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| |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | |-+  MI: FOX 2 / Mitchell Research: Clinton +5
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Author Topic: MI: FOX 2 / Mitchell Research: Clinton +5  (Read 1707 times)
heatcharger 🌹‏
heatcharger
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« on: November 06, 2016, 02:21:34 pm »
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http://www.fox2detroit.com/news/local-news/215858932-story

Clinton 50%
Trump 45%

Clinton 46%
Trump 41%
Johnson 7%
Stein 3%

Survey was conducted on Nov. 3. 1007 LV.
« Last Edit: November 06, 2016, 02:23:18 pm by heatcharger »Logged

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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 02:22:41 pm »
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50-45 in the 2 way. No change from last two.
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2016, 02:22:46 pm »
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Very likely Dem
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RJEvans
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2016, 02:22:48 pm »
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Tossup yall!
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Horus
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2016, 02:23:02 pm »
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Good to see Clinton at 50% in the two way.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2016, 02:23:13 pm »
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WOW! More evidence of a nationwide Clinton surge in the final days!
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2016, 02:25:20 pm »
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Yeah...but Donald can spend time and money there.
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dspNY
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« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2016, 02:27:47 pm »
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WOW! More evidence of a nationwide Clinton surge in the final days!

I wouldn't call it s surge, but a welcome and necessary consolidation
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2016, 02:28:24 pm »
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WOW! More evidence of a nationwide Clinton surge in the final days!

I wouldn't call it s surge, but a welcome and necessary consolidation
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heatcharger 🌹‏
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« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2016, 02:30:21 pm »
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Their last poll in 2012? Obama +5. He ended up winning by 9.5%.
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Donnie
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« Reply #10 on: November 06, 2016, 02:35:24 pm »
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Official Primary results   March 8, 2016
49.7% Bernie Sanders
48.3% Hillary Clinton
2.1%   Others / Uncommitted

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell
Margin of error: 4.5%

Sample size: 482
March 7, 2016   
61%   Hillary Clinton
34% Bernie Sanders
5%   Others / Uncommitted

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell
Margin of error: 4.5%

Sample size: 475
March 6, 2016   
66%    Hillary Clinton
29% Bernie Sanders
5%   Others / Undecided  

P.S MI will be the shocker of the night on Tuesday.
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dspNY
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« Reply #11 on: November 06, 2016, 02:35:56 pm »
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Official Primary results   March 8, 2016
49.7% Bernie Sanders
48.3% Hillary Clinton
2.1%   Others / Uncommitted

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell
Margin of error: 4.5%

Sample size: 482
March 7, 2016   
61%   Hillary Clinton
34% Bernie Sanders
5%   Others / Uncommitted

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell
Margin of error: 4.5%

Sample size: 475
March 6, 2016   
66%    Hillary Clinton
29% Bernie Sanders
5%   Others / Undecided  

P.S MI will be the shocker of the night on Tuesday.

Primaries and general elections are different!!! How many times do we have to tell you this
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2016, 02:37:05 pm »
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Steve Mitchell ‏@stevemitchell40  2m2 minutes ago
@ForecasterEnten I've been off by only 2.75% in all final polls in MI 2008-2014 in Gen Elections if you go through @RealClearNews Poll data
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #13 on: November 06, 2016, 02:37:32 pm »
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Official Primary results   March 8, 2016
49.7% Bernie Sanders
48.3% Hillary Clinton
2.1%   Others / Uncommitted

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell
Margin of error: 4.5%

Sample size: 482
March 7, 2016   
61%   Hillary Clinton
34% Bernie Sanders
5%   Others / Uncommitted

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell
Margin of error: 4.5%

Sample size: 475
March 6, 2016   
66%    Hillary Clinton
29% Bernie Sanders
5%   Others / Undecided  

P.S MI will be the shocker of the night on Tuesday.

Primaries and general elections are different!!! How many times do we have to tell you this



We have to keep things as horse race in our minds. Everybody thought Kerry could win. Maybe not so much McCain but definitely Romney...
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Holmes
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« Reply #14 on: November 06, 2016, 02:42:30 pm »
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Steve Mitchell ‏@stevemitchell40  2m2 minutes ago
@ForecasterEnten I've been off by only 2.75% in all final polls in MI 2008-2014 in Gen Elections if you go through @RealClearNews Poll data

His final 2012 poll (O+5) was off by 4.5%...
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #15 on: November 06, 2016, 02:43:19 pm »
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Steve Mitchell ‏@stevemitchell40  2m2 minutes ago
@ForecasterEnten I've been off by only 2.75% in all final polls in MI 2008-2014 in Gen Elections if you go through @RealClearNews Poll data

His final 2012 poll (O+5) was off by 4.5%...

"only" 2.75%...
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IceSpear
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« Reply #16 on: November 06, 2016, 02:44:29 pm »
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Official Primary results   March 8, 2016
49.7% Bernie Sanders
48.3% Hillary Clinton
2.1%   Others / Uncommitted

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell
Margin of error: 4.5%

Sample size: 482
March 7, 2016   
61%   Hillary Clinton
34% Bernie Sanders
5%   Others / Uncommitted

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell
Margin of error: 4.5%

Sample size: 475
March 6, 2016   
66%    Hillary Clinton
29% Bernie Sanders
5%   Others / Undecided  

P.S MI will be the shocker of the night on Tuesday.

And Iowa is safe D. Smiley

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_caucus-3194.html
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Hammy
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« Reply #17 on: November 06, 2016, 02:49:43 pm »
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Official Primary results   March 8, 2016
49.7% Bernie Sanders
48.3% Hillary Clinton
2.1%   Others / Uncommitted

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell
Margin of error: 4.5%

Sample size: 482
March 7, 2016   
61%   Hillary Clinton
34% Bernie Sanders
5%   Others / Uncommitted

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell
Margin of error: 4.5%

Sample size: 475
March 6, 2016   
66%    Hillary Clinton
29% Bernie Sanders
5%   Others / Undecided  

P.S MI will be the shocker of the night on Tuesday.

Voting history is taken into account for polling. There was no real primary in 2008 (Obama withdrew his name in protest of the delegates being revoked) and Obama was unopposed in the state in 2012--there was no precedent for them to really work with (and MI's primary polls have been off for awhile, as bad as Nevada's GE ones.)
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Castro
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« Reply #18 on: November 06, 2016, 02:53:24 pm »
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Steve Mitchell ‏@stevemitchell40  2m2 minutes ago
@ForecasterEnten I've been off by only 2.75% in all final polls in MI 2008-2014 in Gen Elections if you go through @RealClearNews Poll data

His final 2012 poll (O+5) was off by 4.5%...

"only" 2.75%...

I guess he meant 2.75% in both directions.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #19 on: November 06, 2016, 02:54:33 pm »
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It is funny that it looks like Trump is going to lose by less in Michigan than Romney did considering it was one of his many "home states".

Trump is polling worse than Romney in Michigan.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: November 06, 2016, 02:57:20 pm »
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It is funny that it looks like Trump might lose by less than Romney did in Michigan considering it was one of Mitt's many "home states".
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #21 on: November 06, 2016, 02:59:24 pm »
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It is funny that it looks like Trump is going to lose by less in Michigan than Romney did considering it was one of his many "home states".

Trump is polling worse than Romney in Michigan.

Well, you never know for sure what's going on when it comes to Michigan polling but it at least seems like a somewhat realistic possibilty.
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« Reply #22 on: November 06, 2016, 03:00:33 pm »
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I mean, Clinton and Obama are going here, their internals clearly show a closer race.
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Hammy
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« Reply #23 on: November 06, 2016, 03:14:16 pm »
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I mean, Clinton and Obama are going here, their internals clearly show a closer race.

Could be for turnout too, especially if they're worried about black turnout.
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RalstonSucks
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« Reply #24 on: November 06, 2016, 03:28:20 pm »
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I think MI is a possibility this year as more Republicans showed up for the MI primary than democrats.
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