Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 25, 2017, 05:51:31 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | |-+  UT - Monmouth: Trump +6
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: UT - Monmouth: Trump +6  (Read 1099 times)
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14297
United States


View Profile
« on: November 03, 2016, 12:02:25 pm »
Ignore

Among 402 LVs, Oct. 30-Nov. 2:

Trump 37 (+3 since early October)
Clinton 31 (+3)
McMullin 24 (+4)
Johnson 4
Stein 1

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_UT_110316/
« Last Edit: November 03, 2016, 12:05:40 pm by Speed of Sound »Logged
Ozymandias
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 471


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 12:02:34 pm »
Ignore

New Utah poll from Monmouth:

Trump: 37%
Clinton: 31%
McMullin: 24%
Johnson: 4%

https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/794222617377046528
Logged
President dfwlibertylover
dfwlibertylover
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2218
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -2.43

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2016, 12:03:08 pm »
Ignore

2nd poll in a row to show McMullin in 3rd in UT, RIP :/
Logged

Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40684
Dominica


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2016, 12:03:27 pm »
Ignore

RIP MCMUFFIN Cry
Logged

fuck nazis
Buzz
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 69


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2016, 12:03:54 pm »
Ignore

Thank you Utah!
Logged
President dfwlibertylover
dfwlibertylover
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2218
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -2.43

View Profile
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2016, 12:03:59 pm »
Ignore

2nd poll in a row to show McMullin in 3rd in UT, RIP Sad
Logged

ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6785
Austria


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2016, 12:06:57 pm »
Ignore

clinton over 30?

madness.
Logged

adracman42
Full Member
***
Posts: 156


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -7.48

View Profile
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2016, 12:09:35 pm »
Ignore

Tumbling down, tumbling down...
Logged
Benedicamus Domino
Classic Conservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5248
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2016, 12:11:36 pm »
Ignore

RIP MCMUFFIN Cry
Logged

"Benjamin Franklin reminded his colleagues at the Constitutional Convention, to begin by bowing their head in prayer. I remind you, we’re going to start saying Merry Christmas again.” Donald John Trump
Senator Cris
Cris
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5352
Italy



View Profile
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2016, 12:12:10 pm »
Ignore

Sad
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 33898
United States


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2016, 12:46:34 pm »
Ignore

Support by party:

Dems
Clinton 86%
Johnson 6%
McMullin 5%
Trump 2%
Stein 0%

GOP
Trump 56%
McMullin 34%
Clinton 4%
Johnson 2%
Stein 0%

Indies
Trump 34%
Clinton 32%
McMullin 24%
Johnson 5%
Stein 1%

By religion:

Mormon:
Trump 43%
McMullin 37%
Clinton 14%
Johnson 2%
Stein 0%

non-Mormon:
Clinton 54%
Trump 29%
Johnson 7%
McMullin 7%
Stein 1%

other demos:
men: Trump +12 over Clinton
women: Clinton +1 over Trump
age 18-49: Trump +3 over McMullin
age 50+: Trump +3 over Clinton
no college degree: Trump +14 over Clinton
college degree: Clinton +1 over McMullin/Trump

McMullin’s base seems to be Mormons under 50 with a college degree.
Logged

My magnum opus is now complete.  Read the complete "The Adventures of Hobo Orgy Guy & Blondie" (now in paperback).

Watch Dave being briefed by the mods.

Being a moderator is basically like one giant party.  Except you're the one ruining the party and everyone hates you.
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 33898
United States


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2016, 12:49:18 pm »
Ignore

fav/unfav %:
McMullin 36/16% for +20%
Clinton 23/66% for -43%
Trump 22/67% for -45%

So we still have a whopping 48% of Utah voters with no opinion of McMullin.  He does have net positive favorable %s among every demographic group though.  Even Democrats.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2016, 12:51:00 pm by Mr. Morden »Logged

My magnum opus is now complete.  Read the complete "The Adventures of Hobo Orgy Guy & Blondie" (now in paperback).

Watch Dave being briefed by the mods.

Being a moderator is basically like one giant party.  Except you're the one ruining the party and everyone hates you.
A Pessimistic intellect with an Optimistic will
Cashew
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1479
United States


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2016, 01:00:29 pm »
Ignore

Sad
Logged
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3231
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2016, 02:40:08 pm »

New Poll: Utah President by Monmouth University on 2016-11-02

Summary: D: 31%, R: 37%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Zioneer
PioneerProgress
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7257
United States


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2016, 03:34:39 pm »
Ignore

I'm waiting on local pollsters like Dan Jones to release a poll before I mourn McMullin's McMomentuem falling away.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10938
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 4.35

View Profile
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2016, 03:46:22 pm »
Ignore

Seems like the robocalls really did a number to McMullin. Sad
Logged
Larry Sanders can still win
Fubart Solman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3157
United States


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2016, 05:29:38 pm »
Ignore

Isn't Monmouth the one that hid third parties under "other" the last time they pulled Utah?

Edit: Regardless, they didn't this time. That's good of them.
Logged

John Chiang for CA Governor 2018
Michael Eisen for US Senate from CA 2018
E: -3.48 S: -7.48
I can see it now...
Trump: Kanye, I know Donald Trump. I am Donald Trump. Donald Trump's a yuge friend of mine - big league good guy, great president. Kanye, you're no Donald Trump.
Insert clever user name here
Old Europe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7946


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2016, 05:31:16 pm »
Ignore

So, no President McMullin then.
Logged

Quote
We will immediately repeal and replace ObamaCare - and nobody can do that like me. We will save $'s and have much better healthcare!

    — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 9, 2016

Quote
Obama's complaints about Republicans stopping his agenda are BS since he had full control for two years. He can never take responsibility.

    — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 26, 2012
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3098
United States


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2016, 05:40:22 pm »
Ignore

clinton over 30?

madness.

Well Obama did get 34% of the vote in 2008, so not totally shocked to see Clinton bringing many of those voters back.... Obviously we can't compare 2012 to either 2008 or 2016, because of the historic nature of the Romney candidacy with a community that has faced long and deep-standing religious discrimination in America, so I would look at 2008 as more of a potential Clinton ceiling in Utah.

If Clinton can hold that number and McMullen adds a few more points from Trump, then suddenly Utah numbers look really interesting.

Logged

Solitude Without a Window
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 46296
United States


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2016, 12:21:06 am »
Ignore

Seems like McMuffin's chances are slipping away. Shame. Sad
Logged

Our numbers are dwindling. Our words are confused.
Some of them have been twisted by the enemy
until they can no longer be recognized.

Now what is wrong, or false, in what we have said?
Just some parts, or everything?
On whom can we still rely? Are we survivors, cast
away by the current? Will we be left behind,
no longer understanding anyone and being understood by no one?
Must we rely on luck?

This is what you ask. Expect
no answer but your own.


Bertolt Brecht
Let Dogs Survive
MormDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11501
United States


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2016, 12:35:53 am »
Ignore

Seems like McMuffin's chances are slipping away. Shame. Sad

This was inevitable as soon as it was discovered that just maybe Hillary would get the state if McMullin was given more slack.
Logged

Political Spectrum

Government: 3.65 (Authoritarian)
Economics: -7.05 (Liberal)
Foreign Policy: -6.66 (Dove)
Culture Wars: -3.1 (Centrist)

Political Compass

Economics: -7.88
Social/Libertarian-Authoritarian: 0.92
Solitude Without a Window
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 46296
United States


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2016, 12:52:06 am »
Ignore

Seems like McMuffin's chances are slipping away. Shame. Sad

This was inevitable as soon as it was discovered that just maybe Hillary would get the state if McMullin was given more slack.


That's a pretty ridiculous assumption for people to make, since she actually was polling in third in the polls that had McMuffin competitive. There are quite a few McMuffin voters who will actually come back to her if he collapses.
Logged

Our numbers are dwindling. Our words are confused.
Some of them have been twisted by the enemy
until they can no longer be recognized.

Now what is wrong, or false, in what we have said?
Just some parts, or everything?
On whom can we still rely? Are we survivors, cast
away by the current? Will we be left behind,
no longer understanding anyone and being understood by no one?
Must we rely on luck?

This is what you ask. Expect
no answer but your own.


Bertolt Brecht
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines