absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[The Other Castro]

Miami-Dade came in massive

46,255 total
34,348 in person

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/794002733829341184

the mook machine

He's irresistible.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rXd8ZrP8H6Y

[psychprofessor]

Miami-Dade came in massive

46,255 total
34,348 in person

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/794002733829341184

the mook machine

He's irresistible.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rXd8ZrP8H6Y

haha yes, i told my friend at the ny times i want him to set me up on a date with him :-)
his response: so does every other gay man in nyc :-(

[Dr. Arch]

Miami-Dade came in massive

46,255 total
34,348 in person

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/794002733829341184

the mook machine

He's irresistible.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rXd8ZrP8H6Y

haha yes, i told my friend at the ny times i want him to set me up on a date with him :-)
his response: so does every other gay man in nyc :-(

[Speed of Sound]

Schale is spending his night posting .gifs of Joe Biden after days of shouting about voting in all caps. He likes tonight a whole lot.

[The Other Castro]

Schale is spending his night posting .gifs of Joe Biden after days of shouting about voting in all caps. He likes tonight a whole lot.

And he's been trying to tamp down expectations recently to get people to keep voting, so that says something.

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

Is Florida close to as good for Clinton as Nevada is with this surge of democratic support?

[psychprofessor]

Hello Arizona...you know, yuge rallies and all
 
Matea GoldVerified account
‏@mateagold
Speaker at Clinton rally says there are 20,000 people gathered in Tempe to see her.

[Speed of Sound]

Is Florida close to as good for Clinton as Nevada is with this surge of democratic support?

I certainly don't see it like that. NV is really close to literally over. This seems to be the kind of day that helps FL feel solidly lean-y. It's a big movement, but I at least still think there's a big gulf in odds between the two.

[bilaps]

Is Florida close to as good for Clinton as Nevada is with this surge of democratic support?

yeah, because one guy is having an erection on twitter, florida is good as gone. you people are amazing.

[psychprofessor]

Is Florida close to as good for Clinton as Nevada is with this surge of democratic support?

I certainly don't see it like that. NV is really close to literally over. This seems to be the kind of day that helps FL feel solidly lean-y. It's a big movement, but I at least still think there's a big gulf in odds between the two.

No, it shows that the Mook machine actually works. He saved her bacon in 2008 in the Nevada caucus and Ohio primary; he saved her again this year in the Iowa caucus and Nevada caucus..the guy knows how to organize.

[Speed of Sound]

Is Florida close to as good for Clinton as Nevada is with this surge of democratic support?

yeah, because one guy is having an erection on twitter, florida is good as gone. you people are amazing.

>one person asks a legit question, gets an immediate, reasonable answer in the negative

>"YOOOUUU PPPEEEOOOPPPLEEEEEE"

Yeah okay bud. Take aspirin, your heart's gonna explode.

[ApatheticAustrian]

NV is simple and most early-voting...and has only 2 important counties.

fl is big and messy and hell...especially with all those dixiecrats.

if this goes on from today to sunday like that (not likely)..we are comfortable, yeah

[Speed of Sound]

Is Florida close to as good for Clinton as Nevada is with this surge of democratic support?

I certainly don't see it like that. NV is really close to literally over. This seems to be the kind of day that helps FL feel solidly lean-y. It's a big movement, but I at least still think there's a big gulf in odds between the two.

No, it shows that the Mook machine actually works. He saved her bacon in 2008 in the Nevada caucus and Ohio primary; he saved her again this year in the Iowa caucus and Nevada caucus..the guy knows how to organize.

In no way am I saying FL wont' end up in her column, or even that it won't look very very very good by the end of the week. But it's wrong, it's factually and plainly wrong, to say that evidence points to NV and FL looking equally likely.

[Dr. Arch]

Is Florida close to as good for Clinton as Nevada is with this surge of democratic support?

I certainly don't see it like that. NV is really close to literally over. This seems to be the kind of day that helps FL feel solidly lean-y. It's a big movement, but I at least still think there's a big gulf in odds between the two.

No, it shows that the Mook machine actually works. He saved her bacon in 2008 in the Nevada caucus and Ohio primary; he saved her again this year in the Iowa caucus and Nevada caucus..the guy knows how to organize.

In no way am I saying FL wont' end up in her column, or even that it won't look very very very good by the end of the week. But it's wrong, it's factually and plainly wrong, to say that evidence points to NV and FL looking equally likely.

Yeah, you're right. Nevada is practically sealed.

[psychprofessor]

hello nasty women!

Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject  11m11 minutes ago
Michael McDonald Retweeted daniel a. smith
Seeing this is NC, too. Women engagement one of the under-reported stories of the election

daniel a. smith @electionsmith
Florida’s Gender Gap: Nearly 4.5 Million Floridians have voted. 55% are women… https://electionsmith.wordpress.com/2016/11/02/floridas-gender-gap-nearly-4-5-million-floridians-have-voted-55-are-women …

[The Other Castro]

Florida is a much bigger state than Nevada, so it can't be as accurately gauged by a Jon Ralston-type figure. There's only one Jon Ralston.

[Dr. Arch]

hello nasty women!

Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject  11m11 minutes ago
Michael McDonald Retweeted daniel a. smith
Seeing this is NC, too. Women engagement one of the under-reported stories of the election

daniel a. smith @electionsmith
Florida’s Gender Gap: Nearly 4.5 Million Floridians have voted. 55% are women… https://electionsmith.wordpress.com/2016/11/02/floridas-gender-gap-nearly-4-5-million-floridians-have-voted-55-are-women …

Beautiful

[Speed of Sound]

Florida is a much bigger state than Nevada, so it can't be as accurately gauged by a Jon Ralston-type figure. There's only one Jon Ralston.

You're completely right, of course, but quickly shifting political ID and a much closer race in-state also make FL way harder to call than NV, where the polls and EV have never been that close.

[ApatheticAustrian]

dem women overperforming most in FL....rep and unaff women too.

latino women, even more: black women. (!!!)

males are disappointing.

[dspNY]

hello nasty women!

Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject  11m11 minutes ago
Michael McDonald Retweeted daniel a. smith
Seeing this is NC, too. Women engagement one of the under-reported stories of the election

daniel a. smith @electionsmith
Florida’s Gender Gap: Nearly 4.5 Million Floridians have voted. 55% are women… https://electionsmith.wordpress.com/2016/11/02/floridas-gender-gap-nearly-4-5-million-floridians-have-voted-55-are-women …

That's an abnormal gender gap. Usually it is 52% women, maybe 53%. This adds some cushion to Clinton

[Antonio the Sixth]

males are disappointing.

This is true in many different contexts.

[ApatheticAustrian]

guilford, baby!

https://mobile.twitter.com/gercohen/status/794005346473934848?s=09

[Speed of Sound]

Wow, just.......wow!

[dspNY]

guilford, baby!

https://mobile.twitter.com/gercohen/status/794005346473934848?s=09

Big push there. That was the county with 1 polling place for a week of early voting

[JerryArkansas]

Guilford County, the centerpiece of the cut polling places in NC is now matching 2012 numbers in total votes over same time period.  Dems came out in force after being targeted.