Predict total turnout tomorrow!
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Author Topic: Predict total turnout tomorrow!  (Read 1272 times)
Progressive
jro660
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« on: November 07, 2016, 10:17:33 PM »
I'd say around 65%
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OneJ
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 10:19:22 PM »
At least 60%!
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 10:31:38 PM »
Black turnout will be slightly down, but all other demographics will be up, some by a lot. I'd say 68%.
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Lachi
lok1999
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 10:46:33 PM »
I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say 70%, maybe more.
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Confused Democrat
reidmill
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2016, 10:47:41 PM »
100%
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Pyro
PyroTheFox
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2016, 10:56:06 PM »
56% or so
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2016, 10:57:49 PM »
Another question: Will Hillary receive the most votes of any US presidential candidate ever? Is it within the realm of possibility?
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2016, 10:58:48 PM »

That will only be the case in Florida and Nevada. Perhaps Arizona too. It will be lower in other states.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2016, 11:06:05 PM »
Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on November 07, 2016, 10:57:49 PM
Another question: Will Hillary receive the most votes of any US presidential candidate ever? Is it within the realm of possibility?

I saw somewhere that turnout is expected to be around 135 million, so Hillary would need to get about 51.8% of the vote to top Obama's raw vote count in 2008. Doable, but I'd bet against it.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2016, 11:11:09 PM »
49%
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Anti-Bothsidesism
Somenamelessfool
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2016, 11:13:41 PM »
57%
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2016, 11:49:34 PM »
64%

Around 145 million votes.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2016, 11:57:17 PM »
58%
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Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2016, 07:52:39 AM »
54%
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2016, 08:00:47 AM »
59%.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2016, 08:19:51 AM »
There are about 230 million VEP, so 60% would be ~138 million.

I predicted 135 million or 59%, but it could go higher than 60% too.
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win win
dxu8888
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« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2016, 09:03:15 AM »
55%, about the same as 2012
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Buzz
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« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2016, 09:38:11 AM »
Turnout will be BIG LEAGUE
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pho
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« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2016, 09:53:41 AM »
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Dereich
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« Reply #19 on: November 08, 2016, 09:57:38 AM »
53%
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #20 on: November 08, 2016, 10:22:07 AM »
Turnout by Race:

White: 35-40% increase
AA: Down 10-15%
Hispanic: 40-50% increase
First time voters: 30-40% increase

Increase in overall turnout for every voting group besides AA's which will be down a good amount.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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« Reply #21 on: November 08, 2016, 10:27:49 AM »
Quote from: 2016election on November 08, 2016, 10:22:07 AM
Turnout by Race:

White: 35-40% increase
AA: Down 10-15%
Hispanic: 40-50% increase
First time voters: 30-40% increase

Increase in overall turnout for every voting group besides AA's which will be down a good amount.
Umm, white turnout last election was about 65%. You expect it to hit 90%?
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MIKESOWELL
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« Reply #22 on: November 08, 2016, 11:20:22 AM »
My guess is between 60 to 63 percent voter turnout.
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Xing
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« Reply #23 on: November 08, 2016, 11:25:02 AM »
62%
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TDantuono
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« Reply #24 on: November 08, 2016, 11:34:42 AM »
I'm working as a poll worker in a small part of NYC. My poll site alone just between 6am and now , we've had at least 500 people. And it's not even midday. Any chance that there's much higher turnout than most are anticipating?
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