Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 20, 2017, 02:22:01 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | |-+  NM - Clinton +2
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: NM - Clinton +2  (Read 1547 times)
jaichind
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8251
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

View Profile
« on: November 07, 2016, 09:18:34 am »
Ignore

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Zia_Poll_NM_November.pdf

Clinton   46  (+1)
Trump    44  (+4)
Johnson  6   (-3)
Stein      1

Johnson dropping quickly to the benefit of Trump
Logged

Chinese from Taiwan Province.  Now in New York City suburb of Scarsdale.  Ex-GOP now Libertarian.
The important thing is not how they vote but how we count.             - Stalin
Buzz
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 69


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 09:20:11 am »
Ignore

Hmmmmmm
Logged
dspNY
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2594
United States


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 09:20:40 am »
Ignore

LOL no
Logged
BlueSwan
blueswan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1723
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

View Profile WWW
« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 09:20:48 am »
Ignore

Very weird.
Logged

Pant-wetting liberal and life-long admirerer of Hillary Clinton.
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42230
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2016, 09:21:55 am »
Ignore

Will New Mexico even be Johnson's best state at this point?
Logged

Update lives again on Atlas After Dark. PM me for info.
heatcharger 🌹‏
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3301
Greenland


Political Matrix
E: -1.54, S: -2.74

View Profile
« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2016, 09:30:01 am »
Ignore

I always thought NM had potential to go WV on the Democrats down the road, but not against someone like Trump.  If anything, this just confirms to me that polls are missing a ton of Hispanics.

LOL what?
Logged

Power to the Pe p e!
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17103
United States


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2016, 09:30:32 am »
Ignore

Thank God this is already in the 538 db.
Logged

HokeyDood
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10571
United States


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2016, 09:30:51 am »
Ignore

Their last "poll" undersampled Latinos by 15 pts and only 11 of the 1000+ respondents chose to do the poll in Spanish.

lolno!
Logged

Help Intervention beloved poster Little Big Trumpista so he stops boofing drugs.  Click here!  http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=profile;u=14196 
This is life or death. 



Registering for Atlas After Dark is a can of corn!
http://atlasafterdark.freeforums.net/
Power to the Pe p e!
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17103
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2016, 09:31:18 am »
Ignore

I always thought NM had potential to go WV on the Democrats down the road, but not against someone like Trump.  If anything, this just confirms to me that polls are missing a ton of Hispanics.

LOL what?

Something about Mexican Catholics and Oilfield workers yada yada yada..
Logged

ReapSow
Rafe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 621
United States


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2016, 09:31:42 am »
Ignore

Zip is weird. Trump has increasingly gained one point each day in their daily polls.
Logged

Openly gay member of the United States Air Force.
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4352
United States


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2016, 09:39:26 am »
Ignore

LOL, obviously junk. But Iím surprised that Johnsonís number is that weak in his native state of NM. Maybe thereís a small chance Hillary breaks 50% here as well.
Logged

United Arab Emirates Immigrant, naturalized US citizen, resident of the wonderful state of California, devoted liberal Democrat. Any questions?

Endorsements:
- President: Kamala Harris
- CA Governor: Gavin Newsom

- NJ Governor: Phil Murphy
- VA Governor: Ralph Northam
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40677
Dominica


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2016, 09:41:59 am »
Ignore

Did they poll more than 12 Hispanics this time?
Logged

fuck nazis
Absolution9
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 97


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2016, 09:44:35 am »
Ignore

Their last "poll" undersampled Latinos by 15 pts and only 11 of the 1000+ respondents chose to do the poll in Spanish.

lolno!

You do realize that NM has very few recent Spanish speaking immigrants.  Only 9.9% of the pop is foreign born, that compares to 19.1% in NV.
Logged
Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14806
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P
View Profile
« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2016, 10:27:59 am »
Ignore

Did they poll more than 12 Hispanics this time?
Logged

Democrats, when you consider supporting single payer, consider who you are disobeying if you choose to support it:


#GoodDemsNeverDisobeyPelosi

https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/FNNQ3QN

http://www.tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge
----

'17 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr (9/13: NJ - Strong Lean D --> Safe D; 2018 under construction)
'18 House Rating: Strong Lean R
King
intermoderate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29572
United States


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2016, 10:29:30 am »
Ignore

Some #investigativejournalism: They claim to be a nonpartisan outfit recently renamed from the highly respected Dialing Services (?). Obviously never heard of Dialing Services and the domain is registered to DOMAINSBYPROXY hidden. Their CEO is just a photo of a guy named "Chris" with no surname.

But through some innovative Facebook stalking of their PR contact, young Gary supporter Brandon Gregoire (SAD!), I was able to unearth the surname of Chris as Chris Kolker. Then, through a Google of Chris Kolker I was able to find out his real background from a 2008 CNET article:

https://www.cnet.com/news/election-day-brings-invasion-of-robocalls/

Quote
Many voter-calling firms are politically aligned, like GOPcalls.com, which has served clients like the 2000 and 2004 Bush campaigns and Senator Pete Domenici (R-N.M.). Founder and CEO Chris Kolker started the business just over 20 years ago, selling standalone automated dialers to churches looking for ways to notify parishioners about upcoming events. Kolker started developing his own software and working with political clients about 16 years ago.
GOPCALLS.COM is now ZIA POLL

Zia Poll (R)--JUNK POLL!
Logged

Cashew
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1510
United States


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2016, 10:54:09 am »
Ignore

LOL no
Logged
xīngkěruž
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11123
Taiwan


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile
« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2016, 12:23:46 pm »
Ignore

Dang, maybe NM polling is worse than NV polling.
Logged

Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21207


Political Matrix
E: -0.84, S: -3.04

P

View Profile
« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2016, 12:31:45 pm »
Ignore

The polling out of NV and NM make no sense to me whatsoever. Both states I felt would be strong HRC states, but they'd been consistently closer than expected.
Logged
Solitude Without a Window
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 46198
United States


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2016, 07:57:06 pm »
Ignore

This pollster's full name is probably Zia-ul-Hack.

sorry
Logged

Our numbers are dwindling. Our words are confused.
Some of them have been twisted by the enemy
until they can no longer be recognized.

Now what is wrong, or false, in what we have said?
Just some parts, or everything?
On whom can we still rely? Are we survivors, cast
away by the current? Will we be left behind,
no longer understanding anyone and being understood by no one?
Must we rely on luck?

This is what you ask. Expect
no answer but your own.


Bertolt Brecht
bronz4141
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6078
United States


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2016, 08:20:16 pm »
Ignore

Some Hispanics in NM is voting for Trump.
Logged
ReapSow
Rafe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 621
United States


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: November 07, 2016, 08:25:12 pm »
Ignore

Some #investigativejournalism: They claim to be a nonpartisan outfit recently renamed from the highly respected Dialing Services (?). Obviously never heard of Dialing Services and the domain is registered to DOMAINSBYPROXY hidden. Their CEO is just a photo of a guy named "Chris" with no surname.

But through some innovative Facebook stalking of their PR contact, young Gary supporter Brandon Gregoire (SAD!), I was able to unearth the surname of Chris as Chris Kolker. Then, through a Google of Chris Kolker I was able to find out his real background from a 2008 CNET article:

https://www.cnet.com/news/election-day-brings-invasion-of-robocalls/

Quote
Many voter-calling firms are politically aligned, like GOPcalls.com, which has served clients like the 2000 and 2004 Bush campaigns and Senator Pete Domenici (R-N.M.). Founder and CEO Chris Kolker started the business just over 20 years ago, selling standalone automated dialers to churches looking for ways to notify parishioners about upcoming events. Kolker started developing his own software and working with political clients about 16 years ago.
GOPCALLS.COM is now ZIA POLL

Zia Poll (R)--JUNK POLL!

Nice. Somebody give this man a Pulitzer!
Logged

Openly gay member of the United States Air Force.
Green Line
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3882
United States


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: November 07, 2016, 08:29:02 pm »
Ignore

If you add +7 to Trumps number, you get Lean Trump!
Logged

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines