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Author Topic: MI - EPIC-MRA: Clinton+4  (Read 753 times)
Ozymandias
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« on: November 04, 2016, 11:43:08 am »
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http://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2016/11/04/free-press-poll-donald-trump-gains-hillary-clinton-race-michigan-tightens/93287658/

Clinton - 42
Trump - 38
Johnson - 5
Undecided - 13 (!)

11/1-11/3, 600 LV, 4% MOE
« Last Edit: November 04, 2016, 11:45:23 am by Ozymandias »Logged
HokeyDood
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2016, 11:45:06 am »
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Go home, Michigan polling.  You're drunk. 
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Arch
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2016, 11:45:48 am »
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If WI is likely-safe D, MI is safe D, end of discussion.
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RalstonSucks
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2016, 11:48:41 am »
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mi in play!
Looks like Hillary is scurrying back to MI to defend her territory.
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Arch
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2016, 11:49:27 am »
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mi in play!
Looks like Hillary is scurrying back to MI to defend her territory.

You're allowed to dream.
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President dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2016, 11:50:14 am »
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mi in play!
Looks like Hillary is scurrying back to MI to defend her territory.

You're allowed to dream.
What you think she's going to MI to smell the roses?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2016, 11:51:21 am »
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mi in play!
Looks like Hillary is scurrying back to MI to defend her territory.

You're allowed to dream.
What you think she's going to MI to smell the roses?

I doubt there are many rosaries in Michigan, but I'm sure it's possible.
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Arch
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2016, 11:52:32 am »
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mi in play!
Looks like Hillary is scurrying back to MI to defend her territory.

You're allowed to dream.
What you think she's going to MI to smell the roses?

She's rallying the AA vote. Besides, there are few roses left at this time of year. If you still have trouble understanding MI polls, I present to you exhibit A:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_romney_vs_obama-1811.html

"Final Results   --   --   --   54.2   44.7   Obama +9.5
RCP Average   10/26 - 11/4   --   --   49.5   45.5   Obama +4.0"

And Romney actually led in one of the samples for this average.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2016, 11:53:30 am »
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Not bad, I think she could win by more than 4.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2016, 11:54:03 am »
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mi in play!
Looks like Hillary is scurrying back to MI to defend her territory.

You're allowed to dream.
What you think she's going to MI to smell the roses?

No, but on the right track.  She's heading north to escape the reek of your dog sweat.

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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2016, 11:54:51 am »
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How do you not push 13% undecided!!!
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President dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2016, 11:59:31 am »
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mi in play!
Looks like Hillary is scurrying back to MI to defend her territory.

You're allowed to dream.
What you think she's going to MI to smell the roses?

No, but on the right track.  She's heading north to escape the reek of your dog sweat.


hmm, they do have nice flowers in MI
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elcorazon
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2016, 12:00:41 pm »
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If WI is likely-safe D, MI is safe D, end of discussion.
I worry about both
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Caripace Clavicle Moundshroud
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2016, 12:02:02 pm »
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Absolute garbage. Who is continuing to pay for these MI polls?
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Arch
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2016, 12:02:11 pm »
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If WI is likely-safe D, MI is safe D, end of discussion.
I worry about both

Your worries are misplaced. Trump has officially never led in a WI poll, EVER.
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Nhoj
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2016, 12:04:51 pm »
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mi in play!
Looks like Hillary is scurrying back to MI to defend her territory.
Perhaps. but a poll in which trump is at 38 is not any better for him.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2016, 12:07:04 pm »
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People were excited for Obama. The media and the public, inexplicably, really are equivocating Trump and Clinton. Turnout will not be the same. The election is not over folks. MI is ground zero. WI is not in the bag.
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"The most important thing to remember is, no matter what anybody tells you, it is never, ever unpatriotic or un-American to question anything in a democracy"
Caripace Clavicle Moundshroud
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2016, 12:09:30 pm »
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MI isn't "ground zero". Trump hasn't hit 45% in a poll since January, and Hillary has been at 47% and above in 5 recent polls.
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Arch
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« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2016, 12:09:42 pm »
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People were excited for Obama. The media and the public, inexplicably, really are equivocating Trump and Clinton. Turnout will not be the same. The election is not over folks. MI is ground zero. WI is not in the bag.

I suggest you look at the early vote turnout and breakdown numbers before saying such a thing. You are speaking purely out of feelings, which I understand, but it doesn't necessarily follow reality.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2016, 06:09:00 pm »

New Poll: Michigan President by EPIC/MRA on 2016-11-03

Summary: D: 42%, R: 38%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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