absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[HagridOfTheDeep]

https://twitter.com/FoxNews/status/793828588197863425

Yeah republican's are screwed.

IDK, probably they are, but it is certainly not what this picture tells us.

I doubt such a large increase in hispanic turnout is a good sign for Trump.

As a share of the electorate, 12% more Hispanics are voting, perhaps 70-30 in favour of Clinton. 14% fewer Blacks are voting, who usually go for the Democrat 90-10. Where's the "good news"? I mean, it's possible—even likely—that Clinton is winning more of the white vote, but at most these numbers make the situation just seem like a wash when compared to 2012...

[Confused Democrat]

https://twitter.com/FoxNews/status/793828588197863425

Yeah republican's are screwed.

IDK, probably they are, but it is certainly not what this picture tells us.

I doubt such a large increase in hispanic turnout is a good sign for Trump.

As a share of the electorate, 12% more Hispanics are voting, perhaps 70-30 in favour of Clinton. 14% fewer Blacks are voting, who usually go for the Democrat 90-10. Where's the "good news"? I mean, it's possible—even likely—that Clinton is winning more of the white vote, but at most these numbers make the situation just seem like a wash when compared to 2012...

Her margin might be even better than 70-30 with Hispanics.

[Speed of Sound]

A tweetstorm by Nick Riccardi on the nature of the D advantage in CO starts here:

https://twitter.com/NickRiccardi/status/793840263089180672

[Dr. Arch]

A tweetstorm by Nick Riccardi on the nature of the D advantage in CO starts here:

https://twitter.com/NickRiccardi/status/793840263089180672

Solid good news overall, and the fact that not even Emerson can show Trump leading here jives with the D strength this year.

[Ozymandias]

Decent summary for those who haven't been following thread(s) closely...

Slate: "Millions of Americans Have Already Voted. So Who’s Winning?"

http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/11/01/who_s_ahead_in_early_voting.html?wpsrc=sh_all_tab_tw_ru

[alomas]

Hispanics in Florida aren't voting 70-30, rather by 25 points which is a big difference.

[Virginiá]

Hispanics in Florida aren't voting 70-30, rather by 25 points which is a big difference.

Even Latino Decisions shows a 40-ish point margin for Clinton. What is the basis for your claim?

[StatesPoll]

 
wow

Republican surge in Nevada. Early Voting 2nd week (11/2 9AM)
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555
In Person: DEM 39.89%  REP 37.79% Other 22.32%

Now Nevada=Likely TRUMP

[Ebsy]

wow

Republican surge in Nevada. Early Voting 2nd week (11/2 9AM)
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555
In Person: DEM 39.89%  REP 37.79% Other 22.32%

Now Nevada=Likely TRUMP

Go away troll.

[StatesPoll]

wow

Republican surge in Nevada. Early Voting 2nd week (11/2 9AM)
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555
In Person: DEM 39.89%  REP 37.79% Other 22.32%

Now Nevada=Likely TRUMP

Go away troll.

I'm a troll becuz wrote the facts? amazing red avatar!

[Speed of Sound]

Ye old bait-and-switch post by Michael McDonald: all is well in CO so far.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[The Other Castro]

Ye old bait-and-switch post by Michael McDonald: all is well in CO so far.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Taking a page from the Ralston playbook I see.

[JerryArkansas]

wow

Republican surge in Nevada. Early Voting 2nd week (11/2 9AM)
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555
In Person: DEM 39.89%  REP 37.79% Other 22.32%

Now Nevada=Likely TRUMP

Go away troll.

I'm a troll becuz wrote the facts? amazing red avatar!

I feel sad for the country knowing that some people believe the crap you post.

[swf541]

wow

Republican surge in Nevada. Early Voting 2nd week (11/2 9AM)
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555
In Person: DEM 39.89%  REP 37.79% Other 22.32%

Now Nevada=Likely TRUMP

Go away troll.

I'm a troll becuz wrote the facts? amazing red avatar!

I feel sad for the country knowing that some people believe the crap you post.

100% agreed

[Ebsy]

Statespoll, of course, is only publishing the week 2 numbers, which are solely the Democrats' worst 2 days of every cycle, and ignoring the week one numbers, where Democrats won the early vote by 9 points. Intellectually dishonest!

