Can Trump win Nevada or Wisconsin?
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  Can Trump win Nevada or Wisconsin?
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Author Topic: Can Trump win Nevada or Wisconsin?  (Read 2323 times)
Dakota Devil
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« Reply #25 on: November 05, 2016, 02:36:19 AM »

Why does no one think Trump can win NV? He's up 2 points in the RCP NV average

Check out the early vote thread. Over 70% of NV's total votes happen through advanced voting, and Clark is seeing record Hispanic turnout with a built-in D lead of over 60,000 votes (who knows how much more after today is finished). The GOP also lost R-leaning Washoe county today by 1,000 votes. The state is pretty much gone.

This is nice to hear.  A slight sigh of relief actually.  I hope this is a good sign of how Nevada will vote this year.  I live in Washoe County and I'm surprised and a little frightened by the amount of very vocal Trump supporters here.  Thankfully, we have Clark County.
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #26 on: November 05, 2016, 06:59:19 AM »

Trump will not win either state.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #27 on: November 05, 2016, 09:11:42 AM »


This.

States like Nevada with rapidly changing electorates are always possible for someone like Trump.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #28 on: November 05, 2016, 09:52:58 AM »

I really doubt Trump can win Nevada if you look at those early voting numbers
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #29 on: November 05, 2016, 10:12:55 AM »

Morris thinks he's tied in NV and has an outside shot in WI. So, no and hell no.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #30 on: November 05, 2016, 10:16:20 AM »

I really doubt Trump can win Nevada if you look at those early voting numbers

A) We don't know how the Indys voted this time (they could be way more Trump this time)

B) We don't know how many registered Dems voted for Trump (= maybe more than in 2012 for Romney)

C) There's still about 500.000 election day voters outstanding
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #31 on: November 05, 2016, 10:19:51 AM »

Clinton probably wins Nevada but I love this worship of Ralston as if he wasn't wrong on most competitive elections in 2014
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #32 on: November 05, 2016, 10:53:24 AM »

i have read several times, that ralston predicted big problems for dems in 2014 early.

and if trump's stances doesn't hurt him in NV they hurt him nowhere.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #33 on: November 05, 2016, 10:55:49 AM »

i have read several times, that ralston predicted big problems for dems in 2014 early.

and if trump's stances doesn't hurt him in NV they hurt him nowhere.
He predicted democrats would hold most down ballot states executive positions, the state house and nv4. Yet he has powers for predicting nevada races that none of us have
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #34 on: November 05, 2016, 10:58:46 AM »

i have read several times, that ralston predicted big problems for dems in 2014 early.

and if trump's stances doesn't hurt him in NV they hurt him nowhere.
He predicted democrats would hold most down ballot states executive positions, the state house and nv4. Yet he has powers for predicting nevada races that none of us have

thanks for that information.

and i guess, as the most popular/powerful journalist of the state, he has got more information than most of us do and kind of a reputation.

otherwise:

if a state like NV isn't punishing trump, he is going to win by a landslide, IMHO. (+5 or more)
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