absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[Phony Moderate]

So is this election more like Sweden or Austria?

I personally see more parallels to the 1973 West Bromwich by-election. Enoch Powell's refusal to back the Tory is Romney refusing to endorse Trump and the 16% the National Front got is like the Johnson/Stein protest vote.

I know this sounds like irrelevant nonsense but as a provincial little Englander I am incapable of understanding international elections without somehow relating it to my country. Foreign concepts are hard.

I'm sometimes incapable of understanding British elections without somehow relating it to U.S. elections.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

how many votes are therw in NE2?

about 270k in 2012. the more interesting question imo is what (if any) the early voting results were last time

[Iosif]

So is this election more like Sweden or Austria?

I personally see more parallels to the 1973 West Bromwich by-election. Enoch Powell's refusal to back the Tory is Romney refusing to endorse Trump and the 16% the National Front got is like the Johnson/Stein protest vote.

I know this sounds like irrelevant nonsense but as a provincial little Englander I am incapable of understanding international elections without somehow relating it to my country. Foreign concepts are hard.

I'm sometimes incapable of understanding British elections without somehow relating it to U.S. elections.

I know! Brexit is Trump and May is Clinton. Farage is Gohmert and Umunna is Obama. Hispanics are the Asians and the Asians are the blacks. Scotland is Alaska, Sunderland is New Orleans and Yorkshire is Hawaii. Is Corbyn Sanders or Kevin McCarthy? Boris is Trump and the Lib Dems are the KKK.

[JimSharp]

So is this election more like Sweden or Austria?

I personally see more parallels to the 1973 West Bromwich by-election. Enoch Powell's refusal to back the Tory is Romney refusing to endorse Trump and the 16% the National Front got is like the Johnson/Stein protest vote.

I know this sounds like irrelevant nonsense but as a provincial little Englander I am incapable of understanding international elections without somehow relating it to my country. Foreign concepts are hard.

Johnson/Stein will get <5% combined, I bet. More because they are both terrible candidates than anything. If GJ were not so silly, he could have gotten 10% just by being on the ballot.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

So is this election more like Sweden or Austria?

I personally see more parallels to the 1973 West Bromwich by-election. Enoch Powell's refusal to back the Tory is Romney refusing to endorse Trump and the 16% the National Front got is like the Johnson/Stein protest vote.

I know this sounds like irrelevant nonsense but as a provincial little Englander I am incapable of understanding international elections without somehow relating it to my country. Foreign concepts are hard.

Lol, yeah. There is no similarity between all right whatsoever. It is just coincidence that they happen to occur in the whole Western world at the same time. The demographics/pattern of voters are similar to Brexit/France/Sweden as well.

If it wasn't for non-english talking Hispanics or whatever the reason is that polls have very different results, I'd bet that polls would underestimate Trump by 1-4%.

[The Other Castro]

Mark Murray Retweeted
Bradd Jaffy ‏@BraddJaffy  28m28 minutes ago
As of today: 43,194,446 votes have been cast in the presidential election; 19,929,044 in 12 battleground states, per NBC data analysis

[Ozymandias]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/2016-election/where-early-votes-were-cast/

Lazaro Gamio ‏@LazaroGamio  1h1 hour ago
Here's an early voting cartogram @KevinUhrm and I made using the invaluable data from @ElectProject:

[JimSharp]

So is this election more like Sweden or Austria?

I personally see more parallels to the 1973 West Bromwich by-election. Enoch Powell's refusal to back the Tory is Romney refusing to endorse Trump and the 16% the National Front got is like the Johnson/Stein protest vote.

I know this sounds like irrelevant nonsense but as a provincial little Englander I am incapable of understanding international elections without somehow relating it to my country. Foreign concepts are hard.

Lol, yeah. There is no similarity between all right whatsoever. It is just coincidence that they happen to occur in the whole Western world at the same time. The demographics/pattern of voters are similar to Brexit/France/Sweden as well.

If it wasn't for non-english talking Hispanics or whatever the reason is that polls have very different results, I'd bet that polls would underestimate Trump by 1-4%.

