Slate/Votecastr real time election projections

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I would take their projections with a grain of salt.
They have 57 Clinton supporters, 1 mcmucllin and 0 trump supporters on there staff.

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Nobody knows how reliable these slate projections are.

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Here is early voting results from 2012 you can use for comparison:

Colorado
Votes: 1.6 million
Democrats: 35 percent
Republicans: 37 percent

Florida
Votes: 4.3 million
Democrats: 43 percent
Republicans: 40 percent

Iowa
Votes: 614,000
Democrats: 43 percent
Republicans: 32 percent

Nevada
Votes: 702,000
Democrats: 44 percent
Republicans: 37 percent

North Carolina
Votes: 2.7 million
Democrats: 48 percent
Republicans: 32 percent

Ohio
Votes: 1.6 million
Democrats: 29 percent
Republicans: 23 percent

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Are early votes usually lean D or lean R?

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does anyone know the breakdown for FL in 2012 at this point?

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hey guys, none of the states besides CO is actually using real voting data

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Just read their "How It Works" article again.

Only now do I see that this has ZERO exit poll component. This is just yet another pre-election day poll masquerading as actual voting data.

So much for all their hype about breaking the exit poll embargo.

Agree, they use "models" to project what share of voters vote for clinton, vote for Trump based on past polls.

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I;m going to add R+3 to all the slate projections
They have 58 Clinton supporters to 0 Trump supporters on their staff. I expect some bias.

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Before people take Slate seriously, remember they have 58 staffers who vote Clinton and none for Trump.

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You should not be worried about the PA numbers.

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votecaster summary:

WI: C+6
CO: C+5
PA : C+4
FL : C+4
NH: C+4
NV: C+3
IA: T+1
OH: C+1

unskew these for D bias
so PA and FL and NH are all C+4, what's this suppose to mean exactly?

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Despite all this slate  stuff, the odds are unchanged with Donald at 18% in real money markets.

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nobody knows how they came up with these numbers
dont take it too seriously as the real betting market hasn't moved today (yes, the people who actually bet real money)

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Estimates as of 4:40 EST:

FL: C-49 T-45
IA: C-47 T-44
NH: C-47 T-43
NV: C-47 T-45
OH: C-46 T-45
PA: C-48 T-45
WI: C-49 T-42

IA and PA in the same spot huh?