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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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Author Topic: My prediction with a timeline.  (Read 2862 times)
Metallifreak10
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« on: November 03, 2016, 09:57:52 pm »
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7pm on the east coast.
The following states polls have closed with some called.

Indiana- Trump (11)
Kentucky- Trump (8 )
Vermont- Clinton (3)
Virginia- TCTC (13)
Georgia- TCTC (16)
South Carolina- too early to call (9)

Trump- 19
Clinton- 3
Undecided- 38

7:15pm one state has now been called.

South Carolina- Trump (9)

Trump- 28
Clinton- 3
Undecided- 29

7:30pm 3 states polls have closed.

West Virginia- Trump (5)
Ohio- TCTC (18)
North Carolina- TCTC (15)

Trump- 33
Clinton- 3
Undecided- 62

7:35pm here are the vote totals from states that have raw votes available.

Indiana 12% in
✅Trump 188,150  56.5%
Clinton 118,210  35.5%
Johnson 25,000  7.5%
Others 1,640  0.5%

Kentucky 20% in
✅Trump 224,200  59%
Clinton 136,800  36%
Johnson 12,900  3%
Stein 3,400  1%
Others 2,700  1%

South Carolina 1% in
Clinton 10,600  71%
✅Trump 3,900  26%
Johnson 300  2%
Stein 100  0.5%
Others 100  0.5%

Vermont 1% in
✅Clinton 2,280  57%
Trump 1,050  26%
Johnson 240  6%
Stein 160  4%
Others 270  7%

Virginia 2% in
Trump 47,600  56%
Clinton 31,800  37.5%
Johnson 4,250  5%
Stein 860  1%
Others 490  0.5%

Georgia 1% in
Trump 19,500  65%
Clinton 9,000  30%
Johnson 1,350  4.5%
Others 150. 0.5%

Florida 25% in
Clinton 1,073,600  48.8%
Trump 1,058,200  48.1%
Johnson 46,200  2.1%
Stein 15,400  0.7%
Others 6,600  0.3%

North Carolina 1% in
Trump 27,000  54%
Clinton 20,500  41%
Johnson 2,300  4.5%
Others 200  0.5%

Ohio and West Virginia have zero votes in.

Popular vote totals

Trump 1,569,600 51%
Clinton 1,402,790 45%
Johnson 92,540 3%
Stein 19,920 0.6%
Others 12,150 0.4%


 Part 2: 8pm poll closings

 Coming soon.


« Last Edit: November 04, 2016, 02:55:58 am by Metallifreak10 »Logged
Metallifreak10
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 11:38:45 pm »
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8pm eastern time, many states polls have closed with many calls.

Alabama- Trump (9)
Mississippi- Trump (6)
Tennessee- Trump (11)
Oklahoma- Trump (7)
Illinois- Clinton (20)
Massachusetts- Clinton(11)
Rhode Island- Clinton (4)
Connecticut- Clinton (7)
Delaware- Clinton (3)
Maryland- Clinton (10)
D.C.- Clinton (3)
Florida- TCTC (29)
Missouri- TCTC (10)
Maine- TCTC (4)
New Hampshire- TCTC (4)
New Jersey- Too early to call (14)
Pennsylvania- TCTC (20)

Also, one state can be called from earlier.

Georgia- Trump (16)

Trump 82
Clinton 61
Undecided 127

8:20pm 1 state from earlier can be projected.

New Jersey- Clinton (14)

8:30pm, polls close in 1 state.

Arkansas- Trump (6)

Trump 88
Clinton 75
Undecided 113

8:40pm, Vote totals in states recently called, and those undecided.

Virginia 22% in
Trump 485,150  55%
Clinton 326,300  37%
Johnson 54,700  6%
Stein 10,600  1%
Others 5,250  1%

Georgia 15% in
✅Trump 366,000  61%
Clinton 204,000  34%
Johnson 27,000  4.5%
Others 3,000  0.5%

Florida 54% in
Trump 2,258,600  49.1%
Clinton 2,189,600  47.6%
Johnson 101,200  2.2%
Stein 33,000  0.7%
Others 17,600  0.4%

North Carolina 42% in
Trump 968,100  50%
Clinton 873,000  45%
Johnson 88,300  4.5%
Others 10,600  0.5%

Ohio 20% in
Clinton 623,500  54%
Trump 464,500  40%
Johnson 51,950  4.5%
Stein 13,900  1%
Other 1,150  0.1%

West Virginia 2% in
✅Trump 9,300  62%
Clinton 4,780  32%
Johnson 630  4%
Stein 210  1%
Others 80  1%

Alabama 1% in
✅Trump 16,200  54%
Clinton 12,600  42%
Johnson 900  3%
Stein 240  1%
Others 60

Mississippi 2% in
✅Trump 15,300  51%
Clinton 13,800  46%
Johnson 600  2%
Stein 180  0.5%
Others 120  0.5%

Tennessee 24% in
✅Trump 358,400  56%
Clinton 246,400  38.5%
Johnson 27,500  4.5%
Stein 6,400  1%
Others 1,300

Oklahoma 2% in
✅Trump 24,800  62%
Clinton 12,800  32%
Johnson 2,400  6%

Missouri 1% in
Trump 20,100  67%
Clinton 7,900  26%
Johnson 1,650  5.5%
Stein 240  1%
Others 110  0.5%

Illinois 10% in
✅Clinton 378,750  69%
Trump 132,600  24%
Johnson 26,950  5%
Stein 11,000  2%
Others 700