If they had simply taken Trump's Twitter account away in August, he would have won this thing in a walk. Americans engage in a surprising amount of magical thinking - and we tend to like to change parties every 8 years, just 'cause.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

https://www.buzzfeed.com/johntemplon/how-the-electoral-college-screws-hispanic-and-asian-voters

[BoAtlantis]

https://twitter.com/electionsmith/status/795684816549216256

[ApatheticAustrian]

MI:

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https://twitter.com/ZachGorchow/status/795686412733579264?lang=de

[Ebsy]

MI:

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https://twitter.com/ZachGorchow/status/795686412733579264?lang=de

Glorious news!

[ApatheticAustrian]

more details

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https://twitter.com/ZachGorchow/status/795686691054952450

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https://twitter.com/ZachGorchow/status/795688817764302848

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https://twitter.com/ZachGorchow/status/795689723142541312

[Ozymandias]

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn  1m1 minute ago Manhattan, NY
Clinton 48.8, Trump 47.7 in the final North Carolina tracker, which now adds the data from our last poll

"Here’s a breakdown of those estimates for the two major-party candidates:

IN RAW VOTES   AS A PCT.
Clinton   Trump   Clinton   Trump
Already voted   1,610,000   1,418,000   51.9%   45.7%
Yet to vote      685,000   825,000           42.8%   51.6%
Total estimates   2,295,000   2,243,000   48.8%   47.7%"

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/north-carolina-early-vote-tracker.html

(Note NY Times free for next two days so you don't have to worry about burning up monthly click allotment.)

[ApatheticAustrian]

this is making my teeth-grinding worse each minute:

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https://twitter.com/ZachGorchow/status/795691996614631424

what are those people doing with their ballots and how slow is the mail in MI?

[alomas]

Democrats are not returning them, the same in happening in Florida

[Dr. Arch]

this is making my teeth-grinding worse each minute:

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https://twitter.com/ZachGorchow/status/795691996614631424

what are those people doing with their ballots and how slow is the mail in MI?

They could've just decided to vote in-person. Calm down, lol.

[ApatheticAustrian]

Democrats are not returning them, the same in happening in Florida

here, have a treat:

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https://twitter.com/ZachGorchow/status/795693069232435200

[PresidentTRUMP]

Michigan is a tailor made state for Trump's message on trade, its going to end up being very very close. If AA's don't turn out like they did for Obama in the state or atleast close to what they did, MI will go Trump.

[Dr. Arch]

Michigan is a tailor made state for Trump's message on trade, its going to end up being very very close. If AA's don't turn out like they did for Obama in the state or atleast close to what they did, MI will go Trump.

You guys keep making the same predictions over and over, and fall flat on your faces each time.

[ApatheticAustrian]

now the NC GOP adds insult to injury and brags about their suppression victory.


https://twitter.com/RaleighReporter/status/795669824135430145



record numbers in MN

http://www.twincities.com/2016/11/07/wowsa-a-record-busting-568196-ballots-already-accepted-in-minnesota/

[PresidentTRUMP]

now the NC GOP adds insult to injury and brags about their suppression victory.


https://twitter.com/RaleighReporter/status/795669824135430145



record numbers in MN

http://www.twincities.com/2016/11/07/wowsa-a-record-busting-568196-ballots-already-accepted-in-minnesota/

Yup, Trump takes NC because R's suppressed early voting for AA. Was a must win state for Trump. Looking good there.

[Dr. Arch]

now the NC GOP adds insult to injury and brags about their suppression victory.


https://twitter.com/RaleighReporter/status/795669824135430145



record numbers in MN

http://www.twincities.com/2016/11/07/wowsa-a-record-busting-568196-ballots-already-accepted-in-minnesota/

Yup, Trump takes NC because R's suppressed early voting for AA. Was a must win state for Trump. Looking good there.

Disgusting and un-American. You should be ashamed of yourself. Don't worry. The educated vote will swing and AAs will turn out on ED. You will lose the state despite your nasty celebration.

[MasterJedi]

now the NC GOP adds insult to injury and brags about their suppression victory.


https://twitter.com/RaleighReporter/status/795669824135430145



record numbers in MN

http://www.twincities.com/2016/11/07/wowsa-a-record-busting-568196-ballots-already-accepted-in-minnesota/

Yup, Trump takes NC because R's suppressed early voting for AA. Was a must win state for Trump. Looking good there.

You're disgusting.

[Sigh144]

Hillary Clinton needs to take a page out of Trump's book when she wins and use the power of the presidency to teach REpublicans a lesson.

This voter supression stuff must not be allowed to continue.........it's unAmerican

Republicans truly are the scum of the Earth.