36 hours out - do you foresee any surprises?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 08:30:32 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  36 hours out - do you foresee any surprises? 		« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: 36 hours out - do you foresee any surprises?  (Read 1792 times)
Progressive
jro660
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,581


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 06, 2016, 07:13:05 PM »
What surprise outcomes do you think we're going to witness as results pour in? I think Arizona, Georgia, and Ohio are going to be surprisingly close.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 07:13:39 PM »
Florida will be more of a blow-out then people expect - Clinton by possibly 4 or 5.
Logged
Progressive
jro660
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,581


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2016, 07:14:08 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on November 06, 2016, 07:13:39 PM
Florida will be more of a blow-out then people expect - Clinton by possibly 4 or 5.

I think so too. I think Virginia will be high single digits, and NC half of what VA is.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2016, 07:16:48 PM »
North Carolina goes to Trump, Arizona goes to Clinton.
Logged
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,639
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2016, 07:17:48 PM »
Stein and Johnson hold Clinton to around 55% in VT
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2016, 07:22:45 PM »
This is what I posted in AAD

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Confused Democrat
reidmill
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,055
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2016, 07:32:48 PM »
Clinton takes AZ, OH, and IA.
Logged
Mallow
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 737
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2016, 07:53:39 PM »
Clinton takes AZ, but Trump wins ME-02 and IA (OH too close to tell).
Logged
Ebowed
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,597


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: 2.09

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2016, 08:16:20 PM »
Clinton is going to exceed expectations.
Logged
Cashew
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,566
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2016, 08:20:13 PM »
Clinton wins Arizona.
Logged
TC 25
Rookie
**
Posts: 236
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 06, 2016, 08:20:19 PM »
Pennsylvania is immediately deemed "too close to call."   Michigan as well.  One will be called for Trump before midnight.
Logged
Southern Delegate matthew27
matthew27
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,668
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 06, 2016, 08:22:59 PM »
Trump wins PA and comes within 1% in Colorado.
Clinton wins Florida by 5%.
Logged
SATW
SunriseAroundTheWorld
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,463
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2016, 08:23:17 PM »
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,193
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 06, 2016, 08:30:50 PM »

Only McCrory would be a surprise.


I'd say trump winning by 15 pts, Blunt winning by the same points Perdue beat Michelle Nunn, and Greitens winning would be the surprise.
Logged
Citizen (The) Doctor
ArchangelZero
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,392
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 06, 2016, 08:39:48 PM »
Tomorrow someone is going to leak something about Trump November-surpise-worthy.
Logged
Southern Delegate matthew27
matthew27
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,668
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 06, 2016, 08:44:54 PM »
Quote from: Citizen (The) Doctor on November 06, 2016, 08:39:48 PM
Tomorrow someone is going to leak something about Trump November-surpise-worthy.

That would have to be either proof of treason with russia or a sex tape of him and his daughter to hurt him.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 06, 2016, 08:55:52 PM »
Some examples of events that could occur tomorrow:

Terror attack on US soil

Last-minute oppo/wiki dump

Putin does something outrageous

News from Syran/ISIS war (Assad killed, Assad takes Aleppo, ISIS takes Aleppo, Mosul taken from ISIS, etc)

Hillary faints at rally

Trump totally unravels at rally, implies supporters should bring guns to polling places

Someone makes an attempt on one of the candidates

Ideas?
Logged
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 06, 2016, 08:56:27 PM »
Trump will do a lot better than Atlas expects ( similar to what 538 shows) and will make the race a close one, but Clinton will pull it out in the end.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 06, 2016, 08:57:36 PM »
Also, a big hello to our nation's intelligence community, who are probably reading this thread due to triggered key words.
Logged
Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,591
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 06, 2016, 08:57:52 PM »
Wisconsin is very close.  Hillary narrowly pulls it out and Johnson wins.  BOOM!!
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 06, 2016, 08:58:28 PM »
Quote from: Green Line on November 06, 2016, 08:57:52 PM
Wisconsin is very close.  Hillary narrowly pulls it out and Johnson wins.  BOOM!!

MONEY SHOT!
Logged
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 06, 2016, 08:59:35 PM »
terror attack on a small scale is quite possible - we have seen how easily a single person can kill many victims if she does it the right way (like entering a buzzing night club)
Logged
PeteB
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,874
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 06, 2016, 09:14:14 PM »
This will be no surprise to me but may be to some on Atlas:

1. Clinton wins with largest landslide since 1968.
2. Trump fails to clear 40% of national PV
3. Every single "swing state" except IA (and perhaps OH) break for Clinton
4. Trump fails to clear 35% PV in NYC (where they know him best)

And for good measure:

5. Joe Arpaio's reign as Maricopa Co Sheriff is over Smiley!
Logged
Ebowed
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,597


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: 2.09

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 06, 2016, 09:17:00 PM »
Quote from: High Information Voter on November 06, 2016, 08:57:36 PM
Also, a big hello to our nation's intelligence community, who are probably reading this thread due to triggered key words.

You'd have to get some coverage of this thread on Breitbart before the FBI would look at it.
Logged
hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,414
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 06, 2016, 09:18:24 PM »
I don't think McCrory is gonna make it.  I think Cooper will be the next Governor of NC.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.043 seconds with 12 queries.