this point.

[ApatheticAustrian]

AAs won't fix NC since general turnout is up like hell.

urban millenials are tasked with that challenge in NC.

[Dr. Arch]

Is there any possibility that turnout among registered latinos could reach 70% this year? I know it was only 48% last time, but their early vote numbers have more than doubled in many places. I guess 60% is perhaps more likely, but I don't think even 70% would be out of reach at this point.

Texas would probably flip with that kind of turnout.

[OneJ]

Is there any possibility that turnout among registered latinos could reach 70% this year? I know it was only 48% last time, but their early vote numbers have more than doubled in many places. I guess 60% is perhaps more likely, but I don't think even 70% would be out of reach at this point.

Texas would probably flip with that kind of turnout.

That's pretty crazy when you think about it.

[henster]

Think Hillary will eke out a win in NC, Ross is probably doomed while Cooper has always polled better with whites so he should be fine.

[swf541]

The strike is ending in the morning, source NBC10

[Adam Griffin]

Miami-Dade: 53k voters today

[2952-0-0]

YUUUUGE!! HIGH ENERGY!! DEMS FINISH BIGLY!!

[Holmes]

Osceola county Florida: 105,334 early votes so far.  2012 total of 108,927 vote.

Puerto Ricans might push Hillary's popular vote percentage there close to 70% (and mid 60's in Orange, with a good shot at capturing Polk). It's not gonna be pretty for Republicans.

You'd never know it's a county Bush won in 04.

[Speed of Sound]

The strike is ending in the morning, source NBC10

That was always coming. Still good to hear.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Miami-Dade: 53k voters today

Mother of god.....

[Ronnie]

I think the main question that will linger in my mind after this election is whether Trump has permanently mobilized Latinos, or whether they'll sink back down to their previous turnout levels in future presidential elections.

[Dr. Arch]

I think the main question that will linger in my mind after this election is whether Trump has permanently mobilized Latinos, or whether they'll sink back down to their previous turnout levels in future presidential elections.

I think once those who didn't vote regularly before get a taste of what they can do, they will start mobilizing more frequently, so probably yes

[Holmes]

I think the main question that will linger in my mind after this election is whether Trump has permanently mobilized Latinos, or whether they'll sink back down to their previous turnout levels in future presidential elections.

It'll be Democrats' job to keep them voting.

[ApatheticAustrian]

more latinos are going to vote AND there will be more latinos.....

but....2016 will be a special thing, like 2012 was a special thing for AA.

trump's natural base will get smaller and maybe younger and more educated but the economic part of his success won't be gone like that.