Slate/Votecastr real time election projections

[The Other Castro]

Nobody knows how reliable these slate projections are.

And that is the first correct thing you've said in a while.

[The Other Castro]

Question for clarification, this is there current projection based off the vote that was turned in before Election Day? This does not include what they think Election Day turnout, which historically is pretty Democratic, correct?

I think that is correct, yes.

[The Other Castro]

It's kind of irresponsible for them to list the 2012 results as if they're direct comparisons.

[The Other Castro]

Ummm hello they have Jill Stein at 1.7% in Nevada. JILL STEIN IS NOT ON THE BALLOT! This is a sham.

[The Other Castro]

Yeah this appears to be what I thought it would be. An inaccurate model based on partial information designed to give people heart attacks. What a joke.

[The Other Castro]

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports  37s38 seconds ago
So Stein on the ballot here (she's not), bizarre Clark numbers and wrong number (off by 150K) of reg voters there. Model probs, @votecastr?

Everyone relax.

[The Other Castro]

Nate Cohn article on this: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/08/upshot/you-may-need-a-strong-stomach-for-the-pitfalls-of-real-time-election-projections.html?_r=0

"Don't throw up because of the Slate/Votecastr live projections"

[The Other Castro]

Early word out of FL, its going Hillary. It's over if true.

EV looks good for her, but no point calling anything while polls are still open for hours.

[The Other Castro]

We are all aware that these are just made up numbers right?

Considering Jill Stein still has 1% in Nevada...

[The Other Castro]

It appears the Slate site updated FL total votes now... with Clinton just under 90k votes away from Obama's total in 2012. Trump still 270k away from Romney total.

If this model is correct, the polls were very wrong in FL.

Well, some of the polls.

[The Other Castro]

Hello All!

My first post. Great forum!

Here in Fairfax County only took about 10 min for me to vote at my polling place.

Saw more people take the DEM ballot that the PUB one but then again it's FFX County.

Thanks.

FFX Gator.

they're letting alligators vote? RIGGED!

Meanwhile the crocodiles, predominantly Republican, were rejected. It's a rigged system folks.

[The Other Castro]

Why are we still discussing this piece of garbage?

Any leaks of exit polls yet?

They're literally locked in a room until 5PM. Any leaks should be considered fake.

[The Other Castro]

Why are we still discussing this piece of garbage?

Any leaks of exit polls yet?

They're literally locked in a room until 5PM. Any leaks should be considered fake.

So, in just an hour or hour and a half, we will get the FIRST REAL NUMBERS of this election.

Well, it'll still be just a poll. The first real numbers come after 6 PM.