absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[mark_twain]

All of the data points to a Clinton win in FL.

[mark_twain]

More good news for Clinton in NC:

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/04/politics/north-carolina-naacp-voter-registration/index.html


This could explain why black early voting started slow in NC.

It looks like NC blacks were handicapped through cancelled voter registrations.

They will be coming back to vote with a vengeance!

[mark_twain]

The early vote totals seem to suggest that Clinton will win NV, FL, and NC rather easily, looking at the current situation.

Am I missing something?

[mark_twain]

Early voting data from CNN:

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/04/politics/latinos-voter-turnout-early-voting-2016-election/index.html


Early voting data in 3 key states show spike in Latino turnout

[mark_twain]

It's a fundamental flaw with the LV screens. We saw it in 2012, and I think we're going to see it especially this year.

Good news for Clinton in all the states, not just those with early voting!

[mark_twain]

By reading the posts in here for NV and FL early voting, we can expect tomorrow's early vote totals to seal the victory for Clinton before the weekend is over.

I'm not saying it will happen tonight, but probably tomorrow night.

[mark_twain]

Daniel A Smith

"Two #Bigly Tweets of Florida 2016 Election...
Of ballots cast so far, % by party of those who skipped 2012:
23% Ds
20% Rs
38% NPAs"

You must be logged in to read this quote.

The end is near for Trump.

Looks like those Hispanics, Asians, and Other/Multi-Race voters wanted to stand up to the orange bully, and rightly so!

[mark_twain]

Daniel A Smith

"Two #Bigly Tweets of Florida 2016 Election...
Of ballots cast so far, % by party of those who skipped 2012:
23% Ds
20% Rs
38% NPAs"

You must be logged in to read this quote.

The end is near for Trump.

It does not look THAT bad for Trump. Or?

It is bad for him. The electorate is more diverse than 2012

He never learned the important lesson that America is not a nation of whites only.

After he loses, whites across the nation will say he is not a "true white" and will turn against him!

After all, he's orange-skinned, isn't he?

[mark_twain]

http://www.oldnorthstatepolitics.com/

Last day for early voting in North Carolina;
Dem early vote same as 2012
Rep early vote UP 14 %
Unaffiliated UP 43 %
Black vote DOWN 8 % from 2012 ( 59,000 votes )
White vote UP 19 %
Hispanics vote too low to make a difference.
NC is done. All Trump territory.

Numerical illiteracy shown above.

[mark_twain]

Can someone explain, why you think Florida is in Hillary's pocket??

2012: D 42.9%, R 39.1%, Other 18.1%,         total Dems +170k
2016: D 39.6%, R 39.1%, Other 18.9%,         total Dems   +32k
(today is not included)

I took date from http://www.electproject.org/

Why is so good? Yes, I know many Dixies switched to Reps. Other is more Clinton-friendly. But how does this data implies that Florida is gone for Trump? Probably slightly lean D, but gone?

No entiendo nada

1) Hispanics have been underrepresented in the polls. As FL has a high Hispanic population (one of the highest in the country), this will give her an advantage not seen in the polls.

2) All other things being equal, Clinton was already ahead in FL polls.

3) Early voting in FL takes up a majority of the votes, leaving less votes on Election Day for Trump to make up for the deficit.

[mark_twain]

Just so we have the figures readily available to compare when yesterday's in-person partisan breakdowns are finally published:

Miami-Dade (in-person through Saturday)
D: 194,777 (46.1%)
R: 113,386 (26.8%)
NPA: 108,797 (25.7%)
Other: 5,783 (1.4%)

Miami-Dade (mail through Sunday)
D: 116,819 (41.0%)
R: 97,921 (34.3%)
NPA: 66,757 (23.4%)
Other: 3,640 (1.3%)

Great numbers for Clinton!