Poll: How close will Florida be on Nov 8th ?

[Ljube]

Trump by 0.5%

[ProudModerate2]

My vote was "Clinton win between +0.1 & +1.9   "

[Cashew]

I'm insane and say Clinton will win 53-44-3.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Clinton 50%
Trump 48%
Other 2%

[Spark]

Trump by 0.5%

[zorkpolitics]

Given that early voting has a smaller Democratic majority than 2012, I think trump wins by less than 1%.
I'm amazed some people think Clinton will win by 1-5 points more than Obama.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Trump 49.6%
Clinton 49.4%

[QuickHead555]

Trump by 0.2%. As everything is coming out against Clinton, it will hurt her already low enthusiasm levels, and also drive up turn-out for Trump. I think Trump will win it just ever so slightly.

[Fuzzy Says: "Abolish NPR!"]

Trump will win FL with less than 1%.

Romney had a small lead in FL in 2012, but Obama won by 0.5%.  I knew this would happen when I saw YUGE lines of minority voters waiting to vote after polls closed in FL, but the polls were staying open because those folks were already there.  THAT was enthusiasm, and THAT put Obama over the top, because Rick Scott really did pull out all the stops to depress the minority vote.  (Yes, Rick Scott is a scumbag.)

That won't happen here.  Trump has real enthusiasm amongst Florida's retirees, including newer retirees in The Villages (a 100,000-plus statistical area) that is MEGA-Republican.  Florida's population keeps changing, and while the Hispanic (and, especially, the non-Cuban Hispanic) population is increasing, retirees are more monied and more conservative.  I don't see Florida's blacks being as enthusiastic for Clinton as for Obama (although they'll vote for her in huge numbers).  

While most of Florida's conservative Southern Democrats became Presidential Republicans long ago, there are a group of white Democrats who are not native Southerners who may have voted Democratic for President in recent elections who are the sort of working folks who have warmed to Trump's message.  In a game of inches, these folks are critical to Trump.  Clinton could well win Florida; it's the mustest of must-wins.  

[Ronnie]

Hillary will win by about as much as Obama beat McCain.