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| | |-+  OH-Columbus Dispatch: Portman +21
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Author Topic: OH-Columbus Dispatch: Portman +21  (Read 607 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: November 06, 2016, 07:27:11 am »
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58/37.
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7.35, 3.65

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DavidB.
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 07:49:54 am »
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Seems a bit much, but who knows.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2016, 08:00:54 am »
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Damn, I still don't know what happened with this race. Portman is getting 20% of Democrats and 26% of Obama 2012 voters. He'll win, but I don't think the margin will be that extreme. I think it'll end up in the mid-teens.
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IndyRep
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2016, 10:28:55 am »
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Damn, Portman is a machine. Compare his campaign to.. say.. Roy Blunt's, lol.
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

Castro
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2016, 11:29:29 am »
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If there's one initially competitive Republican seat I'm least concerned about not winning, it's this one. Portman is a decent guy, and I've met him a few times in person and he's super nice and pretty knowledgeable.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2016, 12:32:37 pm »
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Dispatch poll methodology is by mail, not by phone. They claim this makes it more accurate.
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IndyRep
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2016, 07:51:02 pm »
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I know the sample size is small, but Portman is winning Hispanics 58-42 while Trump loses them 25-75. He is also getting 17% of the Black vote compared to Trump's 7%.
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2016, 08:04:06 pm »
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Dispatch poll methodology is by mail, not by phone. They claim this makes it more accurate.
It worked in 2014.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #8 on: November 23, 2016, 09:33:01 am »
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Ha, this poll turned out to be entirely right: Portman won 58/37.

You have to wonder how they got this right but had Clinton +1 in the presidential race. Republican "ticket splitters" ending up being shy Trumpists and voting straight-ticket R anyway?
« Last Edit: November 23, 2016, 09:37:43 am by Soulless Golem »Logged
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