absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

*insert Chicken Little meme here*

Kidding.

But really....

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

"Exclusive: Evidence that Democrats are Beginning to Ramp up GOTV in SE Florida (Miami-Dade, Broward, Palm Beach), where Clinton Needs to Turn out Democrats & NPAs"

https://electionsmith.wordpress.com/2016/11/02/exclusive-evidence-that-democrats-are-beginning-to-ramp-up-gotv-in-se-florida-miami-dade-broward-palm-beach-where-clinton-needs-to-turn-out-democrats-npas/

Miami-Dade will deliver FL for Hillary!

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

This makes me wonder that some battleground states will be called early due to early voting reaching 2012 PV levels.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Early vote excels in Democratic counties
http://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/11/02/early-vote-excels-democratic-counties/93140708/

Buhhhh I was told that WI would go for Trump because working white class whites!!!!

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Hit the turning point in CO.

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Can we start chicken littleing now?

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/north-carolina-early-vote-tracker.html

NC Status as of 10/28

                         Clinton       Trump       Clinton     Trump
Already voted     686,000    462,000      56.7%     38.2% (18.5% gap)
Yet to vote        1,491,000   1,440,000    46.4%   44.8%
Total estimates   2,177,000   1,903,000   49.2%   43.0%

NC Status as of 10/30

                        Clinton      Trump       Clinton     Trump
Already voted     878,000   653,000      54.9%    40.8% (14.1% gap)
Yet to vote        1,316,000   1,256,000   46.3%    44.2%
Total estimates   2,194,000   1,909,000   49.4%   43.0%   

NC Status as of 11/2

                      Clinton      Trump         Clinton      Trump
Already voted   1,110,000   897,000      52.9%   42.7% (10.2% gap)
Yet to vote        1,094,000   1,045,000    45.7%   43.7%
Total estimates   2,203,000   1,941,000   49.1%   43.2%

NC Status as of 11/3
                       Clinton        Trump       Clinton     Trump
Already voted   1,235,000   1,003,000   52.8%   42.9% (9.9% gap)
Yet to vote           995,000   952,000      45.4%    43.5%
Total estimates   2,229,000   1,955,000   49.2%   43.2%

NC Status as of 11/4
                          Clinton          Trump          Clinton    Trump
Already voted   1,353,000   1,117,000   52.4%   43.2% (9.2% gap)
Yet to vote           900,000      860,000       45.3%   43.2%
Total estimates   2,254,000   1,977,000   49.3%   43.2%

Damn....NC is gone for Trump.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

What are the chances these states being called early?

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Wow.

Florida D margin muss be >100k votes now, right?

Yep, most likely once Miami-Dade comes in.

Miami-Dade comes in....its Lights Out for Trump.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Soooo....after those EV numbers for Florida....what are Hillary's chances of winning it?

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Miami-Dade: 53k voters today

Mother of god.....

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject  3m3 minutes ago
Well, Clinton might have pulled off Ohio. #Earlyvote change from 2012
Cuyahoga +1,052 (+0.4%)
Franklin +22,522 (+10.2%)

BYE BYE CHEETO