Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 25, 2017, 12:33:32 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | |-+  FL/NV/PA/AZ-CNN: Rubio +1, Heck +2, McGinty +5, McCain +13
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: FL/NV/PA/AZ-CNN: Rubio +1, Heck +2, McGinty +5, McCain +13  (Read 724 times)
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9290
United States


View Profile
« on: November 02, 2016, 11:36:16 am »
Ignore

FL: Rubio 49%, Murphy 48%
NV: Heck 49, Cortez-Masto 47%
PA: McGinty 51, Toomey 46%
AZ: McCain 52, Kirkpatrick 39%

Quote
The CNN/ORC polls were conducted by telephone Oct. 27-Nov. 1. Results reflect interviews with 867 registered voters and 769 likely voters in Arizona, 884 registered voters and 773 likely voters in Florida, 860 registered voters and 790 likely voters in Nevada and 917 registered voters and 799 likely voters in Pennsylvania. Results among likely voters have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 percentage points in each state.

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/11/02/politics/polls-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-florida-pennsylvania-nevada-arizona/index.html
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13887
United States


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 11:37:27 am »
Ignore

Rubio, McGinty and McCain will win. NV will go down to the wire.
Logged





swf541
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 776


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 11:39:02 am »
Ignore

Rubio, McGinty and McCain will win. NV will go down to the wire.

The massive r bias in the nv cnn poll, if Heck is underperforming Trump its quite bad news for him
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9290
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2016, 11:40:14 am »
Ignore

Rubio, McGinty and McCain will win. NV will go down to the wire.

The massive r bias in the nv cnn poll, if Heck is underperforming Trump its quite bad news for him

The NV poll just seems very junky in general, I wouldn't try to take any meaning from it.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13887
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 11:43:41 am »
Ignore

Rubio, McGinty and McCain will win. NV will go down to the wire.

The massive r bias in the nv cnn poll, if Heck is underperforming Trump its quite bad news for him

It's one poll. When you look at the polling average, the race is still very competitive. (not xingkerui)
Logged





KingSweden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4263
United States


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2016, 11:44:14 am »
Ignore

It's been a long time since I saw Toomey ahead in any poll. Hack McGinty may just pull this off!
Logged

For England, James?

No. For me.
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2927


Political Matrix
E: -1.54, S: -3.74

View Profile
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2016, 11:59:56 am »
Ignore

If Quinnipiac doesn't show Toomey ahead, he's done.
Logged

xīngkěruž
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10721
Taiwan


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2016, 12:10:47 pm »
Ignore

If a Trump +6 poll only shows Heck up by 2, he's done. Democrats have 48 seats in the bag, and PA looks like it might be number 49.
Logged

Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3223
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2016, 12:19:23 pm »

New Poll: Florida Senator by CNN/ORC on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 48%, R: 49%, I: 0%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3223
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2016, 12:20:45 pm »

New Poll: Arizona Senator by CNN/ORC on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 41%, R: 54%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
DavidB.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7422
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -0.84, S: 4.26

View Profile
« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2016, 12:23:31 pm »
Ignore

I'm the worst R pessimist on this forum, but Rubio really isn't going to overperform Trump by only 2.
Logged

Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3223
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2016, 12:23:52 pm »

New Poll: Nevada Senator by CNN/ORC on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 47%, R: 49%, I: 0%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3223
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2016, 12:25:04 pm »

New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by CNN/ORC on 2016-11-01

Summary: D: 51%, R: 46%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3222
View Profile
« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2016, 02:11:53 pm »
Ignore

I think Rubio will comfortably win at 4-5% & NV is a pure toss-up.

The NV poll has Trump at +6% which is way too generous.
FL has Clinton at +2%, I think Trump is ahead by 1-2% now at FL.

In the end I think Masto will win NV by 1-2% in a razor thin margin. Mcginty has got this.

Logged




Solitude Without a Window
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 45873
United States


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2016, 02:20:36 pm »
Ignore

I doubt CCM is outperforming Clinton, but if she stays close enough, she should win this.
Logged

Our numbers are dwindling. Our words are confused.
Some of them have been twisted by the enemy
until they can no longer be recognized.

Now what is wrong, or false, in what we have said?
Just some parts, or everything?
On whom can we still rely? Are we survivors, cast
away by the current? Will we be left behind,
no longer understanding anyone and being understood by no one?
Must we rely on luck?

This is what you ask. Expect
no answer but your own.


Bertolt Brecht
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines