Clinton supporters, what state are you most worried about?
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  Clinton supporters, what state are you most worried about?
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Poll
Question: If you want Clinton to win, what state makes you the most nervous?
#1
Pennsylvania
 
#2
Michigan
 
#3
Colorado
 
#4
Wisconsin
 
#5
Virginia
 
#6
Nevada and/or New Hampshire
 
#7
Minnesota
 
#8
New Mexico
 
#9
North Carolina
 
#10
Florida
 
#11
The state of Trump's mental health
 
#12
I support Trump #MAGA
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 108

Author Topic: Clinton supporters, what state are you most worried about?  (Read 1441 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 07, 2016, 09:49:50 AM »

I am getting panic attacks about PA, to be honest.  I hope Hillary's GOTV is sufficient, because polls have really tightened.

Without PA, Clinton has to have FL.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 09:50:54 AM »

Definitely North Carolina. The early vote drop among African-Americans scares me a lot. I hope they turnout big league tomorrow, but I'm not confident of it.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 09:52:23 AM »

PA.  NC isn't a necessary component of Hillary's path to 270, PA is needed for her to win if she loses Florida.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 09:55:59 AM »

PA.  NC isn't a necessary component of Hillary's path to 270, PA is needed for her to win if she loses Florida.

This.  I've written off NC, and Clinton winning it will be a pleasant surprise.  I mean, I think I will give it to her in my final prediction, but I'm in no way counting on it.

PA has the sudden tight poll numbers, decreased AA turnout, and the transit strike.  It's gonna come down to Hillary's ground game.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2016, 09:57:39 AM »

I am getting panic attacks about PA, to be honest.
Is your username Beef or Beet?

Clinton has got this, and I don't care if she suddenly loses one of the above states.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2016, 10:07:55 AM »

I am getting panic attacks about PA, to be honest.
Is your username Beef or Beet?

Clinton has got this, and I don't care if she suddenly loses one of the above states.

The transit strike is over, so that helps.  Still it's a 20 EV prize, and the polls are really close.

Clinton has got the popular vote, without a doubt.  But Trump still has available electoral paths.  It doesn't help that as a Clinton donor I get a barrage of sky-is-falling emails asking for more money.
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King
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2016, 10:09:31 AM »

Georgia lmao
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Mallow
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2016, 10:17:19 AM »

PA and FL as a pair, but just PA if I have to choose one.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2016, 11:00:18 AM »

PA and FL as a pair, but just PA if I have to choose one.

That is a good pairing.  It's "muh depressed AA turnout" vs "muh flood of new Puerto Rican voters."
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2016, 11:02:09 AM »

pa/mi/nm

i am silly.

if C wins nc/fl/az/oh...forget what i said.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2016, 11:03:13 AM »

North Carolina, not worried about PA/WI/CO/NV and slightly worried about FL but she doesn't need it.
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ursulahx
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2016, 11:08:05 AM »

I've chosen Florida. I'm not especially worried about it, but if Trump wins there his path suddenly goes from impossible to fairly improbable. In terms of closeness I'm more worried about NC, but Clinton can afford to lose there.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2016, 11:12:32 AM »

I chose Florida, because it's tight but looks still winnable, unlike North Carolina.
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Thomas D
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2016, 11:13:40 AM »

North Carolina.  It was the last state I colored in on my map.
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Orser67
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« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2016, 11:28:34 AM »

I'm honestly more worried about a shocker in Michigan or Wisconsin than PA at this point. Clinton's going to have a major ground game advantage in PA by virtue of having a competent campaign
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2016, 11:36:02 AM »

Florida, Florida, Florida. We need to win it bigly
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elcorazon
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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2016, 11:42:26 AM »

pa/mi/nm

i am silly.

if C wins nc/fl/az/oh...forget what i said.
agree. today I sense an easy Clinton victory though
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2016, 11:44:01 AM »

Pennsylvania and Michigan, really.  Assuming Clinton really does have Nevada locked up, Trump can run the whole table and as long as he loses those two states the door's still shut in his face.  If he wins one of those two, though, then Clinton basically has to win Florida.

Also gonna be a little bit anxious when Virginia and Colorado come in, even though I think Clinton has a 90%+ chance of winning them.  Poor results or a loss in either state would indicate real danger.

Don't care that much about NC since she can win without it, and winning it doesn't really open that many new routes for her.  Still has to win PA, for instance.
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Torie
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2016, 12:56:22 PM »

NC isn't really part of the Clinton "freiwall."  NV looks OK for Clinton with the Hispanics there voting in droves (might well take down the NV Pub Senate candidate too in the bargain), so Trump winning NH and FL is not enough. So I vote Michigan.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2016, 12:58:15 PM »

every state without enough polling in the northeast, NM ofc, nh a little bit but it's unimportant.....and ofc the greater midwest.

would love EV in all states to find out if turnout is real.
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Hammy
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« Reply #20 on: November 07, 2016, 01:58:26 PM »

Florida, because it's the only state on there that would absolutely seal off every other possible path for Trump.
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #21 on: November 07, 2016, 02:00:06 PM »

Should be PA IMO, if it goes Trump he wins in a landslide.
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Xing
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« Reply #22 on: November 07, 2016, 02:09:39 PM »

Iowa, since it looks to be gone for Hillary. Ohio and Arizona are also states Trump could win. Oh, you mean states that Hillary actually needs to win? Uh... none?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #23 on: November 07, 2016, 02:10:02 PM »

Ohio and Arizona.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #24 on: November 07, 2016, 02:19:55 PM »

Nice job employing the "lol funny hacky quip about dumb Republicans lol" line in the poll so Atlas Democrats don't vote in mass for the same state and start panicking for some reason, somehow.
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