Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 27, 2017, 02:21:07 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | |-+  NC-Upshot/Siena: Burr +1
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: NC-Upshot/Siena: Burr +1  (Read 482 times)
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2745


Political Matrix
E: -1.54, S: -3.74

View Profile
« on: November 07, 2016, 08:05:24 am »
Ignore

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/11/08/upshot/trump-and-clinton-tied-in-final-upshot-poll-of-north-carolina.html?referer=https://t.co/b6K2oygAcz

Burr 46%
Ross 45%
Logged

2017 Endorsements:
UK General Election: Liberal Democrats
GA-06: Jon Ossoff
VA-Gov: Ralph Northam
VA-Lt. Gov: Justin Fairfax
VA-AG: Mark Herring
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11781
France


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 08:11:32 am »
Ignore

I really believe she's going to pull it out, on the three races MO/NC/IN I think she's the most likely.
Logged

Quote
Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US state senates
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses
Figueira
84285
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8547


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 08:33:20 am »
Ignore

Only underperforming Clinton by 1 point? Yeah, Ross can pull this off if there's a slight polling error in her direction.
Logged

Note: I am not actually British.

DavidB.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7056
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -0.84, S: 4.26

View Profile
« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 09:11:00 am »
Ignore

Only underperforming Clinton by 1 point? Yeah, Ross can pull this off if there's a slight polling error in her direction.
If it's 44/44 in the presidential race and 46/45 for Burr in the senate race it technically means she is already overperforming Hillary; Burr is just overperforming Trump by more. But yes, Hillary will eventually win NC and that gives Ross the edge.
Logged

Blair
Blair2015
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5438
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2016, 09:34:23 am »
Ignore

I read that dems are stating to fear for this race- I wonder whether someone like Foxx or Kagan would have done better or whether Ross benefits from literally being a generic D
Logged

DavidB.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7056
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -0.84, S: 4.26

View Profile
« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2016, 09:40:00 am »
Ignore

I read that dems are stating to fear for this race- I wonder whether someone like Foxx or Kagan would have done better or whether Ross benefits from literally being a generic D
Ross is not "literally a generic D." She clearly has quite a left-wing profile. She's no McGinty, CCM or Murphy, and the GOP have consistently referred to her as "radical Ross" in attack ads. She could be the next Elizabeth Warren and I doubt a more moderate candidate would have done better than she does, so I think that from a progressive, Democratic perspective it was the right choice to have her as candidate. I still think she will win ftr.
Logged

Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2804
United States


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2016, 10:20:51 am »
Ignore

I read that dems are stating to fear for this race- I wonder whether someone like Foxx or Kagan would have done better or whether Ross benefits from literally being a generic D
Kagan was a Generic D when she first ran in 2008, but would be a strong candidate as she has built a high profile. Foxx would have been a strong recruit, but he would not run against Burr as he was instrumental in getting him appointed Secretary of Transportation.
Logged

Hillary could lose the popular vote by several points and still win the electoral college.

xīngkěruž
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10622
Taiwan


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile
« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2016, 12:32:13 pm »
Ignore

This race is the toughest one for me to predict. I'm guessing that if Clinton wins NC by <1% or loses it, Burr wins. If she wins by 1-3%, it could go either way. If she wins by more than 3%, Ross wins. Pure Toss-Up.
Logged

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines