Poll: How close will New Hampshire be won on Nov 8th ?
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Poll
Question: Please indicate how close you think New Hampshire will be won, come Nov 8th.
#1
Clinton win +5.0 or more		  
#2
Clinton win between +2.0 & +4.9		  
#3
Clinton win between +0.1 & +1.9		  
#4
Trump win between +0.1 & +1.9		  
#5
Trump win between +2.0 & +4.9		  
#6
Trump win +5.0 or more		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 87

Author Topic: Poll: How close will New Hampshire be won on Nov 8th ?  (Read 1959 times)
ProudModerate2
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« on: November 04, 2016, 09:54:22 AM »
« edited: November 05, 2016, 01:13:01 PM by ProudModerate2 »
Question : Please indicate how close you think New Hampshire will be won, come Nov 8th.

Recent polls show New Hampshire as more of a Toss-up state.
What do you think ?
Who will win NH and by how much ?

Vote and discuss.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2016, 09:54:58 AM »
Clinton wins by 2-4.9.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2016, 09:57:40 AM »
Trump wins by 94
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2016, 09:57:47 AM »
Probably around C+4.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2016, 09:58:38 AM »

94 votes?!  I hope it's not a deciding state, because they'd have to examine every ballot by hand.
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Baki
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2016, 09:59:21 AM »
C+5 or more.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2016, 10:02:04 AM »
Quote from: High Information Voter on November 04, 2016, 09:58:38 AM

94 votes?!  I hope it's not a deciding state, because they'd have to examine every ballot by hand.
No, 94 points. 95-1-4 Trump-Clinton-Johnson.
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2016, 10:02:26 AM »
Trump +1-2% trending that way from latest polls atleast.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2016, 10:04:30 AM »
option 1 (tnvolunteer)
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DavidB.
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2016, 10:12:17 AM »
I don't think that's actually the TNVolunteer option. He thinks NH is extremely inelastic and therefore safe Dem, but that the PV margin isn't necessarily going to be large.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2016, 10:13:36 AM »
I guess Trump squeaks by because the gender math is souring on her (as I predicted it would).
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2016, 10:15:01 AM »
Clinton by a couple of points. I'm thinking narrow enough for Ayotte to get through.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2016, 10:16:05 AM »
Clinton 4-5%.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2016, 10:26:44 AM »
Quote from: ‼realJohnEwards‼ on November 04, 2016, 10:02:04 AM
No, 94 points. 95-1-4 Trump-Clinton-Johnson.
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°Leprechaun
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2016, 10:32:36 AM »
Clinton win between +0.1 & +1.9
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2016, 10:41:42 AM »
Quote from: DavidB. on November 04, 2016, 10:12:17 AM
I don't think that's actually the TNVolunteer option. He thinks NH is extremely inelastic and therefore safe Dem, but that the PV margin isn't necessarily going to be large.
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 04, 2016, 10:38:33 AM
Clinton wins by 6 points, probably even more.
Grin
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DavidB.
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« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2016, 10:44:14 AM »
Quote from: вставай, страна огромная! on November 04, 2016, 10:41:42 AM
Quote from: DavidB. on November 04, 2016, 10:12:17 AM
I don't think that's actually the TNVolunteer option. He thinks NH is extremely inelastic and therefore safe Dem, but that the PV margin isn't necessarily going to be large.
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 04, 2016, 10:38:33 AM
Clinton wins by 6 points, probably even more.
Grin
I stand corrected Grin
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JA
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« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2016, 10:48:13 AM »
Clinton wins New Hampshire by 6%

51% - Clinton
45% - Trump
03% - Johnson
01% - Stein
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Pyro
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« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2016, 10:51:34 AM »
Clinton by 2-4 pts or less, if she bounces back slightly.
Trump by less than 1pt if he continues to gain ground.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2016, 11:24:32 AM »
Quote from: Jacobin American on November 04, 2016, 10:48:13 AM
Clinton wins New Hampshire by 6%

51% - Clinton
45% - Trump
03% - Johnson
01% - Stein
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JJC
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« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2016, 01:45:36 PM »
Quote from: ‼realJohnEwards‼ on November 04, 2016, 10:02:04 AM
Quote from: High Information Voter on November 04, 2016, 09:58:38 AM

94 votes?!  I hope it's not a deciding state, because they'd have to examine every ballot by hand.
No, 94 points. 95-1-4 Trump-Clinton-Johnson.

Sounds about right
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2016, 01:47:34 PM »
48-46 Clinton mirror of the 2000 election
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Mallow
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« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2016, 01:47:58 PM »
Clinton by 2.5
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2016, 01:48:32 PM »
Trump +1.5
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2016, 04:18:43 PM »
I voted "Clinton win between +2.0 & +4.9"
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