[alomas]

Even Latino Decisions shows a 40-ish point margin for Clinton. What is the basis for your claim?

http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/10/clinton-dominating-trump-among-florida-hispanics-in-new-poll-106082

This.

[PresidentTRUMP]

wow

Republican surge in Nevada. Early Voting 2nd week (11/2 9AM)
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555
In Person: DEM 39.89%  REP 37.79% Other 22.32%

Now Nevada=Likely TRUMP

Statespoll, Thank you for your contributions!! All we ever see is Liberals posting on this forum and posting whatever someone is stating in their favor. They tell you to go away because your posting facts they dont like, I LOVE IT. Please keep me up to date with these EV states! I appreciate your efforts!

[PresidentTRUMP]

Even Latino Decisions shows a 40-ish point margin for Clinton. What is the basis for your claim?

http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/10/clinton-dominating-trump-among-florida-hispanics-in-new-poll-106082

This.

You as well Alomas, thanks for the updates, nice to see both sides of the picture on here......once in a while....thanks for the link! Better and closer than i thought!

Reading these posts online here of all liberals you would think trump was down with hispanics by 40-50% in FLorida, not the case obviously.

[Virginiá]

Even Latino Decisions shows a 40-ish point margin for Clinton. What is the basis for your claim?

http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/10/clinton-dominating-trump-among-florida-hispanics-in-new-poll-106082

This.

http://www.latinodecisions.com/files/8714/7689/5921/NALEO_Latino_Battleground_States_Toplines.pdf

63 - 23 Clinton, but with a relatively long time in the field.

I suppose you can pick whichever in this case, but LD has been pretty accurate in the past and the TargetSmart poll would lend credence to this defection.

Reading these posts online here of all liberals you would think trump was down with hispanics by 40-50% in FLorida, not the case obviously.

I'd say there is plenty of evidence to support both conclusions. You can assert that "no way he's down by 40 with FL latinos" if you want, but you are by no means on solid ground when you say that, and you should at least acknowledge that.

[The Other Castro]

Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject  16s16 seconds ago
TX #earlyvote (mail & in-person) update 11/1: 3.3 Million voted, +36.2% from 2012. Was +22.0% over same single 2012 y'day

[Dr. Arch]

According to MU-Law, Clinton is winning the EV in WI 65 to 25 (+40), which is a huge break of Is and Rs towards HRC because D's are near the mid-50s here in the EV currently.

[The Other Castro]

Latino Decisions ‏@LatinoDecisions
LD statistical model projecting voter turnout by Prof. @justinhgross forecasts 13.1-14.7 million Latino votes cast, up from 11.2M in 2012

[Dr. Arch]

Latino Decisions ‏@LatinoDecisions
LD statistical model projecting voter turnout by Prof. @justinhgross forecasts 13.1-14.7 million Latino votes cast, up from 11.2M in 2012

Very spooky numbers for Trump, as expected.

[StatesPoll]

wow

Republican surge in Nevada. Early Voting 2nd week (11/2 9AM)
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555
In Person: DEM 39.89%  REP 37.79% Other 22.32%

Now Nevada=Likely TRUMP

Statespoll, Thank you for your contributions!! All we ever see is Liberals posting on this forum and posting whatever someone is stating in their favor. They tell you to go away because your posting facts they dont like, I LOVE IT. Please keep me up to date with these EV states! I appreciate your efforts!

thx you! you are welcome.

in here red avatars are biased too much.
Early Voting in North Carolina, Black voter turnouts decreased by about 20~23%.
But Red Avatars are keep saying NC=lean Hillary lol

[swf541]

wow

Republican surge in Nevada. Early Voting 2nd week (11/2 9AM)
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4555
In Person: DEM 39.89%  REP 37.79% Other 22.32%

Now Nevada=Likely TRUMP

Statespoll, Thank you for your contributions!! All we ever see is Liberals posting on this forum and posting whatever someone is stating in their favor. They tell you to go away because your posting facts they dont like, I LOVE IT. Please keep me up to date with these EV states! I appreciate your efforts!

thx you! you are welcome.

in here red avatars are biased too much.
Early Voting in North Carolina, Black voter turnouts decreased by about 20~23%.
But Red Avatars are keep saying NC=lean Hillary lol

and i see your analysis is still moronic as ever and doesnt remotely include age, unaffiliated or education potential swings.