Quinnipiac polls: C+1 FL, C+3 NC, C+5 PA, T+5 OH
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 18, 2024, 09:27:40 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Quinnipiac polls: C+1 FL, C+3 NC, C+5 PA, T+5 OH
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: Quinnipiac polls: C+1 FL, C+3 NC, C+5 PA, T+5 OH  (Read 4587 times)
Ozymandias
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 470


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 02, 2016, 02:05:05 PM »
« edited: November 02, 2016, 02:20:43 PM by Ozymandias »

https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2399

FL: Clinton 46 - Trump 45, Johnson 2, Stein 2
NC: Clinton 47 - Trump 44, Johnson 3
OH: Trump 46 - Clinton 41, Johnson 5, Stein 2
PA: Clinton 48 - Trump 43, Johnson 3, Stein 3

HEAD-TO-HEAD

FL: Clinton 47 - Trump 45
NC: Clinton 48 - Trump 46
OH: Trump 47 - Clinton 44
PA: Clinton 50 - Trump 44

From October 27 - November 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed:

626 Florida likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points;
602 North Carolina likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points;
589 Ohio likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points;
612 Pennsylvania likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 02:05:32 PM »

Good numbers for Clinton. Quinnipiac can't poll Ohio so this is hardly surprising.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 02:05:36 PM »

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn  20s20 seconds ago Washington, DC
New Quinnipiac polls:
Clinton+1 in FL
Clinton+3 in NC
Trump+5 in OH
Clinton+5 in PA

Disgusting poll Sad
Logged
Chaddyr23
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 479
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.19, S: -5.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2016, 02:05:45 PM »

What is the matter with Ohio!?!!
Logged
Wiz in Wis
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,711


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 02:06:06 PM »

Friewal intact... NC/FL numbers are solid. OH remains poopy.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,890
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2016, 02:06:06 PM »

Not too shabby. Das Freiwal is holding.
Logged
Kalimantan
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 841
Indonesia


Political Matrix
E: -3.10, S: -1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2016, 02:06:17 PM »

At last a pollster I've heard of Smiley
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,452
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2016, 02:06:37 PM »

GREAT numbers. HRC has rebounded nicely from the fake scandal and irresponsible director.
Logged
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2016, 02:06:48 PM »

These feel like accurate numbers for both candidates right now, maybe OH is 2-3 point Trump lead instead of 5, but whatever.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2016, 02:06:59 PM »

I'm sure Nate Silver will find someone to make these improve Trump's chance of winning though!
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2016, 02:07:12 PM »

https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2399
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,368
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2016, 02:07:17 PM »

Good numbers for Clinton. Quinnipiac can't poll Ohio so this is hardly surprising.

The Ohio numbers seem reasonable enough.
Logged
Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,831


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2016, 02:07:27 PM »

GREAT numbers. HRC has rebounded nicely from the fake scandal and irresponsible director.

I expect her numbers to improve this weekend.
Logged
crazy jimmie
jamespol
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,506


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2016, 02:07:38 PM »

Trump is just not going to win, and to be honest.. Ohio is close enough that I think Clinton will likely win Ohio at the end.
Logged
alomas
Rookie
**
Posts: 237
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2016, 02:08:34 PM »

Trump is just not going to win, and to be honest.. Ohio is close enough that I think Clinton will likely win Ohio at the end.
Any proof for that rather than "I think"?
Logged
adrac
adracman42
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 722


Political Matrix
E: -9.99, S: -9.99

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2016, 02:08:39 PM »

Ohio might be a little off, but basically about what I expected at this point.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2016, 02:09:32 PM »


President Obama managed to get a surprising number of conservative white voters to hold their noses and vote for him in Ohio in 2012 because they supported the auto bailout, and now those voters are returning to the Republican party now that that issue is far in the rear-view mirror.
Logged
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2016, 02:09:41 PM »

Hey look, when a real pollster goes into the field, you get realistic numbers.  I still think Ohio will be closer than that, but given the tightening of the race, it does look like Ohio will flip to Atlas blue.  I think Clinton would need a 5-6 point national margin to have a good shot at Ohio.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2016, 02:10:13 PM »

Huuuuuuuuge outlier. Ohio is correct tough ***Red-hack style***
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2016, 02:11:26 PM »

32 point gender gap in PA:

men:
Trump 51%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 6%
Stein 3%

women:
Clinton 56%
Trump 36%
Stein 3%
Johnson 1%

Also, there’s still a massive education/race divide in NC:

white college degree: Trump +7
white no college degree: Trump +43
non-white: Clinton +67
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,452
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2016, 02:11:36 PM »

Huuuuuuuuge outlier. Ohio is correct tough ***Red-hack style***

Mind pointing out how they're outliers? Oh right, red-hack style requires you to be able to read and understand methodological frameworks. My bad.
Logged
Ozymandias
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 470


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2016, 02:12:24 PM »

EARLY VOTING:

"Hillary Clinton is ahead 48 - 42 percent among Florida voters who already have cast ballots."

"North Carolina early voters back Clinton 58 - 36 percent."

"Ohio early voters back Clinton 58 - 32 percent."
Logged
BoAtlantis
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 791


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2016, 02:13:56 PM »

Awesome
Logged
DavidB.
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,585
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2016, 02:14:18 PM »

Any senate polls for these states?
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,318
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2016, 02:14:44 PM »

GREAT numbers. HRC has rebounded nicely from the fake scandal and irresponsible director.

Agree.
And PA, a critical brick in the FireWall is holding.
FL and NC look good.
OH looks to be in trouble from a number of recent polls, but if Clinton can take FL and NC (and NV), then so be it.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.051 seconds with 13 queries.