FINAL WEEK POLL: What will be the PV victory margin?
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  FINAL WEEK POLL: What will be the PV victory margin?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: skip
#1
Trump +=>5%		  
#2
Trump +4%		  
#3
Trump +3%		  
#4
Trump +2%		  
#5
Trump +1%		  
#6
Trump +<1%		  
#7
Clinton +<1%		  
#8
Clinton +2%		  
#9
Clinton +3%		  
#10
Clinton +4%		  
#11
Clinton +=>5%		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 126

Author Topic: FINAL WEEK POLL: What will be the PV victory margin?  (Read 1619 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: November 02, 2016, 06:25:39 PM »
You got until Friday to vote!

Clinton +3
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 06:27:57 PM »
My gut is telling me somewhere between Obama 2008 and 2012, so a +5 to +6 win for Hillary.
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Horus
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 06:28:23 PM »
Trump +1
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2016, 06:28:33 PM »
Clinton 2-3%.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 06:31:14 PM »
Clinton +7.
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Rules for me, but not for thee
Dabeav
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2016, 06:33:57 PM »
Clinton +2-2.99 in there. Will be a lot closer than people here think, but she'll probably still win.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2016, 06:54:11 PM »
Clinton +5. Against a competent opponent with a real ground game it might be +3. But she'll have a definite advantage come the 8th.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2016, 06:56:04 PM »
Quote from: Fusionmunster on November 02, 2016, 06:27:57 PM
My gut is telling me somewhere between Obama 2008 and 2012, so a +5 to +6 win for Hillary.

Yep. The ground game and organization + lack of ground game and organization on the opposing side will push her to +5.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2016, 06:56:26 PM »
Clinton <2%. Trump winning electoral votes.
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2016, 06:57:08 PM »
Clinton +2
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Torie
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2016, 07:01:03 PM »
Posting numbers in this thread I find quite insane. JMO.  Smiley
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2016, 07:02:18 PM »
How likely is Clinton to win the EC is she only wins by 2%?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2016, 07:04:51 PM »
Quote from: Andrea Beaumont on November 02, 2016, 07:02:18 PM
How likely is Clinton to win the EC is she only wins by 2%?
~79.3435%


Long answer: it depends on other states. How well she is doing in TX and CA for istance.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2016, 08:06:28 PM »
5% or more.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2016, 08:07:37 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2016, 08:10:30 PM by Maxwell »

this tells me that Trump would win the electoral college with something like 300 EV's.

Was hoping around between 3 and 5, decided on +4 - which is close to what I've been predicting for a while.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2016, 08:08:07 PM »
Clinton +6-7
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2016, 08:12:21 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on November 02, 2016, 08:07:37 PM

this tells me that Trump would win the electoral college with something like 300 EV's.

312 is the most I could possibly see him getting without reeeealy tearing down the Friewal- and this requires IA, OH, FL, NC, CO, NV, WI, NH, and PA. Maaaaybe if he wins by 1...
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Spark
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2016, 08:36:48 PM »
Clinton +1.5, but lose the EC.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2016, 09:01:44 PM »
Clinton +5
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zorkpolitics
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2016, 09:13:18 PM »
Clinton by 3%
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2016, 09:19:00 PM »
Clinton by 5-7 points.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2016, 09:26:25 PM »

Ballpark
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peterthlee
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« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2016, 09:27:10 PM »
Clinton +9 to +9.5
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2016, 10:23:22 PM »
Similar to Obama 2012 fashion, Clinton 51-48
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2016, 10:25:04 PM »
Hillary by less than 1%, but Trump wins in the EC
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