Maine 2% in
Clinton 6,900  46%
Trump 6,150  41%
Johnson 1,430  9.5%
Stein 450  3%
Others 70  0.5%

New Hampshire 6% in
Clinton 21,150  53%
Trump 14,450  36%
Johnson 2,800  7%
Stein 800  2%
Others 800  2%

Massachusetts 7% in
✅Clinton 109,500  55%
Trump 72,000  36%
Johnson 13,300  6.5%
Stein 4,100  2%
Others 1,100  0.5%
 
Rhode Island 1% in
✅Clinton 2,690  54%
Trump 1,950  39%
Johnson 215  4%
Stein 105  2%
Others 40  1%

Connecticut 3% in
✅Clinton 24,400 61%
Trump 13,600  34%
Johnson 1,400  3.5%
Stein 500  1%
Others 100

New Jersey 5% in
✅Clinton 91,800  51%
Trump 79,800  44%
Johnson 5,400  3%
Stein 1,800  1%
Others 1,200  1%

Delaware 1% in
✅Clinton 2,620  52%
Trump 2,100  42%
Johnson 180  4%
Stein 70  1%
Others 30  1%

Maryland 4% in
✅Clinton 69,000  69%
Trump 25,000  25%
Johnson 3,900  4%
Stein 1,700  2%
Others 400

D.C. 30% in
✅Clinton 90,000  90%
Trump 6,000  6%
Stein 2,100  2%
Johnson 1,800  2%
Others 100

Pennsylvania 2% in
Clinton 61,900  62%
Trump 34,050  34%
Johnson 2,600  2.5%
Stein 950  1%
Others 500  0.5%

Arkansas 1% in
✅Trump 6,360  63.5%
Clinton 2,750  27.5%
Johnson 550  5.5%
Stein 170  1.75%
Others 170  1.75%

Popular vote 11% in

Trump 7,253,910  49.5%
Clinton 6,655,640  45.4%
Johnson 581,555  4.0%
Stein 106,115  0.7%
Others 69,780  0.5%

9pm closings coming soon.
« Last Edit: November 04, 2016, 02:58:46 am by Metallifreak10 »Logged
Lincoln Speaker Lok
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2016, 02:26:08 am »
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You should differentiate between too close and too early, as states like New Jersey, and South Carolina will not be too close.
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Metallifreak10
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2016, 02:42:50 am »
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I considered that actually, but I just wanted to keep it simple.. But, I suppose I could change that.
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2016, 06:12:41 am »
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You should differentiate between too close and too early, as states like New Jersey, and South Carolina will not be too close.

:/ I thought we were friends...
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2016, 07:21:54 am »
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You should differentiate between too close and too early, as states like New Jersey, and South Carolina will not be too close.

:/ I thought we were friends...
Sorry mate, just not gonna happen yet. Maybe within the next few cycles, as it is defiantly trending D
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2016, 10:35:54 am »
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You should differentiate between too close and too early, as states like New Jersey, and South Carolina will not be too close.

Not sure that I understand the differentiation. 

If I state cannot be called because its "Too Early to Call" doesn't that indicate that there's at least some possibility that the state votes counter to expectations?  If that is the case, is the state really "too early" or "too close"?
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Metallifreak10
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2016, 11:08:28 am »
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You should differentiate between too close and too early, as states like New Jersey, and South Carolina will not be too close.

Not sure that I understand the differentiation.  

If I state cannot be called because its "Too Early to Call" doesn't that indicate that there's at least some possibility that the state votes counter to expectations?  If that is the case, is the state really "too early" or "too close"?

 It's something they started doing the last couple of election cycles.. Too early to call, from my understanding, just basically means that they are pretty certain what the projection will be, but they just aren't 100% yet.

 Also, next update in a couple of hours.
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Metallifreak10
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2016, 12:31:11 pm »
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9pm and many more states have had their polls closed.

Kansas- Trump (6)
Louisiana- Trump (8 )
Nebraska- Trump (4/5)- the 2nd congressional district is TCTC.
North Dakota- Trump (3)
South Dakota- Trump (3)
Texas- Trump (38)
Wyoming- Trump (3)
New York- Clinton (29)
Arizona- TCTC (11)
Colorado- TCTC (9)
Michigan- TCTC (16)
Minnesota- TCTC (10)
New Mexico- too early to call (5)
Wisconsin- TCTC (10)

Trump 153
Clinton 104
Undecided 175

 *Though Texas was called already, exit polls show Latino turnout increased 12-15%, and exit polls show the margin will be smaller than 2012.

*Arizona exit polls show similar results, but Trump has about a 3 point lead in our first look at the exit polls.

*Colorado exit polls show Clinton and Trump statistically tied.

*Michigan exit polls show Clinton with a 5 point lead.

*Minnesota exit polls show Clinton with a 7 point lead.

*Wisconsin exit polls show Clinton with a 4 point lead

*New Mexico exit polls show Clinton with a 6 point lead. Gary Johnson is at 15%, and 6 out of 10 Johnson supporters said if Johnson was not in the race, they would've supported Clinton. This might be making the race tighter than it should be.

*Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, New Hampshire are all very close.

*Pennsylvania and Maine have Clinton in the lead.

*Missouri exit polls show Trump with a significant lead.

9:05pm Maine can now be partially projected

Maine- Clinton (3/4)- the 2nd congressional district is still TCTC.

9:10pm another state can be called.

Missouri- Trump (10)

Trump 163
Clinton 107
Undecided 162

To be continued. I'll have updated raw vote totals for 9:30-9:45pm in an hour or so.

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Metallifreak10
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2016, 02:13:57 pm »
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Raw votes update 9:40pm.

Virginia 55% in
Trump 1,055,800  48%
Clinton 965,800  44%
Johnson 136,400  6%
Stein 28,600  1%
Others 13,400  1%

Florida 80% in
Trump 3,388,040  48.4%
Clinton 3,381,100  48.3%
Johnson 153,900  2.2%
Stein 53,960  0.7%
Others 23,000  0.4%

North Carolina 75% in
Trump 1,697,500  48.5%
Clinton 1,624,200  46.5%
Johnson 160,900  4.5%
Others 17,400  0.5%

Ohio 40% in
Clinton 1,056,150  48%
Trump 1,011,800  46%
Johnson 105,600  5%
Stein 24,250  1%
Others 2,200

New Hampshire 17% in
Clinton 62,400  48%
Trump 54,600  42%
Johnson 8,450  6.5%
Stein 2,600  2%
Others 1,950  1.5%

Pennsylvania 10% in
Clinton 359,900  60%
Trump 210,120  35%
Johnson 21,000  3.5%
Stein 4,860  1%
Others 4,120  0.5%

Arizona 60% in
Trump 674,250  46.5%
Clinton 639,500  44%
Johnson 107,300  7.5%
Stein 21,700  1.5%
Others 7,250  0.5%

Colorado 50% in
Clinton 572,000  44%
Trump 543,400  42%
Johnson 123,500  9.5%
Stein 37,700  3%
Others 23,400  2%

Michigan 3% in
Trump 70,500  47%
Clinton 68,550  46%
Johnson 8,250  5.5%
Stein 2,300  1.5%
Others 400

Minnesota 2% in
Trump 28,200  47%
Clinton 26,160  44%
Johnson 3,600  6%
Stein 1,300  2%
Others 740  1%

New Mexico 2% in
Clinton 10,200  51%
Trump 6,700  33.5%
Johnson 2,800  14%
Stein 160  1%
Others 140  0.5%

Wisconsin 5% in
Trump 73,600  49%
Clinton 65,300  43.5%
Johnson 8,200  5.5%
Stein 2,200  1.5%
Others 700  0.5%

 I'm running a bit behind, but I have to tabulate a few more vote totals.. Hopefully it won't take too long.
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Metallifreak10
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2016, 03:31:02 pm »
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Missouri 9% in
✅Trump 130,000  52%
Clinton 102,250  41%
Johnson 13,750  5.5%
Stein 2,800  1%
Others 1,200  0.5%

Maine 6% in
✅Clinton 19,200  48%
Trump 15,800  39.5%
Johnson 3,600  9%
Stein 1,200  3%
Others 200  0.5%

Kansas 20% in
✅Trump 127,500  51%
Clinton 97,500  39%
Johnson 19,750  8%
Stein  4,250  2%
Others  1,000

Louisiana 5% in
✅Trump 57,500  57.5%
Clinton 37,000  37%
Johnson 3,800  4%
Stein 1,000  1%
Others 600  0.5%

Nebraska 15% in
✅Trump 72,800  56%
Clinton 46,150  35.5%
Johnson 8,450  6.5%
Stein 1,950  1.5%
Others 650  0.5%

New York 9% in
✅Clinton 378,000  54%
Trump 287,000  41%
Johnson 21,000  3%
Stein 13,200  2%
Others 800

North Dakota 10% in
✅Trump 17,400  58%
Clinton 9,450  31.5%
Johnson 2,110  7%
Stein 720  2.5%
Others 320  1%

South Dakota 11% in
✅Trump 21,650  54%
Clinton 14,950  37.5%
Johnson 3,000  7.5%
Others 400  1%

Texas 35% in
✅Trump 1,526,200  54.5%
Clinton 1,094,700  39%
Johnson 145,500  5%
Stein 30,700  1%
Others 2,900

Wyoming 6% in
✅Trump 7,500  50%
Clinton 5,520  37%
Johnson 1,360  9%
Stein 320  2%
Others 300  2%

 If anyone is wondering why some states are so off, I'm trying to be as realistic as possible. Pennsylvania usually reports its democratic areas 1st.. In New York, the city lags behind the rest of the state for reporting results. That's why with 9% in, Clinton only has a 13 point lead.


9:40pm Popular vote totals 29% in
Trump 18,402,835  48.1%
Clinton 17,586,230  45.9%
Johnson 1,731,375  4.5%
Stein 376,525  1.0%
Others 188,035  0.5%
 
10pm calls coming later..
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Metallifreak10
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2016, 12:23:23 am »
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10pm and 4 more states polls have closed, we can make at least one projection.

Montana- Trump (3)
Iowa- TCTC (6)
Nevada- TCTC (6)
Utah- TCTC (6)

*Iowa exit polls show A statistical tie.

*Nevada exit polls show Clinton with a 4 point lead.

*Utah exit polls show a statistical tie between McMullin and Trump. Clinton is 9 points behind.

*Nebraska's 2nd district is still up in the air, roughly half the vote is in, and Trump is up by 2 points.

*Maine's 2nd district is still not decided either. Trump leads by less than a point there with more than half the precincts reporting.

*Though Trump leads in Virginia, as usual, the Fairfax County is lagging behind the rest of the state. That will definitely help out Clinton.

*Florida is as close as it gets. Exit polls show Hispanic turnout up, but African American turnout slightly down. Whites made up 66% of the Florida electorate and voted 61-36 in favor of Trump, African Americans made up 12% and backed Clinton 92-6. Hispanics made up 18%, and backed Clinton 63-34. Just 12 years ago, Bush won the Latino vote here. The GOP is in some huge trouble if they can't reverse this trend with Hispanics.

*In Ohio, some good news for Trump. Most of the vote in Cuyahoga County in, but many Republican areas seem to be lagging. He has trailed here all night, but there is a glimmer of hope as exit polls do have him up by a meager 1 point.

*North Carolina is yielding mixed results. Clinton is doing better than President Obama did around the Charlotte area in 2012. But, Trump is doing a little better than Romney did in the western part of the state. Still TCTC.

10:20pm 1 state can be called.

New Mexico- Clinton (5)

10:30pm 2 states can be called.

Michigan- Clinton (16)
Arizona- Trump (11)

Trump 177
Clinton 128
Undecided 148

10:40pm 1 more state has been called.

Minnesota- Clinton (10)

Trump 177
Clinton 138
Undecided 138

10:45pm Some raw vote totals.

Virginia 76% in
Trump 1,416,000  47%
Clinton 1,338,500  44.5%
Johnson 187,100  6%
Stein 38,900  1.5%
Others 19,500  0.5%

Florida 90% in
Trump 3,773,630  48.4%
Clinton 3,768,970  48.3%
Johnson 171,600  2.2%
Stein 58,500  0.7%
Others 27,300  0.4%

North Carolina 98% in
Trump 2,178,000  48.5%
Clinton 2,097,500  46.5%
Johnson 204,700  4.5%
Others 19,800  0.5%

Ohio 68% in
Trump 1,753,800  47.5%
Clinton 1,722,350  46.5%
Johnson 179,450  5%
Stein 40,900  1%
Others 3,500

New Hampshire 60% in
Clinton 203,850  45.3%
Trump 199,350  44.3%
Johnson 30,400  6.8%
Stein 9,220  2%
Others 7,180  1.6%

Pennsylvania 50% in
Clinton 1,580,500  54.5%
Trump 1,160,500  40%
Johnson 113,000  4%
Stein 26,100  1%
Others 19,900  0.5%

Arizona 75% in
✅Trump 849,500  47%
Clinton 777,600  43%
Johnson 135,000  7.5%
Stein 28,800  2%
Others 9,100  0.5%

Colorado 60% in
Clinton 708,800  44%
Trump 667,200  42%
Johnson 150,400  9%
Stein 44,800  3%
Others 28,800  2%

Michigan 22% in
Trump 471,000  47%
✅Clinton 454,000  45.5%
Johnson 55,000  5.5%
Stein 16,500  1.5%
Others 3,500  0.5%

Minnesota 23% in
✅Clinton 345,040  49%
Trump 290,550  41.5%
Johnson 40,650  6%
Stein 15,750  2%
Others 8,010  1%

New Mexico 30% in
✅Clinton 112,300  45%
Trump 100,000  40%
Johnson 34,200  13.5%
Stein 2,000  1%
Others 1,500  0.5%

Wisconsin 20% in
Trump 319,110  49%
Clinton 282,050  43.5%
Johnson 35,120  5.5%
Stein 9,760  1.5%
Others 3,960  0.5%

Iowa 35% in
Clinton 274,300  49%
Trump 250,900  45%
Johnson 19,100  3.5%
Stein 6,700  1%
Others 9,000  1.5%

Montana 8% in
✅Trump 20,400  51%
Clinton 15,600  39%
Johnson 3,320  8.5%
Stein 600  1.5%
Others 80

Nevada 40% in
Clinton 219,250  51%
Trump 176,350  41%
Johnson 28,800  7%
Others 5,600  1%

Utah 2% in
McMullin 8,780  44%
Trump 7,210  36%
Clinton 2,800  14%
Johnson 810  4%
Stein 200  1%
Others 200  1%

Popular vote totals coming soon, along with 11pm closings.




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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2016, 02:00:54 pm »
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10:45pm popular vote totals 54% in.
Trump 33,825,400  47.34%
Clinton 33,182,670  46.44%
Johnson 3,292,870  4.61%
Stein 789,450  1.10%
Others 358,610  0.50%

Electoral vote totals
Trump 177 with 20 states
Clinton 138 with 13 states plus DC
Undecided 138 with 11 states.

Trump has won the following states,
Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Georgia, West Virginia, Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, Kansas, Louisiana, Nebraska (4/5), North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas, Wyoming, Montana, and Arizona

Clinton has won the following states,
Vermont, Illinois, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, DC, Maine (3/4), New York, New Mexico, Michigan, Minnesota

The following states are yet to be called,
Virginia (13)
Florida (29)
North Carolina (15)
Ohio (18 )
New Hampshire (4)
Pennsylvania (20)
Colorado (9)
Wisconsin (10)
Iowa (6)
Nevada (6)
Utah (6)
Maine 2nd district (1)
Nebraska 2nd district (1)

11pm and 5 more states polls have closed.

California- Clinton (55)
Hawaii- Clinton (4)
Washington- Clinton (12)
Idaho- Trump (4)
Oregon- Too early to call (7)

Clinton 209
Trump 181
Undecided 145

*Like last time, Oregon is lagging on exit poll date. In 2012, immediate exit poll data showed President Obama with just a 6 point lead, he ended up winning the state by 12. Clinton has a 7 point lead according to exit poll data available now.

Next update coming soon.
« Last Edit: November 05, 2016, 02:05:02 pm by Metallifreak10 »Logged
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« Reply #13 on: November 06, 2016, 01:06:24 am »
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11:15pm 1 state can be called.
 
Nevada- Clinton (6)

11:23pm 1 more state can be called.

North Carolina- Trump (15)

11:30pm we can make another call.

Nebraska 2nd district- Trump (1)

11:35pm 2 states can be called.

Oregon- Clinton (7)
Colorado- Clinton (9)

Electoral votes now stand like this,

Clinton 231
Trump 197
Undecided 107

11:45pm Time to check some vote totals.

California 11% in
✅Clinton 810,450  54%
Trump 540,300  36%
Johnson 90,750  6%
Stein 39,000  2.5%
Others 19,500  1.5%

Washington 25% in
✅Clinton 373,180  46.5%
Trump 348,010  43.5%
Johnson 49,240  6%
Stein 19,200  2.5%
Others 10,370  1.5%

Hawaii 30% in
✅Clinton 81,180  62.5%
Trump 41,600  32%
Johnson 4,490  3.5%
Stein 2,400  2%
Others 330

Idaho 20% in
✅Trump 79,100  56.5%
Clinton 38,020  27%
Johnson 10,380  7.5%
McMullin 9,840  7%
Stein 1,260  1%
Others 1,400  1%

Oregon 50% in
✅Clinton 471,100  52%
Trump  346,550  38.5%
Johnson 47,700. 5.5%
Stein 22,050  2.5%
Others 12,600  1.5%

Nevada 65% in
✅Clinton 344,400  49%
Trump 301,000  43%
Johnson 46,150  6.5%
Others 8,450  1.5%

Colorado 80% in
✅Clinton 948,150  44%
Trump 900,850  42%
Johnson 202,100  9%
Stein 60,200  3%
Others 38,700  2%

North Carolina 99% in
✅Trump 2,202,200  48.4%
Clinton 2,120,300  46.6%
Johnson 207,025  4.5%
Others 20,475  0.5%

Virginia 88% in
Clinton 1,623,800  46.4%
Trump 1,589,400  45.4%
Johnson 218,550  6.2%
Stein 45,500  1.3%
Others 22,750  0.7%

Florida 95% in
Clinton 3,966,300  48.4%
Trump 3,963,060  48.3%
Johnson 180,410  2.2%
Stein 61,500  0.7%
Others 28,730  0.4%

Ohio 83% in
Trump 2,173,500  48.3%
Clinton 2,054,250  45.7%
Johnson 218,250  4.8%
Stein 49,500  1.1%
Others 4,500

New Hampshire 80% in
Clinton 273,000  45.5%
Trump 264,600  44%
Johnson 40,500  7%
Stein 12,300  2%
Others 9,600  1.5%

Pennsylvania 80% in
Clinton 2,336,600  50%
Trump 2,046,000  44%
Johnson 186,000  4%
Stein 46,500  1%
Others 34,900  1%

Wisconsin 53% in
Clinton 761,500  47.5%
Trump 720,100  45%
Johnson 85,600  5.5%
Stein 24,000  1.5%
Others 8,800  0.5%

Iowa 70% in
Clinton 549,030  47.5%
Trump 529,160  46%
Johnson 39,150  3.5%
Stein 13,800  1.5%
Others 18,860  1.5%

Utah 10% in
McMullin 39,000  39%
Trump 37,100  37%
Clinton 17,900  18%
Johnson 4,000  4%
Stein 1,100  1%
Others 900  1%

*Virginia is tilting towards Clinton. Most Republican counties are reporting at least 95% of the vote in, yet the counties surrounding DC are only reporting about 75% of the precincts in.

*Florida probably won't be decided tonight.

*Ohio is looking good for Trump. 120,000 vote lead with 83% of the precincts reporting.

*New Hampshire still can't be called.

*Pennsylvania looking better and better For Clinton, but Trump has been closing the gap all night.

*Wisconsin still has a long way to go.

*Iowa looking good for Clinton, but still a lot of votes still outstanding. The western part of the state seems to be reporting slower than the rest of the state.

*Utah is very close. A Trump loss here would be pretty devastating for the GOP.

Trump's path is very narrow right now. Trump needs Ohio, Iowa, Florida, Utah, Wisconsin, and the 2nd district of Maine to get to 270. Virginia isn't looking good for Trump, neither is Pennsylvania. Trump's hope is holding onto Ohio, coming from behind in Iowa, squeezing out a win in Florida, holding onto Utah which looks 50/50, and coming from behind in Wisconsin.

 Clinton's path is very promising.

12:00am poll closing in 1 state.

Alaska- Trump (3)

Clinton 231
Trump 200
Undecided 107

12:10am, we can make an important call.

Virginia- Clinton (13)
92% in
✅Clinton 1,706,500  46.75%
Trump 1,644,400  45%
Johnson 227,900  6.25%
Stein 47,500  1.3%
Others 23,700  0.7%

12:14am, we can make another call.

Pennsylvania- Clinton (20)
88% in
✅Clinton 2,510,050  49.4%
Trump 2,280,015  44.8%
Johnson 205,950  4%
Stein 50,800  1%
Others 38,185  0.8%

Updated Electoral Votes.

Clinton 264
Trump 200
Undecided 74

12:25am we can make another call.

Maine 2nd district- Trump (1)

Clinton 264
Trump 201
Undecided 73

States undecided:

Florida (29)
Ohio (18)
New Hampshire (4)
Wisconsin (10)
Iowa (6)
Utah (6)

 The only state that Trump can lose is New Hampshire, otherwise his path to 270 is closed. Clinton has to be very happy with these results.

