absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[Lyin' Steve]

Note that unaffiliateds in FL are heavy Hispanic, which can only be good news overall with this humongous spike in turnout of Hispanic voters.

The GOP is primed to be triggered by Hugh Mungus. Hugh Mungus Latino turnout!

She was back at city hall just on Monday for more madness!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89r7LIU94q0

[Lyin' Steve]

So if their early vote numbers are true, then according to CNN, Hillary will lose the election, and according to PPP, she'll win it.  Which are we to believe?

[Lyin' Steve]

OK guys, how have the odds changed today?  Seems like NV is moving towards likely Clinton, while we're all super confused about all those North Carolina tweets form whatshisface.  Florida doing pretty well too I take it?  But Colorado seems like she's in big trouble?  That's the message I seem to be getting.

[Lyin' Steve]

While the Nevada numbers are obviously strong, we shouldn't assume that it will necessarily lead to the same result as 2012. Independents (yes, I am talking about registered independents) may swing to Trump at a high rate in this state, especially white independents. Because of the diversity of the state, and the registration numbers, this state is pretty safe for Clinton, but don't be surprised if it's within 3-4 points on election day, not a 7-8 point blowout.

This I could see in a worst-case scenario

Could be if more Hispanics registered Democratic this year.

[Lyin' Steve]

Is this legit?  If so, she would seem to be screwed in Florida and North Carolina.