absentee/early vote thread, part 2 (user search)
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  absentee/early vote thread, part 2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: absentee/early vote thread, part 2  (Read 112763 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: November 03, 2016, 11:56:23 PM »
Total vote cast in FL so far as % of 2012 total vote (Atlas shades):



Highest percentages seem to be in the popular retirement areas of the SW/the Villages. Central Panhandle lagging most.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2016, 05:22:42 PM »
Quote from: BoAtlantis on November 04, 2016, 03:08:22 PM
Steve Schale

Keep getting asked about NPA versus FL electorate as a whole.
Its more diverse:
All voters:  68w - 12.2b - 14.4h
NPA: 64.2w - 6.3b - 19.9h

I checked the math, and that's essentially a wash as blacks are more monolithically Dem than Hispanics.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 07:18:26 PM »
Turnout as % of 2012 total vote in western states (conventional Atlas colors):
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2016, 01:44:56 PM »
College educated whites are ground zero for any "shy Trump" effect.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2016, 03:22:13 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on November 06, 2016, 01:45:54 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on November 06, 2016, 01:44:56 PM
College educated whites are ground zero for any "shy Trump" effect.

Along with Hispanics, American-Indians and suburban women, yes.

Turnout seems to be really, really lagging in Native American-dominated counties. Not sure it'll matter a whole lot, but it is interesting.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2016, 11:48:21 PM »
Quote from: Crumpets on November 06, 2016, 11:01:00 PM
Using the data from this website, here's a map of Florida early vote turnout compared to 2012 final vote. This doesn't show changes from today - it's basically from this morning.

The most striking thing to me is the relatively low turnout of the Gulf Coast, particularly Pinellas County, which as of this morning was only at 14.6% of total 2012 turnout.



I presume this is only early vote and not vote-by-mail as well?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2016, 11:51:39 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on November 06, 2016, 11:48:06 PM
Osceola county Florida: 105,334 early votes so far.  2012 total of 108,927 vote.

Sumter County has also exceeded their 2012 total vote.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2016, 07:59:17 PM »
Wisconsin vote as % of 2012:


Ohio vote as % of 2012:
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