Final update coming soon.
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Metallifreak10
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« Reply #14 on: November 06, 2016, 02:14:43 pm »
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12:30am 1 state can be called.

Ohio- Trump (18)
93% in
✅Trump 2,472,150  48.2%
Clinton 2,346,980  45.8%
Johnson 248,750  4.8%
Stein 57,020  1.1%
Others 5,100

Clinton 264
Trump 219
Undecided 55

12:45am state updates.

Florida 97% in
Clinton 4,063,920  48.38%
Trump 4,058,880  48.32%
Johnson 184,800  2.2%
Stein  63,000  0.75%
Others 29,400  0.35%

Utah 50% in
McMullin 206,250  37.5%
Trump 199,100  36.2%
Clinton 110,550  20.1%
Johnson 23,100  4.2%
Stein 6,050  1.1%
Others 4,950  0.9%

Wisconsin 76% in
Clinton 1,090,100  47.4%
Trump 1,039,840  45.2%
Johnson 123,140  5.3%
Stein 34,500  1.5%
Others 12,420  0.6%

New Hampshire 94% in
Clinton 309,390  45.5%
Trump 299,890  44%
Johnson 45,900  6.8%
Stein 13,940  2.1%
Others 10,880  1.6%

Iowa 85% in
Trump 638,520  47%
Clinton 635,120  46.7%
Johnson 47,600  3.5%
Stein 16,320  1.2%
Others 22,440  1.7%

12:57am 1 state can be called.

New Hampshire- Clinton (4)
 
Clinton 268
Trump 219
Undecided 51

1:09am a huge call can be made..

Wisconsin- Clinton (10)
86% in
✅Clinton 1,261,400  47.6%
Trump 1,192,500  45%
Johnson 141,775  5.3%
Stein 39,750  1.5%
Others 14,575  0.6%

Clinton 278
Trump 219
Undecided 41

And with that, we can finally say that this election is over. One of the nastiest elections that most people can remember. Hillary Rodham Clinton is elected the 45th president of the United States. The question is this, will Donald Trump concede?

 Let's look at the popular vote
90% in
Trump 55,114,120  46.51%
✅Clinton 55,007,800  46.42%
Johnson 5,818,260  4.91%
Stein 1,599,760  1.35%
Others 960,060  0.81%

1:45am 1 state can be called

Iowa- Trump (6)

Clinton 278
Trump 225
Undecided 35

The word is that Donald Trump went to bed, refusing to concede.

9am Donald Trump says he want to wait for the remaining results to come in.

November 10th Still 2 states are undecided.

November 11th 1 state can be called

Utah- McMullin (6)

Clinton 278
Trump 225
McMullin 6
Undecided 29

November 16th Trump finally concedes.

November 17th the last state has been called.

Florida- Clinton (29)

Electoral votes

Clinton 307
Trump 225
McMullin 6


I'll post the final vote results of all 50 states plus DC a little later. Then we can see how I do with relation to the actual race.
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Metallifreak10
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« Reply #15 on: November 06, 2016, 04:20:40 pm »
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Here are the first 25 plus D.C.

Alabama
✅Trump 1,221,750  58.60%
Clinton 759,000  36.40%
Johnson 80,270  3.85%
Stein 18,760  0.90%
Bernie (W.I.) 1,845  0.09%
McMullin (W.I.) 1,500  0.07%
Others 1,885  0.09%

Alaska
✅Trump 149,800  47.25%
Clinton 108,090  34.10%
Johnson 47,550  15.00%
Stein 7,760  2.45%
McMullin (W.I.) 355  0.11%
Others 3,445  1.09%

Arizona
✅Trump 1,143,190  47.53%
Clinton 1,028,500  42.77%
Johnson 181,600  7.55%
Stein 38,450  1.60%
McMullin (W.I.) 1,840  0.08%
Others 11,420  0.47%

Arkansas
✅Trump 638,400  57.00%
Clinton 382,500  34.15%
Johnson 60,500  5.40%
Stein 20,150  1.80%
McMullin 10,080  0.90%
Others 8,370  0.75%

California
✅Clinton 7,381,700  55.29%
Trump 4,639,800  34.76%
Johnson 807,650  6.05%
Stein 347,100  2.60%
Bernie (W.I.) 86,450  0.65%
McMullin (W.I.) 11,600  0.09%
Others 75,500  0.56%

Colorado
✅Clinton 1,180,800  44.22%
Trump 1,115,400  41.78%
Johnson 251,000  9.40%
Stein 74,750  2.80%
McMullin 30,150  1.13%
Others 17,900  0.67%

Connecticut
✅Clinton 866,050  54.30%
Trump 649,210  40.70%
Johnson 57,400  3.60%
Stein 18,340  1.15%
McMullin (W.I.) 2,185  0.14%
Others 1,825  0.11%

Delaware
✅Clinton 226,970  54.30%
Trump 168,460  40.30%
Johnson 14,850  3.55%
Stein 5,220  1.25%
McMullin (W.I.) 1,000  0.24%
Others 1,500  0.36%

D.C.
✅Clinton 270,270  89.20%
Trump 20,005  6.60%
Stein 6,515  2.15%
Johnson 5,760  1.90%
Others 450  0.15%

Florida
✅Clinton 4,180,500  48.44%
Trump 4,164,680  48.26%
Johnson 189,900  2.20%
Stein 64,720  0.75%
Others 30,200  0.35%

Georgia
✅Trump 2,019,400  50.80%
Clinton 1,749,000  44.00%
Johnson 184,850  4.65%
Stein (W.I.) 9,940  0.25%
McMullin (W.I.) 4,030  0.10%
Others 7,780  0.20%

Hawaii
✅Clinton 258,050  61.15%
Trump 140,525  33.30%
Johnson 14,560  3.45%
Stein 7,810  1.85%
Others 1,055  0.25%

Idaho
✅Trump 370,870  54.30%
Clinton 200,450  29.35%
Johnson 50,550  7.40%
McMullin 47,380  6.94%
Stein 6,150  0.90%
Others 7,600  1.11%

Illinois
✅Clinton 2,755,000  52.78%
Trump 2,094,300  40.12%
Johnson 266,250  5.10%
Stein 94,000  1.80%
McMullin (W.I) 5,150  0.10%
Others 5,300  0.10%

Indiana
✅Trump 1,426,000  52.62%
Clinton 1,082,100  39.93%
Johnson 188,350  6.95%
Stein (W.I.) 8,100  0.30%
Others 5,450  0.20%

Iowa
✅Trump 765,600  47.85%
Clinton 732,800  45.80%
Johnson 56,000  3.50%
Stein 19,200  1.20%
McMullin 8,120  0.51%
Bernie (W.I.) 6,650  0.42%
Others 11,630  0.72%

Kansas
✅Trump 657,200  53.65%
Clinton 446,500  36.45%
Johnson 98,000  8.00%
Stein 20,830  1.70%
McMullin (W.I.) 1,510  0.12%
Others 960  0.08%

Kentucky
✅Trump 1,107,980  59.25%
Clinton 667,580  35.70%
Johnson 62,650  3.35%
Stein 15,815  0.85%
McMullin 11,495  0.61%
Others 4,480  0.34%

Louisiana
✅Trump 1,122,700  56.70%
Clinton 752,360  38.00%
Johnson 73,260  3.70%
Stein 19,800  1.00%
McMullen 4,600  0.23%
Others 7,280  0.37%

Maine
✅Clinton 339,450  46.50%
Trump 295,650  40.50%
Johnson 67,525  9.25%
Stein 23,725  3.25%
McMullin (W.I) 840  0.11%
Others 2,810  0.39%

Maryland
✅Clinton 1,561,150  58.70%
Trump 923,300  34.70%
Johnson 118,400  4.45%
Stein 43,850  1.65%
McMullin (W.I.) 2,265  0.09%
Others 11,035  0.41%

Massachusetts
✅Clinton 1,802,400  57.40%
Trump 1,062,880  33.85%
Johnson 202,500  6.45%
Stein 59,670  1.90%
McMullin (W.I.) 3,740  0.12%
Others 8,810  0.28%

Michigan
✅Clinton 2,298,850  49.02%
Trump  2,058,150  43.88%
Johnson 248,600  5.30%
Stein 70,350  1.50%
McMullin (W.I.) 3,060  0.07%
Others 10,990  0.23%

Minnesota
✅Clinton 1,447,150  48.40%
Trump 1,267,760  42.40%
Johnson 173,430  5.80%
Stein 67,270  2.25%
McMullin 15,225  0.51%
Others 19,165  0.64%

Mississippi
✅Trump 707,500  55.71%
Clinton 523,750  41.24%
Johnson 26,040  2.05%
Stein 6,990  0.55%
Others 5,720  0.45%

Missouri
✅Trump 1,467,430  52.22%
Clinton 1,157,100  41.18%
Johnson 144,720  5.15%
Stein 28,100  1.00%
McMullin (W.I.) 1,910  0.07%
Others 10,740  0.38%

The next 25 will come later.
« Last Edit: November 06, 2016, 04:23:44 pm by Metallifreak10 »Logged
Metallifreak10
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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2016, 12:18:26 am »
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Montana
✅Trump 260,250  52.05%
Clinton 189,750  37.95%
Johnson 41,750  8.35%
Stein 7,250  1.45%
McMullin (W.I.) 460  0.09%
Others 540  0.11%

Nebraska
✅Trump 453,540  56.55%
Clinton 280,700  35.00%
Johnson 51,330  6.40%
Stein 12,020  1.50%
McMullin (W.I.) 755  0.09%
Others 3,655  0.46%

Nevada
✅Clinton 517,900  48.18%
Trump 473,250  44.02%
Johnson 70,950  6.60%
NOTA 8,050  0.75%
Other 4,850  0.45%

New Hampshire
✅Clinton 327,600  45.50%
Trump 317,520  44.10%
Johnson 48,600  6.75%
Stein 14,760  2.05%
Bernie (W.I.) 7,530  1.05%
McMullin (W.I.) 640  0.09%
Others 3,350  0.46%

New Jersey
✅Clinton 2,042,600  53.89%
Trump 1,580,640  41.71%
Johnson 98,540  2.60%
Stein 41,690  1.10%
Bernie (W.I.) 15,030  0.40%
McMullin (W.I.) 2,640  0.07%
Others 8,860  0.23%

New Mexico
✅Clinton 375,365  45.89%
Trump 321,160  39.26%
Johnson 110,025  13.45%
Stein 6,545  0.80%
McMullin 2,525  0.31%
Others 2,380  0.29%

New York
✅Clinton 4,320,510  58.54%
Trump  2,701,560  36.61%
Johnson 202,900  2.75%
Stein 136,550  1.85%
McMullin (W.I.) 4,050  0.05%
Others 14,430  0.20%

North Carolina
✅Trump 2,221,850  48.30%
Clinton 2,148,150  46.70%
Johnson 209,300  4.55%
Stein (W.I.) 7,360  0.15%
Others 13,340  0.30%

North Dakota
✅Trump 179,780  55.32%
Clinton 111,280  34.24%
Johnson 22,800  7.00%
Stein 7,630  2.35%
McMullin (W.I.) 400  0.12%
Others 3,110  0.98%

Ohio
✅Trump 2,638,150  48.01%
Clinton 2,523,900  45.94%
Johnson 266,510  4.85%
Stein 61,240  1.10%
McMullin (W.I.) 2,085  0.04%
Others 3,115  0.06%

Oklahoma
✅Trump 867,700  62.20%
Clinton 450,560  32.30%
Johnson 76,740  5.50%

Oregon
✅Clinton 894,350  49.55%
Trump 745,500  41.30%
Johnson 95,650  5.30%
Stein 44,050  2.45%
Bernie (W.I.) 18,040  1.00%
McMullin (W.I.) 1,350  0.07%
Others 6,060  0.33%

Pennsylvania
✅Clinton 2,786,700  48.21%
Trump 2,661,000  46.04%
Johnson 236,950  4.10%
Stein 54,340  0.95%
Bernie (W.I.) 14,880  0.26%
McMullin (W.I.) 2,615  0.04%
Others 22,515  0.40%

Rhode Island
✅Clinton 243,400  54.70%
Trump 169,190  38.00%
Johnson 19,350  4.35%
Stein 9,340  2.10%
Bernie (W.I.) 2,115  0.48%
McMullin 400  0.09%
Others 1,205  0.28%

South Carolina
✅Trump 1,057,500  52.35%
Clinton 868,500  43.00%
Johnson 64,600  3.20%
Stein 14,140  0.70%
McMullin 6,590  0.33%
Others 8,670  0.42%

South Dakota
✅Trump 206,230  55.30%
Clinton 136,100  36.50%
Johnson 27,270  7.30%
Others 3,400  0.90%

Tennessee
✅Trump 1,456,310  57.10%
Clinton 948,700  37.20%
Johnson 111,950  4.40%
Stein 26,780  1.05%
McMullin (W.I.) 900  0.04%
Others 5,360  0.21%

Texas
✅Trump 4,367,350  53.25%
Clinton 3,311,170  40.40%
Johnson 418,500  5.10%
Stein 94,980  1.15%
McMullin (W.I.) 5,015  0.06%
Others 2,985  0.04%

Utah
✅McMullin 373,470  35.40%
Trump 368,300  34.90%
Clinton 242,450  23.00%
Johnson 48,650  4.60%
Stein 12,630  1.20%
Others 9,500  0.90%

Vermont
✅Clinton 156,735  51.90%
Trump 95,725  31.70%
Johnson 19,635  6.50%
Bernie (W.I.) 16,000  5.30%
Stein 11,480  3.80%
McMullin 415  0.13%
Others 2,010  0.67%

Virginia
✅Clinton 1,877,500  47.47%
Trump 1,753,070  44.33%
Johnson 247,300  6.25%
Stein 51,410  1.30%
McMullin 15,680  0.40%
Others 10,040  0.25%

Washington
✅Clinton 1,597,900  50.57%
Trump 1,250,185  39.58%
Johnson 195,000  6.15%
Stein 75,840  2.40%
Bernie (W.I.) 21,800  0.69%
McMullin (W.I.) 2,850  0.09%
Others 16,425  0.52%

West Virginia
✅Trump 478,130  63.75%
Clinton 227,240  30.30%
Johnson 31,125  4.15%
Stein 9,370  1.25%
McMullin (W.I.) 300  0.04%
Others 3,835  0.51%

Wisconsin
✅Clinton 1,465,510  47.54%
Trump 1,389,040  45.06%
Johnson 165,650  5.35%
Stein 45,950  1.50%
McMullin (W.I.) 2,015  0.06%
Others 14,835  0.49%

Wyoming
✅Trump 161,420  63.80%
Clinton 57,930  22.90%
Johnson 22,520  8.90%
Stein 5,315  2.10%
Bernie (W.I.) 2,240  0.89%
McMullin (W.I.) 450  0.18%
Others 3,125  1.23%

Popular vote
✅Clinton 62,260,570  47.35%
Trump 59,572,490  45.30%
Johnson 6,575,760  5.00%
Stein 1,854,035  1.41%
McMullin 593,640  0.45%
Bernie 192,580  0.15%
Castle 157,210  0.12%
La Riva 61,675  0.05%
De La Fuente 42,825  0.03%
NOTA 8,050  0.01%
Others 180,215  0.14%

Total vote: 131,499,000

 What does everyone think? I made these predictions a week and a half ago. I'm sticking with these, but I think I may be off on a couple things. I think actual turnout will be around 133 million, I think that Gary Johnson will be around 4.5%, not 5%. I think that Trump is probably gonna take Utah. But, we will see.
I'm 90% sure Hillary Clinton will win. But again, we will see.
 
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peterthlee
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« Reply #17 on: January 07, 2017, 09:09:17 am »
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Well, you nailed NY virtually 59-37.
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Metallifreak10
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« Reply #18 on: January 11, 2017, 11:34:06 pm »
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Haha yeah, I guess I did. I was way off on some. But, I was close on the popular vote margin. Only 0.04% off, but that's about it lol.
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