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February 20, 2017, 03:11:39 pm
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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Congressional Elections
| | |-+  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | |-+  Emerson - NH/NV/MO/OH: Ayotte +3, CCM +1, Kander +1, Portman +21
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Author Topic: Emerson - NH/NV/MO/OH: Ayotte +3, CCM +1, Kander +1, Portman +21  (Read 469 times)
DavidB.
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E: -0.48, S: 4.78

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« on: November 07, 2016, 08:20:00 am »
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NH:
Ayotte 49
Hassan 46

1000 LV

NV:
CCM 47
Heck 46

600 LV

MO:
Kander 46
Blunt 45

750 LV

OH:
Portman 49
Strickland 28

900 LV

http://www.theecps.com/
« Last Edit: November 07, 2016, 08:34:59 am by DavidB. »Logged
President François de la Rocque
windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 08:25:55 am »
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I don't buy these results, too R friendly except for MO
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Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US state senates
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DavidB.
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 08:27:19 am »
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OH is junk, the other three could very well be true but could also very well be off, and at this point I just don't know anymore, though I have a feeling this could definitely be true. I guess we'll see.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 09:38:50 am »
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Roy Blunt is a waste.
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

President François de la Rocque
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2016, 09:39:47 am »
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I don't buy these results, too R friendly except for MO
EDIT: MO being too dem friendly.
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Flo   it seems like everytime i talk to you i have some sort of illness
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US state senates
Windjammer Partisan Voting Index for US State Houses
Heisenberg
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2016, 10:17:05 am »
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I'd happily trade Ayotte for either Blunt or Heck.
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I've been trying to tell you guys. Clinton's win is going to be massive. Imagine Obama's numbers with minorities, four more years of minority population growth, and Clinton out-performing him by >5% with white voters. No state will be safe.

DavidB.
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2016, 10:24:13 am »
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Changed my prediction. Ayotte has got this. Sorry, TNVol Smiley

I'd happily trade Ayotte for Blunt.
What are you smoking?
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xīngkěruì
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2016, 12:30:56 pm »
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If Emerson can't find Heck and Blunt ahead, they're probably done for.
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AMA IL TUO PRESIDENTE!
Antonio V
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2016, 12:55:08 pm »
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Doesn't Emerson have a huge R house effect? If so, those MO numbers are excellent. NH is still awfully frustrating.
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Our numbers are dwindling. Our words are confused.
Some of them have been twisted by the enemy
until they can no longer be recognized.

Now what is wrong, or false, in what we have said?
Just some parts, or everything?
On whom can we still rely? Are we survivors, cast
away by the current? Will we be left behind,
no longer understanding anyone and being understood by no one?
Must we rely on luck?

This is what you ask. Expect
no answer but your own.


Bertolt Brecht
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2016, 12:56:36 pm »
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Doesn't Emerson have a huge R house effect? If so, those MO numbers are excellent. NH is still awfully frustrating.

Their MO poll only had Trump up 7, which I think is too low. There will be tons of Blunt/Kander voters anyway, though.
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

Fremont Assemblyman RFayette
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2016, 03:19:32 pm »
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Changed my prediction. Ayotte has got this. Sorry, TNVol Smiley

I'd happily trade Ayotte for Blunt.
What are you smoking?


I think Heisenberg meant that he would happily have Ayotte in the Senate rather than Blunt, but mixed up the phrasing a bit.
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RIP Jane Roe.

Let's honor her legacy and wipe out abortion, once and for all.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fgdyuSXlaTs&t=2s
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