absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[Landslide Lyndon]

Who are the others?

[Landslide Lyndon]

NPAs have passed the GOP in Broward County. With about an hour to go in the day:

DEM: 311,252
GOP: 123,152
IND: 124,266

Broward is now at almost 3/4 of its total 2012 turnout. Final numbers for the day will be in a little after 7 PM

I think the most important consequence of that might be that on election day there won't be any more insanely long lines.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Broward County Turnout Down Today:
https://mobile.twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/795074779426541568

Turnout was down in most of the state today

I thought he was joking. 370 votes doesn't seem to me a meaningful decrease for such a populous county.

[Landslide Lyndon]

The massive amount of updates in this thread are great, but a little hard to keep up with.  Is this a fair summary of where the key states stand?

AZ - Looks good for Trump.
FL - Looks good for Clinton due to increased Hispanic and unaffiliated turnout.
IA - Looks good for Trump due to Dem underperformance from previous years.
NV - Probably in the bag for Clinton.
NC - Unclear.  Some indications look good for Clinton, some for Trump.
OH - Unclear.  Looked good for Trump early, but Dems have made up a lot of ground.
WI - Looks solid for Clinton.

I'd say you nailed it perfectly; what say the others?

Yep, about right. I'd modify NC to say more of the unknown indications look good for Clinton than for Trump.

Literally every poll showed Clinton dominating the North Carolina early vote.
Not really sure why suddenly everyone thinks the opposite.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I'm not in a premature celebratory mode, far from that.
But seriously, when was the last time Democrats lost an election because of too high turnout?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Instead of feeding the troll wouldn't it be better if you reported him?

[Landslide Lyndon]

If Clinton loses the election because of NC and MI I could see the democrats pushing for an Australian-style mandatory voting law

I don't think so. These laws are completely ineffective, nobody is going to jail or fine people because they didn't vote. Automatic registration along with soft voter ID, like the West Virginia law, is the way to go.

[Landslide Lyndon]

If Clinton loses the election because of NC and MI I could see the democrats pushing for an Australian-style mandatory voting law

I don't think so. These laws are completely ineffective, nobody is going to jail or fine people because they didn't vote. Automatic registration along with soft voter ID, like the West Virginia law, is the way to go.

Actually, this is wrong. These laws are perfectly effective: Australia routinely gets an over 90% turnout. No jail is necessary: small fine, say 20 dollars, administered like a parking ticket, would do the trick admirably.  May countries have been doing it for decades, and it is reasonably easily implemented.

Now, there are other reasons not to want that, but ineffectiveness is not one.

We have mandatory voting laws. That didn't help from seeing participation falling at record lows during the last two decades (just 54% in September 2015).
If people are disgusted with politics then no law can compel them to vote.