turnout reports, voting problems, and last minute dirty tricks

[Ebsy]

Leon County (Tallahassee) is at 100% of 2012 turnout.

Broward County (North of Miami) is at 107% of 2012 turnout.

Hillsborough County (Tampa) is at 105% of 2012 turnout.

[J. J.]

Philadelphia, North Philia, turnout was 156 at 1:30 PM.  That is certainly down from 2008 (when it was over 210), and possibly down from 2012.    It is more than 90% African American and Democratic.  The Philadelphia suburbs are the major area where Clinton could win.

News reports are that the burbs are voting heavily. 

[Person Man]

Leon County (Tallahassee) is at 100% of 2012 turnout.

Broward County (North of Miami) is at 107% of 2012 turnout.

Hillsborough County (Tampa) is at 105% of 2012 turnout.

That's promising

[Dr. Arch]

How's turnout looking in FL?

[GeorgiaModerate]

From 538's live blog;

The Philadelphia District Attorney’s Office is investigating a report that a man wearing a badge labeled “poll police” attempted to interfere outside a polling place near 39th and Haverford in West Philly.

A police report was filed in the 16th District; a spokesperson from the DA’s Office confirmed that officials “are aware” of the incident and “we are investigating.”

BillyPenn learned the confrontation happened after a question about a voter’s eligibility that was eventually resolved. After the ordeal, a group arrived in a pickup truck and the man with the badge approached the poll watcher, asking whether the poll watcher was making trouble. He took off his jacket and showed the badge. The poll watcher apparently thought the man may have been a Trump supporter.

The report follows an Election Day that had largely passed without major incident from Trump supporters and few complications. At an afternoon press conference, the D.A.’s office said it had received 10 calls of machine malfunctions, a handful of calls of illegal assistance and 13 complaints of electioneering.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

CNN is saying that Macomb County MI is on track for 1980 turnout

What does that even mean?

It means that things are probably looking up for Trump in Michigan. Macomb is the sort of place Trump has been focusing really hard on winning, lots of blue collar workers, mostly uneducated,  leans a bit towards the Republicans even when they don't run a candidate basically designed for them.

Mark my words, Trump will overperform in Michigan, though whether that will be enough to actually win the state depends on his overall performance.

I remember much ado being made about Macomb in 2012. Didn't amount to much and Obama won Michigan more than comfortably.

Obama had the benefit of an inflated AA vote in the Midwest, not to mention that Trump has way more appeal to blue collar whites than Romney ever did.

Take a regular Michigan election, significantly reduce AA turnout, increase turnout everywhere else, and give the Republican an advantage with uneducated whites. That's a recipe for a close election in Michigan, and it's what seems to be happening right now. The only real upside Hillary has over Obama in Michigan is the possibility of higher college educated white support, something that might give her the win but won't give her the sort of margin a Democrat should expect from Michigan.

You just contradicted yourself. If you're comparing to 2008/2012, by your own logic, you're not comparing to a "regular election". Even in 2000, Gore won the state by 5%. And it's highly unlikely black turnout will be as low as it was in that election.

George Bush wasn't running on a "NAFTA was bad" Pat Buchanan style platform.

Is that worth a five point swing? I'm not convinced.

Convinced yet?